One of the weirdest quirks of the SF social scene around AGI/ASI is that because everyone is so young, the whole universe of thinking is still tinged with irreverence, ironic detachment, yearning, insecurity, and a superposition of absolute belief in the importance of The Thing and a kind of disbelief about the importance of anything. People are dead serious and also possessed of too much uncertainty about the situation to own it, completely committed and also perpetually unsure where they stand or what org they should be in. People are experiencing their first real heartbreaks and their first real illusions of triumph and disaster. Everyone is testing themselves and the boundaries of the possible but no one has been fully tested or passed all their tests. No one has yet learned or proven how to be responsible for a thing of this magnitude, but there is also no one better suited because all of the people who have real experience in great events have been in such different circumstances that their intuitions would not just fail to apply but might actively make things worse. The level of neophyte is off the charts. There is a lack of formidability; there are people who seem quasi-formidable but the whole social scene and hierarchy is so tenuous - and so likely to be disrupted by events and geopolitics - that it is hard to be sure who will turn out to be formidable when push comes to shove and greatness is requisite to proceed.