Daniel Foch retweeted
U.S. real estate investment has collapsed by 50% over the last four years.
The reason? It's now more profitable to sit on your couch and buy a 10-year government bond than to buy an investment property.
10-year yields are now 5.1%.
While the single-family cap rate for rentals is 4.8%.
For the first time in nearly two decades, buying real estate for cash flow has a negative opportunity cost v buying government bonds.
And as a result, the number of people buying investment properties has plummeted by 50% over the last four years.
This is having a massive price impact on certain markets. Track Cap Rates for your area at reventure.app/map.
Oracle Cites ‘Force Majeure’ to Shield Itself on Controversial Data Center
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Are Canadian Banks a Trade War Target? Special Guest Marc Cohodes nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1yGBePQke…
Reminder, we're going live with @AlderLaneEggs tomorrow at noon EST!
youtube.com/live/zuNKuqzFmYo
‘No chance’ tariffs will negate HST rebate, as new single-family home sales triple in August
The building industry says the rebate is counteracting the cooling effect of U.S. tariffs on Toronto’s new homes market.
thestar.com/real-estate/no-c…
Daniel Foch retweeted
Working my way through the population data revisions in the new quarterly demographic estimates release from Statcan, and they're pretty significant. The population decline reported over the last year has essentially been erased in the revisions.
Canada just posted its slowest population growth rate since World War I.
0.5% July-to-July.
+189k people.
Non-permanent residents: −155k.
Ontario: +0.3%.
The immigration brake is showing up in the headcount. Housing demand from population just downshifted hard.
StatCan, July 1 2026.
Ontario-backed High Art Capital pays $22.3 million for 43 unsold Toronto condo units
theglobeandmail.com/business…
Trump says he would back ban on diesel exports
bbc.com/news/articles/cmkg75…
It’s funny that all the “but muh guardrails” people who shit on openclaw are going hard on muse with no regard for safety lol
Daniel Foch retweeted
There is now $1B in connected assets tracking in @Fiscal_ai dashboards. 🎉
It is a great way to manage the portfolio and research ideas in the same platform.
Ontario real estate investors in limbo as ‘Simple Investor’ property firm suspends payments
ctvnews.ca/toronto/article/o…
It would appear the technical AI users & early adopters market is tapped out.
Everyone is now in a race for consumer AI assistants to drive token consumption. In just the last month:
1. Grok Bot
2. Meta Muse
3. Google CC
4. Now OpenAI
Softbank seeks US$11bn in junk bonds for OpenAI
taipeitimes.com/News/biz/arc…
Daniel Foch retweeted
🚨 THE AI BUBBLE IS STARTING TO LOOK LIKE A GAME OF MUSICAL CHAIRS:
The AI ecosystem is becoming increasingly interconnected, with a huge share of revenue at major companies now dependent on spending from a small group of AI players.
Applied Digital, $APLD, has the highest AI-related revenue exposure at ~86%, followed by CoreWeave, $CRWV, at ~80%, SK Hynix at ~58%, Nvidia, $NVDA, at ~51%, and TSMC, $TSM, at ~46%.
The concentration is striking, with Applied Digital depending heavily on Oracle and CoreWeave, while CoreWeave relies primarily on Microsoft, with additional exposure to Google and Meta.
AI companies are spending heavily on chips and infrastructure, those suppliers generate revenue from that spending, and the resulting revenue supports further investment across the same ecosystem.
With AI investment increasingly financed through debt, the ecosystem is becoming a circular financing system, with capital flowing between companies and helping fund further investment across the same AI ecosystem.
Put simply, the AI bubble increasingly looks like a game of musical chairs.
As long as spending remains high, most players benefit, but if one major player cuts spending, the revenue shock could quickly spread across the entire chain.
Are you playing?