Behind mountains are more mountains
Joined May 2020
- Tweets2.2K
- Following195
- Followers928
- Likes5.7K
Nov 2024: we predict you will be happy using the platform
Oct 2025: $Poly?
Oct 2026: We are going IPO or I-$POLY?
cs_defier retweeted
In the year 2000, Amazon stock dropped by 80%.
Then Jeff Bezos shocked everyone with this letter to shareholders.
This letter will teach you more about investing than your business degree.
cs_defier retweeted
PRESIDENT TRUMP:
"We are winning so much, that we really don't know what to do about it. People are asking me, please, please, please Mr. President, we are winning too much, we can't take it anymore."
cs_defier retweeted
great excerpt from Buffett/Munger that doesn't get enough airtime
"A very important principle in investing is that you don't have to make it back the way you lost it. In fact, it's usually a MISTAKE to try and make it back the way you lost it." (1995 BRK)
Fees have been enabled on more @Polymarket markets including 15 mins crypto market
- Highest fee is at 1.56% when bought at $0.50
- 1.1% at $0.30 and $0.70
- 0.2% at $0.1 and $0.9
Was having some fun trading the 5 mins btc market, until the odds had a deep dive with 3 seconds to go
Up next: 1 min crypto market before $poly
Many new btc markets on @Polymarket with the recent volatility
latest market: which month in 2026 will be the best for BTC?
from a very brief look, you have some quarters like Q1 and Q4 that seems to give better returns
especially with so many things including mid term elections etc, will trump make us become so tired of winning again with best returns in Q4?
cs_defier retweeted
Someone asked about tricks for meeting eminent people. I said the best plan is just to do really good work. Then you'll tend to meet them organically. In the worst case you'll see one whenever you look in the mirror.
BTC dump = chances to buy no on new tokens hitting X FDV and launching by Feb
Most interesting things:
- Likelihood of opensea TGE by Q1 2026 (now 50%)
- Hyperliquid strength compared to BTC
- What price will BTC hit by end of 2026
What price will BTC likely bottom?
- 72% yes for 65k
- 51% yes for 55k
Definitely exciting to see how things go for the crypto price movement for the remaining months
cs_defier retweeted
I remember being told that this wasn’t real and I should be amazed at how well these algorithms could predict my purchasing preferences. Turns out they were doing exactly what everyone thought.
Has your phone ever shown you an ad for something you only whispered...?
Google agrees to fork over $68MN to settle claims that its Assistant was SECRETLY recording your convos WITHOUT 'Hey Google' & feeding them straight to targeted ads — The Hill
No wrongdoing admitted though
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Misleading: The suit was about cases where devices misheard phrases similar to “hey Google,” or “okay Google,” and activated by mistake. The suit did not claim devices were listening on other occasions.
reuters.com/sustainability…
bbc.com/news/articles/…
With the recent pump in memecoins again on pumpfun, perhaps there could also be a market on @Polymarket
related to how many coins hit Xm market cap on a weekly basis for example or how many graduated tokens on a daily basis
though the volume was not that high but might be interesting to keep track of the memecoin markets again
Will @opensea stop milking the users by X
$sea is coming since feb 2025 and odds was 90% to launch by feb 2025
although the team mentioned to TGE by Q1 2026, almost everyone knows that their words can't be trusted
pre-tge final campaign season 1-5 since Oct 2025
might even delay till Q1 2029 if they are preparing to include prediction markets which might take another few years
nonetheless do note that the liquidity is thin on the this market as it is newly created
New day new partnership from @Polymarket
users can now trade btc + eth volatility index in 2026, and the resolution source will be from volmex
BTC = recent low at 35 (sep 2025), recent high at 60 (nov 2025), now at 40
Eth = recent high at 83 (nov 2025), recent low at 55 (jan 2026), now at 57
Exciting to track not just the price, but volatility now for btc and eth apart from the 15 mins and daily market
Volmex 🤝 @Polymarket
The world’s largest prediction market has listed contracts on Volmex BVIV and EVIV Indices.
Express your view on the leading BTC and ETH volatility indices. Live now!
BVIV market: polymarket.com/event/what-wi…
EVIV market: polymarket.com/event/what-wi…
MOONBIRDS FDV 1 day after launch on @Polymarket
nfts have fallen off so much, and moonbirds nft recently hit 2.5e fp and now around 1.8e
- pengu: 600m mc, 770m fdv
- apecoin: 164m, 180m fdv
- animecoin: 37m mc, 67m fdv
would be interesting to see how high it goes, as it is ultimately about 1 day after launch no months/years
biggest question remains if opensea will even launch its token $SEA in Q1
Oh boy look what we have here, finally KOREAN SHOWS on @Polymarket
korean have some of the top quality shows in the recent few years compared to like stranger things
recently there's many like culinary war, physical asia, and when it comes to dating definitely Single's Inferno
no idea who is going to make a final part for this season, just going to bet on the best looking and popular girl
since ladies are able to select the guys at the end for their chosen match, thus slightly higher chance I guess
$1m article contest by x from Jan 16-28 with 3 MORE DAYS TO GO
some guidelines include:
- 1k english words in content
- no mention of illegal drugs, obscne, offensive language, commercial/corporate advertising, political statements
judging criteria:
- Adherence to submission guidelines;
- Grammar, spelling, and technical proficiency;
- Originality and authenticity;
- Platform engagement
so it seems like having huge amount of likes/retweets is just one of the criteria
it still requires authenticity + writing proficiency
who are some other favourites to win apart from Dan Koe?
@Polymarket @PolymarketTrade
We’re trying something new: we’re giving $1 million to the Top Article of the next payout period.
We're doubling down on what creators on 𝕏 do best: writing.
In 2026, our goal is to recognize high-value, high-impact content that shapes conversation, breaks news and moves culture.
Under @Polymarket document, there is also a section for the changelog
it is starting to get active again with 4 updates in Jan 2026 thus far regarding maker rebates program, enabling taker fee on 15-min crypto makers (peak at 1.56% at 50% probability)
It is also time for the user guide to be updated again, it is mentioned that "Polymarket has not announced plans for any airdrop or token generation event."
The maker rebate for the 15-min crypto markets will also end soon by 25 Jan
