
Economist @UNinIndia and data enthusiast. Formerly @UNCTAD @UNESCAP @OECD_Centre @PSEinfo @Banquemondiale Likes, RTs ≠ endorsements
New Delhi / Paris / Brussels
Joined May 2008
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Christopher Garroway retweeted
David Albouy @albouy is entirely justified in being aggrieved. It was completely inappropriate for @TheEconomist to publish a response to their (ridiculous) article on Daron Acemoglu that contained a misstatement of the Albouy criticisms, just at it was inappropriate that the article's author did not contact David to describe the nature and import of his criticisms for the *ideas* that AJR have developed, as opposed to the merits of a particular set of statistical exercises. There are huge questions surrounding the ways that credible empirical claims can be made about questions of the type AJR address.
Cross-country regressions have proven to a very fragile source of information on the mechanisms underlying growth and development. My view of the AJR research program is that the empirical dimension should be understood from the vantage point of inference to the best explanation, aka abduction, as a way to understand their research strategy, which implies historical/qualitative evidence is central. For details, see my paper
"Institutions, Development, and Growth: Where Does Evidence Stand?" Handbook of Economic Development and Institutions, Jean-Marie Baland, François Bourguignon, Jean-Philippe Platteau, and Thierry Verdier, eds., Princeton University Press, 2020.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
India breaches 1 billion mark in Social Protection Coverage!
Thank you, DG @ilo Mr. @GilbertFHoungbo, for acknowledging India's efforts towards expanding social protection coverage.
Under the leadership of PM Shri @narendramodi ji, India's social protection coverage has grown from 25 crore citizens (19%) in 2015 to over 100 crore citizens (68.4%) in 2026, reflecting the Modi Government's commitment to Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
The BRICS Labour & Employment Ministers' Meeting concluded successfully under India's BRICS Presidency with the adoption of a Joint Declaration reaffirming cooperation on social security, labour market formalisation,
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Hon'ble Union Minister of Labour & Employment Dr. Mansukh Mandaviya warmly welcomed Labour Ministers and distinguished delegates from BRICS member countries to the 12th BRICS Labour & Employment Ministers' Meeting in Hyderabad, Telangana,
Christopher Garroway retweeted
BRICS nations come together to shape a future of work that is resilient, inclusive and innovation driven—advancing social protection, empowering women, building skills for tomorrow, and leveraging digital transformation to ensure equitable opportunities for all.
#BRICS
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Productive deliberations marked the first day of the 3rd BRICS Employment Working Group Meeting, with member countries sharing diverse experiences and innovative practices across priority areas of labour and employment.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
BRICS EWG prioritises higher female workforce participation, leadership inclusion, and safe, equitable workplaces.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Pleased to co-chair with @UNDP Administrator @alexanderdecroo a high-level policy dialogue on
Conflict in the Persian Gulf and Its Implications for Human Development and Crisis Resilience in Asia and the Pacific.
Had a rich exchange with PRs from the region and agreed that strengthening regional cooperation, sharing solutions and preparedness are critical for our countries to respond to the current food, fuel and fertiliser crisis.
Appreciate UNDP’s role in facilitating dialogue among regional partners.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
On Indian poverty reduction:
New paper from Pete Lanjouw & coauthors, who pioneered methods for linking poverty measures across messy data series:
"All estimates indicate a significant slowing of poverty decline between 2011/12 and 2022/23 compared to the preceding decade"
Christopher Garroway retweeted
India needs reforms, not sermons ebx.sh/TVixov
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Ten notable facts from India’s new SRS Statistical Report 2024 published two days ago:
1) India’s total fertility rate (TFR) has dropped to 1.88 (rounded up to 1.9 in the figures) in 2024 from 1.92 in 2023.
2) This drop is roughly the historical speed of the last few decades. India’s TFR was 4.3 in 1985 and it has been falling around 0.06 per year since then.
3) For those who think “smartphones are the reason for the fall of TFR,” there is not much change in India’s TFR after their introduction. Of course, this might only apply to India.
4) India’s sex ratio at birth continues moving toward natural levels. It has grown from 907 girls per 1000 boys in 2018-2020 to 918 in 2022-2024. Without sex selection (e.g., selective abortions), it should be around 952.
5) Nonetheless, this bias still means that India’s replacement rate is around 2.15, not 2.1 as in other advanced economies.
6) Hence, India is already 0.27 children below the replacement rate and the gap continues growing.
7) However, this figure hides large regional differences. Kerala is at 1.3, well below the U.S. and approaching Italian and Spanish levels (Delhi is even lower, at 1.2, but it is a peculiar case), while Bihar remains at 2.9.
8) In terms of the rural/urban divide, rural India is at 2.1 and urban India at 1.5.
9) From everything I can see, India’s TFR will continue to fall, and it should reach 1.57 (the current level of the U.S.) around 2031 unless something significant changes.
10) Having said that, India’s data has a non-trivial margin of error, and a new Census might change our reading of the situation.
In summary, India is following the same path as everyone else. No Indian fertility Sonderweg!
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Shape of the things to come. Modi was there first.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Dr. Joram Aniya’s inclusion in @NITIAayog marks a historic moment, bringing an eminent intellectual voice from Arunachal Pradesh to the highest level of national policymaking.
An accomplished academician, Associate Professor, and member of the Arunachal Pradesh Private Educational Regulatory Commission, she has over 18 years of experience in teaching, research, and public policy engagement.
Notably, she is the first woman from the Nyishi community to earn a Ph.D. and the first in Hindi language in the state, with significant contributions to literature, culture, and indigenous knowledge systems.
She has authored and edited many books on Nyishi literature and culture, along with numerous research publications.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
The Mughal Princess of Mexico
In the central Mexican city of Puebla, a short drive from the largest pyramid ever built, stands the world’s most unexpected Mughal tomb.
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Replying to @LFLopezCalva
@LFLopezCalva, Global Director, @WorldBank, linked declining trust to a deeper legitimacy crisis and highlighted the need for governments that deliver to rebuild trust, at @UNUWIDER Conference hosted by #ISID.
@Shanta_WB | @kaushikcbasu | @apvjustino | Farzana Afridi
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Happy World Poetry Day! What's your favorite poem?
#Poetry #WorldPoetryDay
Christopher Garroway retweeted
Thematic Session on “Financing Development Goals, and Aid Effectiveness” at the @UNUWIDER Conference hosted by #ISID.
@arvinn | @AmeliaSantosP | Sambit Bhattacharyya | Gargi Sharma Goel | @chelnikov
#WIDERDevConf2026
The most striking statistic in UN's latest WESP 2026 report is an unprecedented $2.7 trillion in global military expenditure in 2024: steepest annual increase since 1988. A sobering reminder of how little has changed since I was my daughters' age... policy.desa.un.org/publicati…
Christopher Garroway retweeted
India’s progress in cutting child poverty shows the power of social protection, digital delivery & strong safety nets. Scaling last-mile access & investing in human capital can drive inclusive growth. @chelnikov @UN @UNinIndia @UNICEF @UNICEFIndia @ILO theinterview.world/human-cap…
Very sage advice for all of us!
































