I write about gambling, prediction markets, cards. PA-DC-Oregon; Philly sports. https://xitter.cf/t.co/EzmLhAsKct and https://xitter.cf/t.co/9TqDyzQKWO
Oregon
Joined January 2015
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Fascinating data from @Eric_Ramsey @TickerTracker_:
Combos with 20 or more legs at Kalshi went from 3.5% of the total in July to 17% in September, and the average combo contract went from 8 legs to 13 over that span.
About 10% of all combos traded in September settled Yes, a hit rate that falls to 2.7% for combos with 10+ legs and 1.5% for those with 20 or more. Across the combos with 100 or more legs, two have settled Yes and 5,272 settled No.
More in this morning’s Event Horizon.
:interacts with one tweet about dumbass AirBnB hosts pushing back on the new rules:
Twitter: “Would you like our algorithm to show you infinitely more tweets about this?”
Me: “Actually yes that sounds amazing, keep them coming”
Dustin Gouker retweeted
Is every Sleeper account run by the same trash merchant or do they clone you all in a special stew of sucktitude?
You can get rich at Kalshi if you are right!
Dustin Gouker retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: Kalshi sues Louisiana in federal court, alleging state officials “will imminently bring an enforcement action” to bar its event contracts, pointing to public statements made between Dec. 2025 and Mar. 2026, amicus brief filings, and no assurances of non-enforcement.
Dustin Gouker retweeted
Another standard thing any normal person does when staying at a friend’s house is not pay them any money
its just bonkers the new policy @airbnb is trying to put in place. Putting the dishes in the dishwasher, taking out the trash, pulling the sheets off the bed....they are just standard things any normal person would do when staying at a house. Why wouldn't a host be allowed to say that?
Dustin Gouker retweeted
@nextpredictio NYC on @CNN this morning with @MarshallCohen discussing his panel with CFTC from yesterday which became the talk of the conference
Some interesting placement here for Robinhood’s sports prediction market! H/t @jonlerner
In Fort Myers, FL with Oz & the Boss to announce U.S. harvested seafood labeling and $260 million in nursing scholarships.
If we can’t trade on this at Polymarket, the official prediction market of Major League Baseball, then I am filing a complaint with the CFTC
Prediction markets capturing how a market sees recent news impacting the Ohio governor race is honestly pretty cool.
Dustin Gouker retweeted
let's see what's on ESPN Radio on Sirius at the moment -- ah my favorite show Polymarket App Code
Amy Acton’s Estranged Mother Killed Kittens, Court Records Show mediaite.com/crime/amy-acton…
I was so blessed to work at the Washington Post when Tony and Michael did this organically in the newsroom.
There was a lot of praise for Pardon The Interruption yesterday and rightly so. It's one of the most influential sports studio shows of the 21st century. I cannot emphaisze enough how much they benefitted from being in D.C. as opposed to Bristol where Erik Rydholm and his team were able to cook away from the Death Star.
Sure, it's led to a lot of terrible imitators but they also helped so many writers get paid via those imitations. (Shout to the OG of this -- The Sportswriters on TV out of Chicago.)
But Inside The NBA, in my opinion, is far and away the greatest and most impactful sports studio show of my lifetime.
If you want to head back further, I'd also put The NFL Today in that category given how revolutionary it was when it started in the 1970s.
Dustin Gouker retweeted
giving James Dolan a championship is one of the worst things to happen in sports this century
Crazy that Trump decided Quintenz wasn’t good enough to lead the CFTC. Sad story.
🇺🇸 Former CFTC commissioner @BrianQuintenz : "Kalshi is a fully regulated, fully licensed derivatives exchange that is regulated by the CFTC… the idea that these aren't well regulated… or they're not regulated at all is WRONG."
