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MAcro Fun!
Remember there will always be a reason, a narrative to sell..a reason for FEAR.
and this pullback on ltf was to be expected.
Have a good one and I will reply to most when I become more active again. Keep safe!
You truly need to be without emotion..so much so that you should see it as a game..a game where you can actually win both ways. If you can do that...then you beat your bias. You beat your bias by actually wanting to win no matter if its to the opposite side.
Why beat bias? Because it effects your read. Its a strange feeling-Wanting something to go one way while deep down you want and need it to go the other way but able to suppress it by beating the "levels" to the game to be able to move forward.
Then you take control..you do not run on hopes and guess work..you step outside the whole bull and bear name calling and bashing pissing contests you see day after day here, and you start to flow with the market, you start feeling the rhythm of the market and you start to follow what the chart shows you instead if forcing an idea...
Thats when your accuracy picks up. Thats when you leave others behind that lets their emotions dictate what they say and do.
Thats when you actually start moving forward.
Up to this point I have only seen one account catch on to it, actually one of my friends on X. I wanted to post the chart as I know it will get some attention but at the same time, I think it's better that I don't
I have always enjoyed analysis on the secular cycles. Hence my pinned post from long time ago. Its becoming more clear that the economic reset narrative looks to be around AI. Narratives much the same as 100 years ago.
Pandemic
War
Communications
Electric cars
Tech.
Housing topped 1926
Great depression 1929
Rhyming strong although structure has fractal backing from the 1960s and 1990s.
Secular cycle between the last 3 secular cycles have always placed us between 2028-2032.
I have said for a long time to just be ready In case on the next cyclical top...2028 is when I believe and have believed that will be.
Even forecasting is assessed probabilities on historical price action and read on backdrop.
You can be very accurate yet still not know what WILL happen. Peddling the idea that you do proves you don’t understand markets. So many of you trying to pull in people on this platform that way- truly cringeworthy.
Normally the same people that's full of excuses after the fact.
Called the move to 84 from 60 btw.
You can even overlay this chart and the moves have almost been exact. But sure...guess I am a bear in these tourists eyes.
Medium time frame trend is down. Normally that does not change quick unless a lower liquidity level is taken. Patience is unfortunately needed. I stand by what looked like the highest probability months ago.
Taken longer than I expected but that is usually the case when I do not recognize the time cycle yet or spot it in advance.
I can tell you this tho, historically once the 1st correction is over from the low..then the following impulse is a strong one..meaning a solid Untz and it should be something to look forward to.
Since 2022 Oil has been a pretty solid read for me. What truly remains interesting is how plans and even wars are set in place around the prices of assets. Its like the ultimate " red pill " you can take.
H4 with 2 failed attempts. HTF > LTF
D2 rejection. Now is the time to protect yourself.
nothing to be afraid if in Spot. Get it over with so we can UntZ
Worth the full read and explanation.
The breakout failed although its essentially still above resistance it did not get the momentum required. Failed breakout with holding supports for so long is not a good sign. The htf bear div was the one that could and should be able to pull us to the low 70s before the next impulse starts. With the recent strength it looked like it wanted to put in another div with a short burst "wave". Before it probably would then also lead to a bigger correction down to clear the divergence.. but likely to a higher lower level.
When price sits for so long on support its not a good signal where buyers gets exhausted and you get enough stagnation that a dribble down cause a cascading effect. Now this is what it starting to look like.
Bigger div not yet fully played out. Resting on support for too long.
Failed breakout so far.
Its not a good look unfortunately. At the same time its fine regardless, because at this point its much more about time than levels. Meaning we should get the volatility that wakes up the markets and then everything should start happening pretty fast and aggressive from that point.
So let me make this clear. People looking for 40s is reaching very hard. Nothing is impossible but its improbable as it was few months ago and even less so now no matter if low 70s gets tested. The low has much higher chance of being in and set. If you are in leverage then it would be wise to set your stops below support where we are now.. then you will be fine no matter a short wave or a visit lower, and if we get the short pulse higher then good and you move your stops little higher.
Uncertainty is not a good look on markets but we are getting close to putting it to bed including the bears.
A full explanation gets minimal engagement but I can almost guarantee you if I were to say-
CrAziest! BULL RUN ON THE way EVER! Prepare for insaaaane GAINS.
That it would get 10x that.
Where is the incentive to share value? There is none. There is only passion. One thing stands out from that. Once I actually say that the UnTz is here. That people will know its not just another slop post. I am not a slop poster.
Worth the full read and explanation.
The breakout failed although its essentially still above resistance it did not get the momentum required. Failed breakout with holding supports for so long is not a good sign. The htf bear div was the one that could and should be able to pull us to the low 70s before the next impulse starts. With the recent strength it looked like it wanted to put in another div with a short burst "wave". Before it probably would then also lead to a bigger correction down to clear the divergence.. but likely to a higher lower level.
When price sits for so long on support its not a good signal where buyers gets exhausted and you get enough stagnation that a dribble down cause a cascading effect. Now this is what it starting to look like.
Bigger div not yet fully played out. Resting on support for too long.
Failed breakout so far.
Its not a good look unfortunately. At the same time its fine regardless, because at this point its much more about time than levels. Meaning we should get the volatility that wakes up the markets and then everything should start happening pretty fast and aggressive from that point.
So let me make this clear. People looking for 40s is reaching very hard. Nothing is impossible but its improbable as it was few months ago and even less so now no matter if low 70s gets tested. The low has much higher chance of being in and set. If you are in leverage then it would be wise to set your stops below support where we are now.. then you will be fine no matter a short wave or a visit lower, and if we get the short pulse higher then good and you move your stops little higher.
Uncertainty is not a good look on markets but we are getting close to putting it to bed including the bears.
Rejection as it stands but there is not much room left. We should get the decision sooner than later.
Turn of structure. Looking really good here for a breakout topside...if it will lead into a bigger impulse not sure yet. Do I think lower 70s is out? Can not say here...but a breakout here could be significant
Listen, over time I gave small accounts shoutouts..some ended up really deserving and humble. Some turned out not the way ai expected. Made me do it even less than I did.
You can thank those people for what I am about to say next. If you want to grow your acc. Want to become an influencer and all that bs I dont care about. Then please do it smart and the right way. Posting on my comments saying you said this or you said that...is NOT SMART. thank you.
I will say this again. Besides my own experience on reading markets with expecting the divergence before my signals - My pre divergence signal I developed is one of the best signals I have seen..point blank. This was 11 days before the normal divergence came in..and 14 before it confirmed.










