
@crypto________0i
iAccount based inFrance
About this account
- Account based in
- France
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Account-level information from X, not a live location or the device used for a specific post.
These posts are rarely mine. Their only goal is for me to remember what I learn
Joined September 2023
- Tweets1.1K
- Following255
- Followers97
- Likes2.3K
NEW: Citrini laid out 'The Investable RWA Stack' which answers the, "How do you express the tokenization supercycle thesis in markets today? question.
Trillions are coming.
Gren00uille retweeted
9 crypto projects now generate $1M+ in weekly revenue for token holders:
Hyperliquid, Pump, Tron, Aerodrome, Uniswap, Ethereum, StonkFun, Sky, and Chainlink, which either do buybacks or revenue-sharing.
These projects alone account for 75%+ of the total token holders revenue.
Gren00uille retweeted
The most important thing I've learned:
Trading is all about STACKING PROBABILITIES
A good chart setup is important
BUT
A good chart setup by itself isn't enough
You can find the cleanest bull flag in the market...
Perfect consolidation
Perfect volume patterns
Perfect breakout level
But ask yourself:
WHY should this stock go higher?
This is where I think a lot of traders go wrong
They become so focused on finding the perfect technical setup that they completely ignore everything happening around the stock...
I want multiple things working in my favor:
-Is the overall market supportive?
-Is the sector/group showing strength?
-Is there a strong theme attracting attention and capital?
-Is this stock one of the LEADERS within that theme?
-Has it already shown relative strength?
-Is there a clean technical setup?
-Is there an actual catalyst/story giving traders a reason to care about the stock?
Now you're not relying on ONE thing being right
Think about the difference:
Setup A:
Beautiful bull flag
But the sector is weak
No theme
No volume
Stock has been underperforming
No real reason for money to flow into it.
VS.
Setup B:
Beautiful bull flag
Leading stock
Leading sector
Strong theme
Relative strength
Institutional volume patterns
Market conditions supportive
Clear catalyst/story
Which situation gives you more confluence to work with?
That's what I mean by stacking probabilities
None of these things guarantee a trade will work
You can have everything lined up perfectly and still be wrong
But trading isn't about certainty
It's about repeatedly putting yourself in situations where multiple factors are aligned instead of relying on a single pattern.
Don't just scan for pretty charts:
-Find out where the money is flowing
-Find the themes
-Find the strongest groups
-Find the leaders within those groups
THEN look for your setup.
Market → Theme → Sector/Group → Leader → Setup → Volume → Confirmation
The more pieces that align, the stronger the case becomes.
Stop looking for ONE reason to take a trade
Start looking for reasons that STACK
Gren00uille retweeted
Here is a full breakdown of my EOD swing trading system that:
- Gave me 100%+ years since 2020
- Averages +50% CAGR since 1995 (based on 13k signal database)
- Entering breakouts EOD (2-min before the close),
- and trade 20min/day, with no discretion, and no stress
I will use an example of a trade I closed yesterday in $BMY, following the 5 steps in the pic attached.
---
Step 1:
The first thing to trade momentum breakouts is to find stocks that made a new, fresh leg higher and established a new trend.
I use the 50 EMA cloud (with 0.5 ATR 5 period above and below) as a base, when the market prints a strong first leg coming from this area, it means that it's the FIRST fresh new leg of an intermediate-term trend, and the price/time relationship in the higher time frames has been corrected, and we are EARLY.
It's very important that it's the first leg and fresh; stocks that already had consolidations and are trading in their 3rd and 4th legs of the intermediate trend have a lower chance of having a successful, multi-day breakout.
I've tested this big time, and first consolidations after first legs have a much higher success rate % over later stage consolidations:
-> The later into the trend, the more extended it is, the biggest risk of a stop-out.
---
Step 2:
Then the stock will get in what I call the "perfect uptrend state", which signals when:
• The 8, 20, and 50 EMAs are stacked up and trending, and
• my CML indicator is GREEN (signals a perfect blend of momentum + linearity in a stock, looking at candle overlap for linear moves)
At this point, the stock will be hitting my breadth scans, as we have those stocks in an ABSOLUTE state of momentum, and that's when they give the highest quality consolidations against the 8/20 EMAs to look for a breakout.
---
Step 3:
--> Look for the first valid volatility contraction pattern, riding the 8/20 EMAs layer.
This is the step before the breakout, and you want to see the volatility contract, with the top and bottom trendlines converging together.
This shows that in the case below, sellers are being absorbed, and buyers are about to break through the least amount of resistance, taking prices to major levels quickly.
That's the foundational principle of the volatility contraction/expansion cycle, and we want to find these stocks about to make the expansion leg in the direction of the established momentum (or uptrend).
What to look for in a high-quality consolidation here:
> at least 7 candles of consolidation before a breakout
> no close below the 20 EMA
> see VCP characteristics (mainly a higher low for longs)
> swing points should be defined to draw trendlines OR a horizontal line to trade from ( triangles and ascending triangle shapes only)
---
Step 4:
Now look for the breakout candle, breaking through resistance, and having a nice close.
Some things I want to see here are:
- strong body candle signaling buying into the close
- body of the candle should be bigger than yesterday's candle
- should be closing in upper range of the candle (marked by the 0.786% level most of the times)
- for longs, stop loss size should be <= 2.5x ADR or ATR% for the last 20 days (to keep risk-reward in check)
- Stop goes @ LOD, entering just before the close at 3:58pm EST
---
Step 5:
--> After the breakout, I ride the swing for 5 days, regardless of what happens.
I've tested exits for my momentum breakouts from consolidations with over 13k signals as a database (including my live trades since 2020), and nothing beats a 5-day hold.
I might have different trade management according to my timing model, which is not the scope of this post, but I can have for longs:
- FULL LONGS ( 🟢 light) = exit at the 5th day full position
- LONGS + PARTIALS (🟡 light) = take 40% partial at 1:1 RR, ride the rest until the close of the 5th day.
My timing model is based on lots of breadth-risk parameters, will get into that later on.
---
That's all I do, and I've been doing it for years now. You can check my track record since 2020, and I also manually gathered 10k+ signals in my Strategy Hub App (inside the community), which shows how my strategy performs since 1995.
I trade with hard rules, no discretion, and follow my daily process to scan -> identify -> enter trades in the last 20 min of the trading day.
You do NOT need to be hours in front of the charts, looking for trades, or making emotional, reactive decisions.
You need:
- a strategy
- a daily process
- base it EOD to be done in 20min/day
You can have a life outside trading while still compounding at 50%+ CAGR with low drawdown, which is the whole point of this.
If anything resonates with you, check out my pinned post in my profile with a 4hr+ masterclass on my setup, expanding everything I shared here.
Go and do the work.
You only have to do it once 📈
Gren00uille retweeted
💥BREAKING: Bitcoin just tapped the 50-week moving average.
Every time Bitcoin has closed a week above this line, a new bull market followed.
Insane strength. Does it happen again?
Gren00uille retweeted
This is something I see many traders are going through.
They still want to trade the stocks that were the strongest at the start of the year, but that can make you bleed constantly...
What I do is simply run momentum scans, and let my process show me where the money goes...
And for weeks it has been:
- Healthcare
- Software
- Financials
You can see my swing positions below, they are all from these sectors.
I don't impose my opinions on the market, don't try to be smart, all I do and I ever did for years is just:
> show up
> run the scans
> take breakout signals according to my edge
> manage the risk
> and let the market do the rest.
If Software and Healthcare trigger all my longs, so be it.
All I want to do is run the distribution of my system, execute, and I know over a large sample size + 2 market phases back to back at least I will be profitable.
It's all about:
1) Momentum +
2) Volatility contraction/expansion
As you can see below, I swing trade momentum stocks in the strongest sectors/themes, enter 2 min before the close (EOD), and finish up my daily process within the last 20 min of the trading day.
You always want to trade and let your DAILY PROCESS tell you what to do, not your opinions or biases.
Execute, and manage the risk.
Nothing else to do 🫡
Gren00uille retweeted
Two camps right now:
4 year cycle loyalists
- $BTC didn't bottom in the exact timeframe is it did in the last 3 cycles, which was 12 months or more to the bottom
- Still below 50W MA so bearish market structure technically still intact
- BTC bear too shallow in drawdown
- A few examples from history show some similar type PA that reversed back below the 200D MA (lacks some similar context though imo)
- Points to weakness in stocks still to come
BTC bottom is in bulls
- 200D MA sliced through and held above
- Big distance above the 20W EMA/20W MA, which was held with yesterday's weekly candle
- Spent a lot of time below the 200W MA
- Strong impulse weekly candle seen at previous cycle bottoms
- Lock out type rally
- Spot volume up 150%
- ETFs buying billions of dollars of BTC again (didn't have this marginal buyer in previous cycles)
- Historically oversold vs SPY & QQQ, and similar aggressive candle seen at the bottom of the previous cycle against the indexes
- Historically significant short squeeze showing how offside positioning was
- Actual catalysts to support the PA rather than it being random - Treasury to continue to intervene in the bond market, SEC landmark crypto framework + rumours of USA to buy large amounts of BTC (last point is less significant, but combines for an additional buy the rumour catalyst)
- Wall of worry very much present, and bull markets climb a wall of worry
As a market cycles believer myself, I still think you will have a strong pullback in Oct to set a final higher low, but I can't look beyond the weight of data points in favour of trend shift, and the cycle bottom being in.
Camp bull.
Gren00uille retweeted
Replying to @clementetv_
segment portfolio into long term plays & short term plays
for long term plays commit to buying over a range of prices & time intervals with intent of holding for minimum X amount of time with a max price invalidation to cut when you're wrong
protects downsides while protecting upside by forcing yourself to hold for extended period of time if stop loss is not hit
e.g. you believe pump bottom is close, you want to buy $100k worth, you buy $20k each week next 5 weeks and cut entire position if it trades beneath .0014 on a high timeframe close like the weekly, slam entire size into position if it closes above .0034, now your entry is averaged over finite amount of time and you're less worried about low tf price action because you're still building the position, but you also have levels where you want to be fully in or fully out
then you just move to cold storage wallet & revisit when your time interval or price target is hit, say 6 months or new all time highs at .009
Gren00uille retweeted
Replying to @0xtroyster
ai infrastructure and compute. silicon data closed $30.5m from valor, cme ventures, samsung next, and vaneck to build daily gpu pricing benchmarks across 100+ rental platforms. cme launches compute futures in september using their data. halo already served 9.83 billion tokens across 271 models with tee security. institutional capital is financing gpu operators through staked usdai and gaib said at 8-11% apy. the infrastructure layer has funding, adoption metrics, and a tradfi integration launching in 30 days.
Gren00uille retweeted
Saylor selling more Bitcoin with no reaction by the market.
This particular risk/episode is over. Saylor poses no more risk this bear market (tbh he never really did and a lot of nonsense was being written).
We’ve had a series of bad news pieces with no follow through.
Another +1 for the bulls camp.
Ultimately BTC wants to go higher. Just needs a catalyst, which can still be a capitulation leg first.
Gren00uille retweeted
Bottom signals so far:
• Dats unwound
• No basis trade anymore on CME
• Miner capitulation/difficulty down 18.5%, biggest since 2021 China ban
• Saylor forced to sell BTC/STRC depegged badly
• Spent time below 200W MA
• Went 17% below previous cycle ATH
• RSI oversold on weekly and made higher low now
What might be missing:
• Final big volume capitulation event
• Visiting the realised price ~$54k
We are close.
To nail the timing of a financial crisis, you need all three:
Risk-seeking banks creating leverage
Non-bank duration transformers amplifying it
A large pool of collateral with asymmetric downside
Then you wait until an external shock reprices the cost of funding irreversibly
Gren00uille retweeted
BREAKING: 🚨 The U.S. stock market (S&P 500) is now at its most overvalued level in history, overtaking the 2008 peak.
Gren00uille retweeted
7️⃣ The Chinese Century by @tulipking
If the winner of the AI race is decided by who can pour the most power into one model...
China sits on ~4TW growing 16% a year against America's ~1.3TW at 4%.
Applying the logic through semis too, there are a specific set of names to keep your eyes on.
Gren00uille retweeted
5️⃣ The Broken Link between Protocol Revenues and Token Performance by @castle_labs @noveleader
Crypto protocols made $7.42B this year and most tokens still don't move.
Is it weak revenue?
$XRP being down 45% while Ripple equity is up 105% is the sign of the split in who actually has a claim on the money a protocol earns.

































