Que alguien me explique esto en pop terms porfavor
If you are in Madeira, Portugal, or Spain — please read this very carefully.
It is Monday, November 9… and I’m starting to get increasingly concerned about what’s coming on November 11.
Over the past several days I’ve been watching a low pressure system far out in the Atlantic, but I really didn’t want to boldly claim it would be a significant threat to Portugal until I had a solid basis to do so.
This is because model guidance was really struggling to figure out what this storm would do as it crossed the Atlantic.
1. Would it stay weak and fizzle out before hitting Europe and Africa?
2. Would it take a more southerly track and affect the Canary Islands and Morocco?
3. Would it move a little further north and hit Madeira and Morocco more directly?
4. Lastly, would it rapidly intensify and curve north into Portugal?
Somehow, model guidance is trending more and more towards the worst case — and the impressive part is that the AI models were consistently showing this even when most other weather models had backed away.
This teaches me something. AI models may be much more useful than I originally thought for complicated low pressure systems like this. @LusoMeteo did a great job at pointing this out. I’ll definitely be checking these AI models a lot more from now on when analyzing model guidance.
What does this mean for us?
This storm is carrying rich subtropical moisture which will enhance the flood risk across Madeira, Portugal, Spain, and even the Canary Islands and Morocco.
Depending on how strong the low gets, there is a potentially serious threat of damaging wind on the southern end of the low pressure.
Moisture moving with this system will also influence the risk of torrential rain through southern France, northern and central Italy, and the Adriatic Sea through November 12.
In conclusion, I really didn’t want to be the boy who cried wolf with such an unstable forecast… but now there’s an overwhelming amount of signs pointing to this potentially major storm. Please use the remaining time to prepare, spread the word, and as always, be safe…
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Defienden la 'doctrina de las tres T': el techo, el trabajo y la tierra eldiario.es/catalunya/decena…
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BREAKING: Virginia has just repealed its constitutional ban on same-sex marriage.
And codified abortion rights into the state constitution.
On the same night.
This is not a blue wave. This is a tsunami.
Driuuu 💫 retweeted
el mongolo este haciendo el ridículo...amor si precisamente el acto reivindicativo es este, no van a pedir permiso en una cadena donde no quieren dar voz a los docentes de la pública. Gracias Roberto Leal por quedarte con pasapalabra
Docentes irrumpen en directo en el plató de #LaTarde de Telemadrid para reivindicar sus derechos y reclamar una educación pública de calidad
Pos arreando
Trump Says He Will Move to Israel to Become Prime Minister If U.S. Turns on Him tmz.me/4Aap1wW
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Driuuu 💫 retweeted
El gobierno "progresista" ordena desalojar y gasear la acampada de Sol.
Las imágenes que si se dieran en China o Rusia saldrían en todos sus medios pero que como es en España tratarán de ocultarte.
pero que tiene que ver las churras con las merinas
🔴 ÚLTIMA HORA | Feijóo pide a los sindicatos que desconvoquen la huelga general del 11-N: "Antes era incomprensible, 69 muertos después es un grave error"
cadenaser.com/nacional/2026/…
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