@ethansteiningeri
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best advice i've seen, which is compounded due to ai: try everything, figure out what you like, and double down on it.
i'm grateful to have discovered robotics in high school, else i wouldn't have discovered computer science.
this was all outside the classroom, purely following curiousity. it works.
Ben Horowitz on an alternative path for young people: finish high school, spend a year learning about a field of interest, then let the work teach the rest.
"The world has really changed, warfare has changed, power has changed, economics have changed... And there's not a constant refresh of the knowledge."
"Arguably a better system is, you finish your 12 years of education in elementary and high school, then you maybe get a year that bridges you to knowledge in a field you want to go into... and then go from there."
"For most college students, probably over 95% of college students are there to prepare themselves for the workforce. And a four-year degree to do that seems a little misplaced in a world where the rate of change is so high."
@bhorowitz (2024)
I was convinced the best way to build coding agents was to make them work like a team.
Give them a goal → decompose it into tasks → put those tasks on Kanban boards → gate each state with acceptance criteria → have workers coordinate and hand work off. Eventually I added an orchestrator to fan work out across multiple workers.
After ~6 months of building AMUX this way, I gave up on it.
It worked for small things, but large projects became a coordination nightmare. Too many workers, boards, handoffs, dependencies, and opportunities to lose the plot. Even with an orchestrator managing the fan-out, I was spending too much effort getting agents to coordinate instead of getting work done.
So I took a page from @cognition and @FactoryAI which flipped the model:
Projects coordinate. Workers execute.
You define the outcome. AMUX creates the project, decomposes it into independent tasks, creates isolated worktrees, and spins up workers to grab them.
Each worker gets a bounded job with its own acceptance criteria and produces a commit + evidence. AMUX rolls everything back up into a single human-verifiable project outcome.
The lesson after 6 months:
The best way I’ve found to make agents work together is to make them need to work together as little as possible.
all live and open source: github.com/mixpeek/amux
add graph traversal to your semantic database
Searched our demo catalog for "nylon camping tent".
Got 5 tents back. Three of them are polyester or canvas.
One traverse_edge hop on a same_material edge then returned 7 nylon backpacks that no image embedding would ever rank near a tent.
mxp.co/d/one-edge-hop
what the children call, cracked.
github.com/esteininger
taking out the power grid, engineering a high r0 virus, turning our bank accounts to 0
these are all the scenarios agi-pilled (and opportunistic politicians) tout - but just talking to a single expert in any of these fields, its evident how challenging these scenarios really are.
could it be ai-induced psychosis or simply the dunning kruger effect?
I completely agree with this take related to the “AI will create viruses that will kill us all” BS. But let me add my few cents, because I am really really angry!
I worked with one of the deadliest viruses in history, HIV, for two decades. I was one of the early scientists to engineer it, and engineered versions of HIV are now helping cancer patients. I understand the immune system that defends us against viruses extremely deeply. I have worked in high security biohazard labs.
I don’t have a PhD in AI, but I have been involved with AI since the early 90s and have been all in on AI for years.
People claiming that you can just make a virus in your garage, use AI to engineer it, and somehow build a virus that will kill everyone don’t know what the hell they are talking about!
Of course bioweapons are extremely dangerous. In fact, viruses and bacteria have killed more humans throughout history than almost anything else. HIV alone killed tens of millions of people, yet today, if you have access to effective medicines and take them properly, HIV is generally no longer a death sentence.
COVID-19 killed millions. Why doesn’t it kill at anything close to the same scale anymore? Not because the virus disappeared. It is still here. We developed collective defenses against it through our immune systems, prior exposure, vaccines, treatments, and better medical care.
And this is exactly the point.
The best way to fight biological threats, whether natural or synthetic, is to use AI to develop vaccines, treatments, antibodies, antivirals, and eventually engineer our immune system to create much stronger defenses against them.
By the way, it is already possible to make synthetic viruses. You don’t need some hypothetical superintelligent AI model to do that. We have had sophisticated molecular biology and genetic engineering for decades.
So how many people have actually died from synthetic viruses compared with natural viruses killing millions every year?
And if someday there really is an AI capable of making some unbelievable “supervirus,” then why the hell wouldn’t that same AI make it even easier to develop defenses against it?
Or cure diseases, for that matter?
Where is this damn superintelligence that has cured a single major disease?!
These AI companies and AI doomers keep talking like, “OMG, AI is going to become so unbelievably powerful that it could kill all of humanity!”
Then why is nobody asking the obvious question?
If your AI is already becoming this godlike, unbelievably powerful intelligence, why hasn’t it cured anything?
I mean ANYTHING.
Where is the cure for cancer?
Where is the cure for Alzheimer’s?
Where is the cure for aging?
Forget those. Where is the vaccine that prevents the common cold?
You are telling me this intelligence will soon be smart enough to engineer some magical virus capable of wiping out 8 billion people, defeating every immune system, every vaccine, every antiviral, every laboratory, every government, and the entire global biomedical community…
…but somehow it still can’t cure one disease?
I call that greatest intellectual dishonesty ever!
At least WE actually know how to cure things and save millions of lives with our supposedly stupid human intelligence compared with this future “superintelligence.”
Humans eradicated smallpox, which killed hundreds of millions of people throughout history.
We turned HIV from a almost certain death sentence into a manageable disease.
We developed vaccines in record time against COVID. If we had the same AI back then, would have saved millions more!
We engineer immune cells to kill cancer.
We developed antibiotics, antivirals, monoclonal antibodies, gene therapies, organ transplantation, and thousands of medicines.
We aren't fast enough but we did all of that with our ordinary human intelligence.
So imagine what actual superintelligence could do for medicine!
And here is the part that really makes me angry.
If you actually have, or are close to having, an AI capable of curing diseases and saving millions of lives, and you are deliberately slowing it down or refusing to make those capabilities available, then we also need to talk about the human cost of THAT decision, which you fearmongering people are going to be responsible for!
More than 150,000 people die every single day around the world.
Every. Single. Day. More than 90% from Cancer, heart disease, infections, aging. How many die because of AI? ZERO!
Talk about the people dying TODAY.
Talk about curing cancer.
Talk about stopping the next pandemic before it starts.
Talk about developing universal vaccines.
Talk about engineering our immune system so viruses become almost irrelevant.
Talk about curing genetic diseases.
Talk about reversing aging.
Talk about saving millions and eventually billions of lives.
Instead, we constantly hear this “AI WILL KILL US ALL!” crap, delivered with absolute certainty and with this smug smile on your faces in front of cameras, as though imagining a science fiction extinction scenarios.
I am actually angry about this. Each one of you causing a delay in AI advance every single day will be personally responsible for those 100 thousands deaths that could have been prevented!
Because if you truly believe intelligence is about to become this powerful, then the greatest question humanity should be asking is NOT:
“How could this intelligence hurt us?”
It should also be:
“WHY THE HELL AREN’T WE USING IT TO SAVE EVERYONE WE CAN?”
And if superintelligence really is coming, then make sure one of the first things we do with it is make humanity biologically damn near impossible to kill.
this narrative of AI being too dangerous is no doubt their way of slowing down the industry to manage compute resource constraints
We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so.
Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training.
You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must…
"premium floor lamp" with a price < 300 filter.
The filter removes the expensive matches. It does not promote the cheap ones by price. Rank order inside the filter is still semantic, so the cheapest lamp isn't first.
A ceiling is not a sort.
A pre_filter doesn't reorder your results. It deletes them.
Same query, one filter. Three of the top five armchairs were out of stock, so the filter removed them and promoted three you'd never have seen.
Real query, real ranking, 118-image index.
unsolved agent orchestration problem: two different agents working on the same problem, how do you make them aware of each other's efforts?
every founder should do this:
i have a `coaching` worker that automatically pulls emails, calls, and slack messages that i do and it pulls out themes, issues, etc. against criteria that i care about.
every day it gives me concise feedback based on the previous day's communication on how i can improve as a leader in the areas i want to improve.
the places where work happens are in the best positions to build email 2.0 simply because they have an evolving set of your priorities at any given time.
in amux it does thematic clustering of your work and uses that to iterate on your email filters. this is a no brainer
world labs companies spend enormous resources preparing datasets for training
we do one-click deployment of SOTA labeling and reward signaling into your cloud.
mixpeek.com/templates/video-…
Replying to @c_valenzuelab
we're working with other world model labs to do dataset curation, here's an example one-click deploy into your cloud for video moderation:
mixpeek.com/templates/video-…
would love to add runway to the mix cc @ethansteininger
personalized 1:1 tutoring is empirically the best way to learn and ai is the first tool in history that can deliver that at scale.
this is just not an intellectually honest decision, if it were they would’ve actually conducted experiments to measure ai's effects on learning.
it's just not going away, no matter how much we stick our heads in the sand, and just like any tool, it can be used for good or bad.
this is an early sign of a class division between the families that engage and those that disengage.
the outcome will be obvious in a couple years time.
some of my ai takes that have withstood the test of time:
- RL'd task specific models will outperform general purpose models on every benchmark (time, accuracy, cost, etc.)
- Proper indexing and retrieval is a proxy for reducing reasoning inference (optimize for the R in RAG)
- Always assume the models will improve, stay out of the models way and you'll be good
- Agency is the only skill that matters for individuals
The average strongly held belief these days in AI has a half life of 6 months at best. Here are just a few the industry has cycled through and probably has no consensus on at the moment:
* OSS is too far behind to catch up
* The labs can’t be profitable at scale
* All software will be replaced by agents
* You can’t build moats on top of models
* Cheaper models will mean less compute
* You don’t need evals
* RAG is dead
* AI will decimate engineering jobs
* Prompting won’t matter in the future
* We’ve hit a training wall
* Frontier models are too dangerous to release
…and dozens and dozens more. The key here is to remain flexible in your thinking because we’re going to be in a constant state of change for a while.