People who sold the farm for non-1.01 2027 picks are going to be disappointed. Jeremiah Smith is truly generational – that’s leave that aside. Jadan Baugh is also great (3-year producer; career .293 MTF/attempt) – but certainly not a Bijan or even Ashton Jeanty-level prospect. Baugh currently projects as a late-RD1/early-RD2 NFL Draft pick & there are aspects of his profile which people will nitpick: 3-Star Recruit; career 3.47 YAC/attempt isn’t special; the receiving has been non-existent in 2/3 seasons (5 receptions as a freshman, just 3 this season; although he had 33 receptions on 40 targets as a sophomore). Think Breece Hall/Kenneth Walker in terms of prospect strength. Beyond that? The “consensus” WR2 coming into the year (Cam Coleman) has not had a game with more than 4 receptions or 70 yards this year; his career 1.74 YPRR would rank dead-last amongst all RD1 WR prospects since 2020 – even worse than Xavier Legette (1.75 career YPRR). Coleman has a very mediocre target-earning profile (career .185 TPRR), high contested-target-rate (24.2%), isn’t a YAC-threat (career 2.6 YAC/reception; career .152 MTF/reception), etc, etc. Charlie Becker looks better (career 3.65 YPRR; more than double Coleman’s) – & is a projected Top-5 overall pick in Nate Tice’s latest mock draft for Yahoo (released yesterday). Mick Marsh (projected 31st overall) is the only other WR Tice has mocked inside the 1st round. Eric Edholm (also of Yahoo) has Ryan Coleman-Williams projected 23rd. There are no other projected RD1 WR’s. Arch Manning will get drafted highly (Top-5 in both mocks) & will be a coveted dynasty trade chip due to his name power – but certainly has far from a flawless profile (below 8.0 Y/A each of the last 2 seasons). The main QB risers (Mestemaker & Austin Simmons) could still go back to school. There will be QB’s drafted in the first 2 rounds of the NFL Draft – but those QB’s could be late-RD1/early-RD2 picks & may get the redshirt treatment as rookies (Ty Simpson comes to mind as a comparable example). Tice’s 1st round mock has them projected: - Mestemaker (5th) - Simmons (9th) - Chambliss (21st) No other QB’s included. Eric Edholm’s (also of Yahoo) 1st round mock has them projected: - Chambliss (6th) - Mestemaker (9th) - Mensah (13th) - Moore (21st) There’s also time for these QB’s to fall out of the RD1 discussion completely – or return back to school (in Mestemaker’s, Mensah’s, & Simmons’ case). The TE Class is strong & could have 3-4 TE’s drafted in the first 2 rounds. But the two TE’s projected to get RD1 NFL Draft capital do not have strong target-earning profiles. - Jamari Johnson (career .180 TPRR) - Trey’Dez Green (career .192 TPRR) TJ Hockenson, OJ Howard, & Hayden Hurst are the only RD1 TE’s in the past decade with worse collegiate target-earning profiles. People who sold their souls for 2027 picks are going to be shocked when it comes time to actually make them.