@dpfdpf

Pollster. Blogster, Comedian, Father.

 New Zealand
davidfarrar.nz
Joined January 2009
  • Tweets49.3K
  • Following2.4K
  • Followers25.8K
640Media
A good question
Yaron Samid 🇮🇱🇺🇸
@yaronsamidOct 17
Hey @grok, who gives Palestinians more rights and freedoms: 1. Hamas (Govern Gaza) 2. Fatah (Govern the West Bank) 3. Israel Start with a one-word answer (Hamas, Fatah, or Israel), then explain why with 100% objectivity and facts.
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Who might be a National MP? patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might be a National MP? | David Farrar

There are two big variables here. The first is the party vote, and the second is what electorates National wins. For this exercise I have go

patreon.com
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David Farrar retweeted
Simeon Brown
@SimeonBrownMPOct 17
BREAKING: Adults in the house, a child dead, and nobody talking? Not anymore. National will make staying silent about a child's killing a crime with up to 10 years in prison, so those responsible face the consequences.
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Five different scenarios of who might be a Labour MP, depending on which electorates they win. patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might be a Labour MP? | David Farrar

Who might be a Labour MP? by David Farrar on Patreon. Join David Farrar's community for exclusive content and updates.

patreon.com
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David Farrar retweeted
Collin Rugg
@CollinRuggOct 16
JUST IN: Elon Musk unveils the Tesla Roadster by launching it off a ramp before the car flipped in midair and safely landed on the ground. The car is a collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX. One of the most insane things I've ever seen.
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Lame. Just makes him look like a good teacher.
Libs of TikTok
@libsoftiktokOct 15
James Talafreako texted with former female middle school students at midnight and repeatedly urged students to text him and call him privately after school Dude is a walking red flag
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How many MPs will the Greens get, and who will they be? patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might be a Green MP? | David Farrar

Who might be a Green MP? by David Farrar on Patreon. Join David Farrar's community for exclusive content and updates.

patreon.com
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Superb
NZ National Party
@NZNationalPartyOct 15
Official music video for 9 new taxes on the table ft Labour and their mates.
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Who might be the ACT MPs in Parliament? patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might become an ACT MP? | David Farrar

Electorate MPs

patreon.com
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Who will be an MP for NZ First? They will certainly get more than their current eight MPs, but how many more? patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might become a NZ First MP? | David Farrar

Electorate MPs

patreon.com
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Who is likely to be a TPM MP? Will they have overhang? Will the overhang be large enough to affect who forms Government? patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might become a Te Pāti Māori MP | David Farrar

Who might become a Te Pāti Māori MP by David Farrar on Patreon. Join David Farrar's community for exclusive content and updates.

patreon.com
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This is just wow
Ryan Grim
@ryangrimOct 13
Watch this to the end, you won’t regret it. This is what happens when you’re at happy hour and are reminded you agreed to do an interview about your race.
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Labour’s policy is that it is fine to fund the Mongrel Mob to rehabilitate drug users from the drugs they sold them, but not fine to ask for their votes!!!
henry cooke@henrycookeOct 14
Chris Hipkins just ruled out a TPM or Green MP holding the police or justice portfolios following the photos with the Mongrel Mob.
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David Farrar retweeted
henry cooke@henrycookeOct 14
Chris Hipkins just ruled out a TPM or Green MP holding the police or justice portfolios following the photos with the Mongrel Mob.
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Who is likely to be an Opportunity MPs, from their party list. Candidates are classified as safe, probable, possible and improbable based on current polling averages. patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

Who might become an Opportunity MP? | David Farrar

Now that I have completed the 71 electorate profiles, I am going to look at the potential electorates and list MPs for each party, starting

patreon.com
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The final one of my 71 electorate race profiles! And it was one of the hardest with TPM, TTT, Labour and Greens all credible contenders for Te Tai Tokerau. Some may be surprised by whom I picked to win it! patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

The race for Te Tai Tokerau 2026 | David Farrar

The post below examines the electorate race for Te Tai Tokerau, which is a fascinating four way battle between Labour, Te Pāti Māori, Greens

patreon.com
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Interesting
henry cooke@henrycookeOct 13
I asked Q after the debate if she’d pick up the phone to whomever had the most SEATS or VOTES after the election - as she’s said both and in an overhang scenario it could well be two different people. She said seats.
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The last of the general electorates. Just Te Tai Tokerau to go. patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

The race for Northland 2026 | David Farrar

The post below examines the party vote, electorate vote, split voting, Māori enrolments, electorate demographics and 2026 candidates to asse

patreon.com
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David Farrar retweeted
The Overhang@Overhang_AoNZOct 12
Political science!
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The race for Whangarei 2026! patreon.com/pollingpolitics/…

The race for Whangārei 2026 | David Farrar

The race for Whangārei 2026 by David Farrar on Patreon. Join David Farrar's community for exclusive content and updates.

patreon.com
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