@devbod

Interested in wide range of international development issues. Views my own, RTs not endorsements.

London
Joined February 2009
Chris Athayde retweeted
Incredible India 🇮🇳! The reverse waterfalls in Satara, Maharashtra.
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Chris Athayde retweeted
Bill Gates’s ‘Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa’ promised to transform small farmers’ livelihoods through replacing traditional diverse farming with a narrow and industrialised agriculture for commodity markets.  It has been a disaster.  It relied on ditching traditional seed varieties in favour of commercial seeds, heavy use of synthetic fertilisers and vast government subsidies.  The programme received more than $1.5bn, while govts of the recipient countries had to spend nearly $1bn annually subsidising all the agricultural inputs -well over half some of their agricultural budgets- to supporting the experiment. The effect? Yields grew more slowly than before the Gates intervention & a 2021 evaluation found that it failed to deliver the promised improvements in earnings and food security for 9m farming households.  It has been great news of course for agribusiness, but disastrous for the govts and more so for the small farmers who are now dependent on a continuous supply of subsidies, expensive imported seeds and chemicals, and charity. ft.com/content/fff4d860-5652…
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Chris Athayde retweeted
This is huge news from Brazil. The courts have recognized Meta's nefarious efforts to suppress PT content and accelerate Bolsonaro's own, and ruled in Lula's favor with immediate effect: a model of algorithmic accountability to be applied anywhere.
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Chris Athayde retweeted
The Alternative for Germany party defines the family exclusively as a mother, father, and their children. @Alice_Weidel, the party’s co-leader, explains why she supports that description while raising two children with her wife. Watch the full Insider interview with @zannymb: bit.ly/47u7QKu
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Lovely to learn there was a fruitful meeting. But what were the outcomes?
A very fruitful meeting of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) on trade and supply chain finance, co-chaired by me and MD @IFC_org Makhtar Diop. MDBs have increased their financing of trade transactions from about $35 billion annually pre-COVID-19 to $65 billion in 2026, representing considerable progress but the gap still remains large. Forward planning includes a push to further scale up. With CEOs or representatives of @EBRD, @ADB_HQ, @AfDB_Group, @afreximbank, @the_IDB, and ITFC. It was great to have the attendance of @ICCSecGen John Denton, Duarte Pedreira, Board Member ITFA, and the able moderation of Denis Medvedev, Global Director for Trade World Bank Group. Many thanks to our team, Nathalie Louat, IFC Global Director Trade Finance, Mohamed Gouled, IFC VP Products and Clients, and Marc Auboin, @wto Section Chief Trade Finance.
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Chris Athayde retweeted
America’s China-free drones are being built in Taiwan. Since September 2025, U.S. defense companies have signed at least 13 deals with Taiwanese hardware makers, the Wall Street Journal reports. Startups like HavocAI are swarming into Taiwan, with U.S. government matchmakers helping them find partners. In August, Taiwan’s legislature approved about $7 billion for drones over six years. The reason is simple. Most commercial drone technology still depends on Chinese parts, and a drone built on them is a drone Beijing can cut off. wsj.com/tech/u-s-defense-sta…
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Aside from the moral aspects, this will have long-term repercussions.
“The rise in poverty should be a wake-up call for the world,” @UNDP warns. The number of people living in “multidimensional” poverty has risen for the first time in 15 years, as families struggle to meet their basic needs. news.un.org/en/story/2026/10…
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Interesting idea
I write an AI newsletter whose main job is telling you not to use AI. 18,459+ professionals read it every week across Europe. Every issue takes one task and tells you: let AI do it, keep it human, or skip AI entirely. 5 minutes, once a week. It’s free: ergonbrief.com/en
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Chris Athayde retweeted
We may never learn what killed the young lab worker in Russia But we know more lab accidents from dangerous labs will occur And hoping that countries are transparent is not a strategy I lay out @bmj_latest what we should be doing to understand and reduce dangerous lab leaks
A lab worker’s unexplained death in Russia raises questions about transparency and lab oversight. In The BMJ, @ashishkjha calls for independent verification and stronger international standards for high-risk labs. bmj.com/content/395/bmj-2026…
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Chris Athayde retweeted
Wow. I woke up to an impressive number of upset people who apparently don’t understand how LLMs work and can’t cope well with me pointing it out. An LLM is a statistical next-token prediction model. That’s how it works. It’s an extraordinarily sophisticated calculator performing math you could theoretically do by hand (if you were sufficiently masochistic). Math doesn’t know what it’s calculating. Pi doesn’t spend its evenings contemplating the nature of circles, and c doesn’t ponder the relationship between matter and energy. That doesn’t make the results any less accurate, impressive, or useful. Between inference requests, an LLM isn’t sitting around thinking. It isn’t reconsidering its answers, wondering whether it made a mistake, contemplating its existence, or questioning whether it’s conscious. Its weights remain fixed (it doesn’t learn), and computation resumes when it receives input. We know this because we designed these systems. The architectures, mathematics, implementations, and research are extensively documented. You can study them yourself. Of course, some people immediately lean into comparisons of biological intelligence or philosophical debates over consciousness because that is what they know. But biological intelligence and artificial neural networks are fundamentally different systems. Similar outputs don’t establish equivalent internal experiences. I experience consciousness directly. I infer that other humans do too because we share biological structures and processes. We don’t have equivalent evidence for an LLM, and nothing about its known operation gives evidence of conscious experience. Which brings me back to my original point. To me, understanding is conscious comprehension. It means being aware of information, recognizing its meaning, and experiencing that comprehension. If I wasn’t conscious I could not understand. We can perform actions unconsciously. We can produce correct results without knowing why they’re correct. But I distinguish those capabilities from consciously understanding what we’re doing. An LLM can solve complex problems, explain difficult concepts, and produce remarkably accurate information. I give it full credit for those capabilities. But producing an answer that we rationalize as understanding isn’t the same as experiencing understanding. You don’t have to agree with my definitions. We can debate functional understanding versus conscious comprehension all day, but that won’t establish whether an LLM actually experiences anything. The right debate is this… Could machines exhibit something different from human consciousness, something measurable, meaningful, and worth studying? I think so, absolutely! I’m entirely open to discussing “machine consciousness” in terms of observable, testable computational properties. We built these systems, we can instrument them, examine their internal mechanisms, and investigate what they’re capable of. That seems far more productive than endlessly arguing over whether a machine experiences life the way humans do. So here’s my question: How would you define machine consciousness, and more importantly, how would you measure it?
Not sure who needs to hear this but.... An LLM doesn't "understand" anything. It is a statistical model that spews out tokens based on probabilities calculated through massive matrix operations and context, not an understanding of the subject matter.
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Chris Athayde retweeted
During climate disasters, women don’t stop: 🔸 Menstruating 🔸 Getting pregnant 🔸 Taking care of their families Join @UNFPA to protect their right to dignity and safety where it’s most needed: unf.pa/hum #StandUp4HumanRights
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AI is changing the nature of work, creating opportunities for workers, entrepreneurs, and businesses.    At the #WBGMeetings, leaders explored how AI can drive productivity, create jobs, expand access to skills, & solve real-world challenges.    live.worldbank.org/en/event/…
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Chris Athayde retweeted
This is fantastic. @BenAffleck understands and can reasonably explain something that many of the so-called AI "experts" seem determined to over complicate and mislead people on. In fact, many of these experts are rapidly losing credibility with people who actually understand how this technology works. Unfortunately, they've already convinced a lot of people that AI is something it isn't. And as the saying goes, it's easier to fool someone than to convince them they've been fooled. An LLM is a computer program. We designed it. We know the architecture, the mathematics, and how inference works. Much of the underlying code and research is open for anyone to inspect. All LLMs processes tokens through mathematical operations using learned weights and context to predict what comes next. The results can be astonishingly accurate, useful, and convincing. But the LLM isn't alive. It doesn't love you, hate you, care about you, or sit around contemplating its existence or understanding. And yet people insist that somewhere inside those matrix operations, consciousness has magically materialized. Seriously? This isn't biological life evolving in nature. It's software executing computations on hardware we designed and built. If you're claiming those computations somehow produce subjective experience, explain the mechanism (I'll wait...). The remarkable achievement here is that we've created software capable of convincingly emulating aspects of human intelligence and behavior. That's freakin' amazing and cause to celebrate the technology! But please stop confusing a computer program with a living, conscious being. It's absolutely not. The fact that so many people have fallen for that illusion is a testament to how convincing the technology has become. But here's the clincher: when we misunderstand this, and we start treating computer programs as conscious, independent beings, the legal implications could be disastrous. Suddenly, "the AI did it" becomes an excuse to shift blame away from the people and companies responsible for building, deploying, and operating these systems. AI cannot be held accountable. But people and companies can be, and must be held accountable. Ben gets it. More people should.
Ben Affleck says AI is simply matrix multiplication, linear algebra and floating point calculations, and however convincingly it sounds like a person, it has nothing to do with thought, humanity or feeling “Nor do I believe, and I think it’s important to draw the distinction between what AI does, which is simply predict the next token or the next word in a sentence, then add that word on, run it back to the machine, do a lot of computation and pick the next word." "That is a very different thing than sentience or thought. And I think we need to be really clear about that because it can be convincingly, in an illusory way, sound like thought or like a person." "But let’s be real clear. This is matrix multiplication. This is linear algebra. These are floating point calculations. It has nothing to do with thought, humanity, or feeling.”
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India’s cities produce most of its wealth, yet they are so woefully underfunded (even accounting for leakages and swindling by muncipal authorities) Municipal revenue as a share of GDP: India: 0.9% Poland: 4.5% South Africa: 6% Brazil: 7.4% UK: 13.9% Norway: 14.2% The funding gap has lasted for years. Over the past decade, Centre and state tax revenue rose from 16% to 18% of GDP, while municipal revenue still stays less that measlu 1%. Property tax shows the same problem. It brings in about 1% of GDP across the OECD. In India it brings in 0.15%. Cities are responsible for the basics we depend on every day: water, sewage, garbage, buses, footpaths and clean air. These are the services where public spending pays off most directly for citizens, and they are funded the least. A realistic target is municipal revenue of 3–4% of GDP. Getting there would mean collecting property tax properly, fixing land records, and giving cities both money and the authority to deliver. India cannot reach developed-country standards with cities this underfunded. (Prachi Mishra, Ashoka University, via @timesofindia #UrbanIndia #Cities #Governance #ViksitBharat
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Sri Lankan food is about as diverse, nutritious and innovative as it gets. Yet, many still struggle to meet basic food needs. Scaling innovation can help strengthen food systems, build climate resilience and ensure that everyone can afford a healthy meal. #WorldFoodDay
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Chris Athayde retweeted
🌏 Stronger cooperation for greater development impact. The Heads of MDBs Group met @ADB_HQ in Manila to discuss how to deliver more financing and greater impact to support developing members as they face mounting challenges. 🔗 bit.ly/3VO50gR
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A study of 60,000 women confirms that COVID-19 vaccines have no impact on fertility or pregnancy outcomes. Dig into the findings: bit.ly/4aoYUXH
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Chris Athayde retweeted
Hello from Manila! Enjoying a morning walk today in the Philippines before the Heads of Multilateral Development Banks meeting. Looking forward to engaging with fellow MDB leaders on how we can mobilize more private capital, work more effectively as a system, and advance shared development priorities around the world. ----- ¡Hola desde Manila! Disfrutando de una caminata esta mañana en Filipinas antes de la reunión de presidentes de los Bancos Multilaterales de Desarrollo. Intercambiaré ideas con mis colegas de otros bancos multilaterales de desarrollo sobre cómo podemos movilizar más capital privado, trabajar de manera más eficaz como sistema y avanzar en prioridades de desarrollo compartidas en todo el mundo. ----- Saudações de Manila! Aproveitando uma caminhada nesta manhã nas Filipinas antes da reunião dos presidentes dos Bancos Multilaterais de Desenvolvimento. Trocarei ideias com meus colegas de outros bancos multilaterais de desenvolvimento sobre como podemos mobilizar mais capital privado, trabalhar de forma mais eficaz como sistema e avançar em prioridades de desenvolvimento compartilhadas em todo o mundo.
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Chris Athayde retweeted
One of the biggest challenges in human history has been to scale up cooperation, so as to enable greater complexity. This is very difficult in tribal societies. I suggest that Islamic empires did this through strengthening brotherhood ggd.world/p/did-female-seclu…
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