Gurvinder Malhotra | Prop Contra Investing Research Services | SEBI INH000017480 | I teach Deep Value, Momentum & Swing Trading | https://xitter.cf/t.co/vV6UYbylCJ

Joined December 2023
๐Ÿš€ *MOMENTUM & SWING ADVANTAGE* ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿน DUSSEHRA SPECIAL OFFER ๐Ÿน ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ“ˆ *Actionable Trading Ideas Starting at โ‚น1,999/Month!* Get access to: โœ… 1โ€“2 Trade Ideas Daily โœ… Entry, Stop-Loss & Target Levels โœ… Regular Market Outlook & Analysis โœ… Instant WhatsApp Trade Alerts โœ… Priority WhatsApp Support ๐Ÿ’ฐ *CHOOSE YOUR PLAN* ๐Ÿ”น Monthly: โ‚น1,999 ๐Ÿ”ฅ Quarterly: โ‚น4,999 ๐Ÿ”น Half-Yearly: โ‚น7,999 โญ Yearly: โ‚น11,999 ๐ŸŽฏ *Track Momentum Opportunities with a Structured Trading Approach!* ๐Ÿ‘‰ *SUBSCRIBE NOW:* superprofile.bio/vig/685eb73โ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“Š *Contra Investing Research Services* CMA Gurvinder Malhotra SEBI Registered Research Analyst Registration No.: INH000017480 โš ๏ธ *Standard Warning:* Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing. *Disclaimer:* SEBI registration, Exchange enlistment and NISM certification do not guarantee the performance of the intermediary or assure returns to investors.
2
1
6
2,190
๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜๐— ๐—˜ โ€” ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ ๐Ÿญ ๐—š๐—จ๐—๐—”๐—ฅ๐—”๐—ง ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜๐— ๐—œ๐—ฆ ๐—•๐—œ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—ฌ๐—ก CMP: โ‚น359 Market Cap: โ‚น4,684 Cr A Vapi-based drug maker more than doubled its factory capacity. But profits fell. That's what makes this stage of the capex cycle interesting: the costs arrive before the volumes. ๐Ÿญ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ โ‚น๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฒ๐Ÿฐ ๐—–๐—ฅ ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ ๐Ÿ”น โ‚น75 Cr spent in FY24, โ‚น116 Cr in FY25 and โ‚น173 Cr in FY26 ๐Ÿ”น Fermentation capacity more than doubled, from 450 KL to 990 KL ๐Ÿ”น A new multi-purpose API plant, costing over โ‚น200 Cr, was commissioned in May 2025 ๐Ÿ”น Fixed assets surged from โ‚น41 Cr to โ‚น289 Cr ๐Ÿ”น Another โ‚น121 Cr remains under construction ๐Ÿ”น Borrowings rose from โ‚น30 Cr to โ‚น162 Cr, pushing debt-to-equity from 0.12 to 0.56 The company produces Rifamycin S and Rifamycin O โ€” intermediates used in medicines such as Rifampicin and Rifaximin. It was the first company in India to manufacture Rifampicin commercially. Now, the business is moving further up the value chain: from supplying intermediates to producing finished APIs for markets including the US and Europe. ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—•๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—ก๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ฆ ๐—œ๐—ฆ ๐—˜๐—ซ๐—ฃ๐—”๐—ก๐——๐—œ๐—ก๐—š The expansion extends well beyond the new API plant. ๐Ÿ”น ๐—™๐—˜๐—ฅ๐— ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง๐—”๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก โ€” Capacity increased from 450 KL to 990 KL at Vapi ๐Ÿ”น ๐—”๐—ฃ๐—œ๐—ฆ โ€” New facility for fermentation-based and synthetic ingredients ๐Ÿ”น ๐—•๐—ฅ๐—”๐—ก๐——๐—ฆ โ€” Proposed acquisition of 13 anti-TB and anti-infective brands from Sanofi, France ๐Ÿ”น ๐—๐—”๐—ฃ๐—”๐—ก โ€” Proposed acquisition of MicroBiopharm Japan, which operates three plants ๐Ÿ”น ๐—ฃ๐—ข๐—ช๐—˜๐—ฅ โ€” An 18 MW captive wind and solar project under implementation The Sanofi portfolio sells in more than 55 countries and generated approximately โ‚ฌ62 million in FY25 revenue. ๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ ๐—›๐—”๐—ฆ ๐—ฆ๐—จ๐—ฅ๐—š๐—˜๐—— FY24: โ‚น75 Cr FY25: โ‚น116 Cr FY26: โ‚น173 Cr Annual capex is now roughly 13ร— depreciation โ€” the steepest multiple in this series so far. But the investment has a cost: ๐Ÿ”น FY26 free cash flow: โ€“โ‚น124 Cr ๐Ÿ”น Borrowings increased to โ‚น162 Cr ๐Ÿ”น Depreciation rose from โ‚น5 Cr to โ‚น13 Cr ๐Ÿ”น Interest expense increased from โ‚น0.4 Cr to โ‚น3 Cr The company's own report describes the situation as a โ€œcapex-driven debt build-up.โ€ ๐ŸŽฏ ๐—ช๐—›๐—”๐—ง'๐—ฆ ๐—ก๐—˜๐—ซ๐—ง? The next 12 months could be decisive: ๐Ÿ”น Ramp up the new API plant from validation batches to commercial production ๐Ÿ”น Complete the โ‚ฌ158 million Sanofi brand acquisition, expected by December 2026 ๐Ÿ”น Complete the MicroBiopharm Japan acquisition for ยฅ21.5 billion ๐Ÿ”น Commission the 18 MW captive power project ๐Ÿ”น Deploy the โ‚น750 Cr raised in August at โ‚น354 per share FY26 revenue rose 10% to โ‚น166 Cr, while profit stood at โ‚น47 Cr. The June quarter's operating margin was 48%. Important: Neither acquisition had closed as of the annual report. Their completion, funding and integration remain key milestones. ๐Ÿ“Š ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—ก๐—จ๐— ๐—•๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฆ ๐Ÿท๏ธ 25% below its 52-week high of โ‚น479 Over the past decade, the company has delivered: ๐Ÿ”น 18% sales CAGR ๐Ÿ”น 26% profit CAGR ๐Ÿ”น 32% return on equity The business has come a long way from having negative reserves in 2015. But valuation matters. At approximately 96ร— earnings, with profit down 4% last year and return on capital falling from 45% to 18%, the market is already pricing in substantial future growth. The new capacity must now translate into higher volumes, stronger returns and sustainable cash generation. ๐Ÿ”„ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ ๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—ข๐—ฅ๐—ฌ ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ โ†’ ๐—™๐—˜๐—ฅ๐— ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง๐—”๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก + ๐—”๐—ฃ๐—œ ๐—ฃ๐—Ÿ๐—”๐—ก๐—ง โ†’ ๐—–๐—ข๐— ๐— ๐—œ๐—ฆ๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก๐—œ๐—ก๐—š โ†’ ๐—–๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—ฆ ๐—™๐—œ๐—ฅ๐—ฆ๐—ง โ†’ ๐—ฉ๐—ข๐—Ÿ๐—จ๐— ๐—˜๐—ฆ ๐—ก๐—˜๐—ซ๐—ง The new plant is commissioned, but depreciation and interest costs are already rising before the full benefit of additional production comes through. The next phase is about execution: ramping up capacity, closing acquisitions and converting investment into earnings. Now the focus shifts from building capacity to filling it. That's the part I'm tracking. Educational purposes only. Not a buy/sell recommendation. โค๏ธ Like | ๐Ÿ” Repost | ๐Ÿ”– Bookmark | ๐Ÿ”” Follow ๐—–๐—”๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ซ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜๐— ๐—˜ โ€” ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿญ More companies from the CAPEX cycle coming next.
1
1
7
1,895
CMA Gurvinder Malhotra retweeted
Meanwhile, which Indian company will give 1 share to every Indian kid? Adani? Ambani? Tata? Or are we asking for too much? Comment below: Which Indian stock should do this?
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.
1
1
2
1,678
4 stocks crossed 20x their 1-year average volume today. The highest was 36x. One saw โ‚น1,345 crore change hands in a single day. Here is what moved ๐Ÿ‘‡ โœ๏ธJai Corp Ltd #JAICORPLTD ๐Ÿ”นVolume vs 1Yr Avg: ๐Ÿ”ผ36.0x โœ๏ธLe Travenues Technology Ltd #IXIGO ๐Ÿ”นVolume vs 1Yr Avg: ๐Ÿ”ผ33.2x โœ๏ธGanesh Consumer Products Ltd #GANESHCP ๐Ÿ”นVolume vs 1Yr Avg: ๐Ÿ”ผ25.4x โœ๏ธPashupati Cotspin Ltd #PASHUPATI ๐Ÿ”นVolume vs 1Yr Avg: ๐Ÿ”ผ22.7x โ™ป๏ธ Repost if this saved you screening time ๐Ÿ”” Follow for tomorrow's 1Yr-volume scan Disclaimer : No Buy and Sell recommendations. SEBI Registration INH000017480 #StockMarket
1
4
1,439
Meanwhile, which Indian company will give 1 share to every Indian kid? Adani? Ambani? Tata? Or are we asking for too much? Comment below: Which Indian stock should do this?
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.
1
1
2
1,678
Just few hours left.
๐Ÿš€ *5-DAY WORKSHOP ON FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS* ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ’ก *It Will Change the Way You Read Financial Statements & Ratios!* Want to understand what financial statements and ratios actually reveal about a company? Join our 5-Day Live Workshop and learn how to analyze Financial Statements systematically. ๐ŸŽฏ *WHAT YOUโ€™LL LEARN* โœ… Understanding Business Models โœ… Analysing Financial Statements โœ… Evaluating Sales, Profits, ROE & ROCE โœ… Understanding Valuation Ratios โœ… Interpreting Financial Numbers Like an Investor ๐ŸŽ *SPECIAL LAUNCH OFFER* ๐Ÿ”ฅ Early Bird Price: *โ‚น999* ~~Standard Price: โ‚น2,999~~ ๐ŸŽ‰ *FREE FOR ALL PREMIUM MEMBERS!* ๐Ÿ“… *Starting Date:* 19 October 2026 โฐ *Time:* 8:00 PM ๐Ÿ’ป *Platform:* Zoho Meeting ๐ŸŽฅ *Includes:* Live Sessions + Recordings ๐Ÿ“š Learn to read the numbers, interpret financial ratios, and understand what they reveal about a business! โณ *Early Bird Seats Are Limited!* ๐Ÿ“ฉ Register Now : superprofile.bio/e/Learn_Funโ€ฆ CMA Gurvinder Malhotra SEBI Registered Research Analyst Contra Investing Research Services SEBI Registration INH000017480
2
3
1,330
CMA Gurvinder Malhotra retweeted
Jio's IPO week starts today with anchor bidding. โ—† Jio anchor book: today (Oct 19) โ—† IPO: Oct 21โ€“23 at โ‚น1,065โ€“1,119, raising up to โ‚น30,213 cr โ—† Paras Healthcare also opens Oct 21: โ‚น660โ€“693, โ‚น1,450 cr โ—† Paras: โ‚น500 cr new shares + โ‚น950 cr sold by existing shareholders. Money mainly to repay debt โ—† Zetwerk and Tonbo are due to list on Oct 23 โ†ณ About โ‚น31,700 cr of IPOs open this week โ†ณ The anchor list will show how strong demand from global funds is โ†ณ Caveat: two-thirds of Paras' issue is existing shareholders selling, not new money for the company ๐ŸŸก Biggest IPO week of the year โšก For Jio, watch the anchor list. For Paras, note that most of the money goes to selling shareholders. #JioIPO #ParasHealthcare #IPO Educational purpose only โ€” NOT a buy/sell recommendation.
2
1
1
2,053
Jio's IPO week starts today with anchor bidding. โ—† Jio anchor book: today (Oct 19) โ—† IPO: Oct 21โ€“23 at โ‚น1,065โ€“1,119, raising up to โ‚น30,213 cr โ—† Paras Healthcare also opens Oct 21: โ‚น660โ€“693, โ‚น1,450 cr โ—† Paras: โ‚น500 cr new shares + โ‚น950 cr sold by existing shareholders. Money mainly to repay debt โ—† Zetwerk and Tonbo are due to list on Oct 23 โ†ณ About โ‚น31,700 cr of IPOs open this week โ†ณ The anchor list will show how strong demand from global funds is โ†ณ Caveat: two-thirds of Paras' issue is existing shareholders selling, not new money for the company ๐ŸŸก Biggest IPO week of the year โšก For Jio, watch the anchor list. For Paras, note that most of the money goes to selling shareholders. #JioIPO #ParasHealthcare #IPO Educational purpose only โ€” NOT a buy/sell recommendation.
2
1
1
2,053
Stocks with Tight Consolidation A thread ๐Ÿงต
2
8
30
10,500
17. Premier Explosives Ltd
1
762
Disclaimer : No Buy/Sell recommendations. SEBI Registration INH000017480.
729