INDIA’S PALM OIL IMPORTS RISE, WHILE SOYOIL AND SUNFLOWER OIL IMPORTS DECLINE
India’s palm oil imports in September increased by 4.5% from August to 817,884 metric tons, according to the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA), which released the data on Thursday.
🇮🇳 India cuts edible-oil import duty from Sept 24:
🌴 Crude Palm/Soy: 10% → 5%
🌻 Crude Sunflower: 10% → 0%
Refined rates remain unchanged.
📌 Positive for future Indian buying, but the near-term impact depends on fresh demand and stocks.
🌴 PALM OIL | 2027 OUTLOOK
Malaysia exports expected around 16M tonnes.
Indonesia production: -1.9M tonnes
Malaysia production: -0.7M tonnes
Indonesia exports: ~3M tonnes lower
Lower supply and higher biodiesel demand may support palm oil prices.
🚨 INDIA SOYOIL IMPORTS MAY HIT RECORD
🇮🇳 India’s soyoil imports could rise 4.2% to 5.7M tonnes in 2025/26 as higher palm & sunflower oil prices make soyoil more competitive.
Higher soyoil imports may limit palm oil purchases, impacting global palm demand.
Malaysia Palm Oil Update 🌴
SPPOMA (1–15 Sep): Yield +18.75% OER +0.48% Production +21.28%
Production growth remains strong, indicating higher supply pressure on the palm oil market.
🌴MALAYSIA PALM OIL — AUGUST 2026
PRODUCTION ROSE SLIGHTLY, WHILE CPO AND TOTAL STOCKS INCREASED.
EXPORTS FELL 7.5%, WHICH IS NEGATIVE FOR THE MARKET.
OVERALL, THE REPORT IS SLIGHTLY BEARISH, BUT NOT STRONGLY BEARISH.
🚨 Biofuel Update:
The White House is reportedly considering adding 500M gallons to 2027 biofuel quotas to offset higher-than-expected small refinery exemptions.
EPA may approve more exemptions this week. No official announcement yet.
🌴 🌴 🌴 🌴 🌴
Malaysia Palm Oil ⚠️
Exports are weakening sharply in August, while production remains higher.
➡️ Exports ↓
➡️ Production ↑
➡️ Stocks ↑ Risk
If this trend persists, higher end-August inventories could put pressure on CPO prices.
🌴 🌴 🌴 🌴
MPOC expects CPO prices to remain above RM4,600/tonne in September, supported by tightening supply and geopolitical disruptions.
2027 FCPO is already above RM5,000, while Indonesia’s B50 biodiesel demand could strengthen further after September.
Bullish for CPO.
