Investing. I manage a small fund. Opinions only. Not investment advice. I may hold, buy, sell, or trade securities discussed at any time. https://xitter.cf/t.co/obmHaYFf5q

NYC
Joined May 2020
Pretty crazy how the market is only a few percentage points off ATH but so many stocks on my watchlist are down >50%. Telecom and space especially have been hit bad. $CABO $CCOI $ASTS $RKLB
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I guess $RKLB was expensive at $150. 🤷‍♂️ Nailed the top.
SpaceX IPO is expected to be ~80x sales $RKLB is now ~95x sales - has no constellation, no LLM, and no social media platform. Seems expensive to me 🤷
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Programming is the largest token use case for AI. If software is dead, will people continue to build software? 🤔 Will everyone build their own personal software or will everything be done within ChatGPT?
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Many investors used to think $CABO had a good management team when the stock was going up.
The Cable One deal is getting messier by the day. The company had lined up a $1.3bn financing (backed by GTCR) to buy the rest of MBI and pay off its B-4 TL. CoBank then bought ~$90mm of the RCF the day before the deal was set to close (according to Cable One) and sued to block it the next day, claiming cable was insolvent and overpaying. Now a judge has granted a TRO. Bear in mind, all of this is happening while the business keeps shrinking.. $CABO
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I do not believe $SPCX will roll out a significant terrestrial network. That is my opinion today.
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WSJ reporting $SPCX will pay $8b cash for the 800 MHz. $ECHO had the option to buy it for $3.59 billion. Large valuation disconnect to $ATEX 900 MHz spectrum current trading valuation.
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It seems to me that this is a pressure tactic to get an MNO to agree to a deal with $SPCX. The 800 MHz spectrum they bought does not solve the penetration issue. This will give you a signal indoors, but a pretty crappy one. Is $SPCX going to buy more midband now and become a full-blown terrestrial carrier? Will it make some sort of deal with cable? If this was really the plan, why didn't they just buy all of $ECHO?
This is the last critical piece of the spectrum puzzle needed for SpaceX to provide complete phone coverage in America
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$SBAC now +13% AH. Not only does this $SPCX news appear to allay fears that towers are getting replaced by SpaceX, it also appears to indicate that there is the potential for a new 4th carrier that will likely use towers. One with MUCH deeper pockets than the last one that tried...
$SPCX announced it will build a terrestrial layer with 800 MHz. Cell towers +4% AH. $AMT $CCI $SBAC $AD It's very interesting that Musk chose not to buy the $ECHO network. 🤔
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$SPCX announced it will build a terrestrial layer with 800 MHz. Cell towers +4% AH. $AMT $CCI $SBAC $AD It's very interesting that Musk chose not to buy the $ECHO network. 🤔
SpaceX has just officially announced two major milestones for @Starlink Mobile, bringing it one step closer to becoming a full-fledged mobile carrier in the U.S. 1) SpaceX has reached an agreement to acquire nationwide 800 MHz spectrum, which will allow Starlink Mobile to provide better indoor coverage, including signals that can penetrate walls and other obstacles. 2) The FCC has approved SpaceX's next-generation Starlink Mobile constellation of 15,000 satellites, which will deliver over 100x more bandwidth than its current satellites, enabling high-speed internet directly to regular smartphones worldwide. Once approved by the FCC, SpaceX plans to combine its satellite network with terrestrial infrastructure to create a seamless mobile network that works indoors, outdoors, and in cellular dead zones.
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$CABO +20% on WSJ article about a $1.25 first lien financing deal ahead of expected MBI close tomorrow.
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Brightspeed is the third-largest fiber builder in the U.S. It has ~$12b and facing a liquidity crunch. It's now negotiating with creditors and exploring new financing or a potential sale. Higher interest rates benefit incumbents. Long term debt at low interest rates is an asset.
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After nearly 3 years of work, we are launching the initial version of the site. It features tens of thousands of wartime videos of abundance and luxury in Gaza, published by Gazans themselves - and much more. Please read the crucial details in this thread before browsing🧵👇
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Let's try and prevent this from happening in America, please.
🚨 BREAKING: Paris erupts in chaos as massive riots break out, Palestine flags dominate the streets, overwhelmed riot police fight to regain control, foreign crowds flood the city, and leftists spiral into frenzy
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NY Times coverage on the protests. This is clearly all about protesting the government to invest more in schools...
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Echostar $ECHO DISH Wireless fight with towerco's ($AMT $CCI and $SBAC) and others is now heading to mediation as a settlement could not be reached. Deadline set for Nov. 4th. Hard to see how this gets settled without court rulings - the gap appears to be too big.
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Great summary of the $CABO situation.
Cable One's ($CABO) unsecured debt is trading under 30 cents. Its 1L TL is under 80. This is a company that was ONCE valued at $13bn+ and now has a measly market cap of <$100mm. Part of the reason (besides the whole sector being in shambles)? It owes GTCR an est. $480mm for the rest of MBI, a cableco whose price was locked in at the TOP of the cable cycle. That payment was due yesterday. This morning, they announced a 1-week extension and disclosed that they're in advanced financing talks with GTCR, PC lenders, and "certain" existing lenders. Here's what I think it means for the existing debt as well as equity and what could happen next junkbondinvestor.com/p/cable…
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Starlink Community Host website went live yesterday. I would not be surprised if their phone service ends up using a similar model. It is almost akin to the Helium network with money instead of crypto. How It Works Shared Equipment: The host installs a single Starlink kit and a network switch at a central location (such as an apartment building roof or community center). Individual Subscriptions: Multiple users connect their own separate Wi-Fi routers to the shared dish network, maintaining independent accounts. Host Role & Earnings: The host manages local equipment upkeep and subscriber onboarding, and they can earn a commission from Starlink for each active subscriber on the network. $SPCX $CHTR
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$CABO delayed close of MBI to Oct. 9th.
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Somewhere, a guy halfway through a Deadliest Catch or Ice Road Truckers marathon just turned to his wife and said, “See?”
One of the Israeli heroes from the plane: “I choked the hijacker. He was trying to bring the plane down. I pulled the controls up and stopped the plane from diving. Good thing I had watched Air Crash Investigation.” Holy shit.
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SoundThinking to be Acquired by Transom Capital Group SoundThinking $SSTI (ShotSpotter) shareholders to receive $8.00 per share in cash, plus one non-transferable contingent value right (CVR) for up to an additional $3.00 per share.
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