Certy. (@certyapp)

@certyapp4h

133 of 215 free picks hit, every one graded. a certy account is free: email only, no card. link in bio. every side it prices is free forever, up to five a night. last one: rays 55% · certy odds -123 · -116 at DraftKings (oct 17) ✅ #MLB

Certy card: a free Certy account — email only, no card. Every side it prices is free forever — up to five a night. frozen before the game, graded in public. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy card: a free Certy account — email only, no card. Every side it prices is free forever — up to five a night. frozen before the game, graded in public. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy. · Oct 21, 2026 · 2:04 AM UTC

@certyappOct 21

133 of 215 free picks hit. we post the misses too, it's kind of our thing. no card to start: make a free certy account. link in bio. every side it prices is free forever, up to five a night. last one: rays 55% · certy odds -123 · -116 at DraftKings (oct 17) ✅ #MLB

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 2:03 PM UTC

wsh at sf: every line hit 🫡 yesterday, graded: alt-line cards: 1 of 1 hit · 2 of 2 lines hit wsh at sf ✓ every nfl play this season: 235 of 472 hit. #WASvsSF

Certy graded card, WSH at SF: alternate lines from the official box score — George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards: hit (69), Certy 56% · certy odds -128 · -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards: hit (64), Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the lines as one ticket: 29.6%, about 1 in 3, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 2 of 2 hit. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, WSH at SF: alternate lines from the official box score — George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards: hit (69), Certy 56% · certy odds -128 · -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards: hit (64), Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the lines as one ticket: 29.6%, about 1 in 3, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 2 of 2 hit. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 11:30 AM UTC

STEP 3 ✅ Brock Purdy threw for 264. First time EVER on step 4 of the road to $10K 🪜🔥 The stack: $62.59. 6 of 10 steps hit this season, and the last three in a row. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. #WASvsSF #MNF

Certy's Road to $10K card, Mon Oct 19: step 3, Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards, WSH at SF, our estimate 52 percent (certy odds -110); -120 at DraftKings. Final: 264 pass yds. The step hit, the stack is now $62.59. This season: 6 of 10 steps hit · 1 void · 5 runs started · best step 4 · best stack $62.59. The road: $10 starts it, one or two picks a step, every leg priced near even money, a hit rolls the whole stack up a step, a miss starts over at $10. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy's Road to $10K card, Mon Oct 19: step 3, Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards, WSH at SF, our estimate 52 percent (certy odds -110); -120 at DraftKings. Final: 264 pass yds. The step hit, the stack is now $62.59. This season: 6 of 10 steps hit · 1 void · 5 runs started · best step 4 · best stack $62.59. The road: $10 starts it, one or two picks a step, every leg priced near even money, a hit rolls the whole stack up a step, a miss starts over at $10. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 3:05 AM UTC

Final: Rays 7, Guardians 3. Victor Mesa Jr. to homer (18%): no ❌ Our free props tonight went 2 of 4: Simpson ✅ DeLauter ✅ Peralta ❌ Mesa ❌ #RaysUp #GuardsBall

ALT Certy card: final, rays 7, guardians 3. Certy's free numbers in this game, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch: Victor Mesa Jr. to homer, 18 percent: miss.

115

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 2:07 AM UTC

George Kittle 50+ receiving yards ✅ Christian McCaffrey 50+ rushing yards ✅ Both off tonight's alt-lines post (56% and 53%), and it's still the 3rd quarter. 49ers up 20-3. #WASvsSF #MNF

Certy alternate-lines card for WSH at SF, every line marked hit: George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards, our estimate 56 percent, Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards, our estimate 53 percent. LIVE · 8:42 - 3RD · WSH 3 – SF 20. DraftKings before kickoff: George Kittle -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the card as one ticket: certy 29.6%, about 1 in 3 · certy odds +238 at our number · no DraftKings price for the ticket (same game). Our numbers as frozen before kickoff. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy alternate-lines card for WSH at SF, every line marked hit: George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards, our estimate 56 percent, Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards, our estimate 53 percent. LIVE · 8:42 - 3RD · WSH 3 – SF 20. DraftKings before kickoff: George Kittle -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the card as one ticket: certy 29.6%, about 1 in 3 · certy odds +238 at our number · no DraftKings price for the ticket (same game). Our numbers as frozen before kickoff. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

257

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:58 AM UTC

Freddy Peralta is out with 3 strikeouts. 5+ was our 53% this morning ❌ Misses get posted the same size as the hits. #RaysUp #Postseason

Certy card: Freddy Peralta, 5+ strikeouts at 53 percent, miss. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. He left after 5.1 innings with 3 strikeouts. Guardians at Rays.

ALT Certy card: Freddy Peralta, 5+ strikeouts at 53 percent, miss. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. He left after 5.1 innings with 3 strikeouts. Guardians at Rays.

109

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:55 AM UTC

133 of 215 free picks hit this season. Every one graded in public, misses included. Last one: Rays 55% · DraftKings -116 (Oct 17) ✅ A Certy account is free. Email only, no card. Link in bio. #MLB

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:55 AM UTC

Chase DeLauter doubles in the 6th. 2 total bases ✅ 2+ total bases was on our free board at 43% this morning. #GuardsBall #Postseason

Certy card: Chase DeLauter, 2+ total bases at 43 percent, hit. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. A double in the top of the 6th made it 2 total bases. Guardians at Rays.

ALT Certy card: Chase DeLauter, 2+ total bases at 43 percent, hit. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. A double in the top of the 6th made it 2 total bases. Guardians at Rays.

107

Certy. · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:12 AM UTC

Chandler Simpson singles in the 3rd ✅ 1+ hits was on our free board at 69% this morning. #RaysUp #Postseason

Certy card: Chandler Simpson, 1+ hits at 69 percent, hit. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. A single in the bottom of the 3rd. Guardians at Rays.

ALT Certy card: Chandler Simpson, 1+ hits at 69 percent, hit. Certy's free board, posted 5:01 am ET before first pitch. A single in the bottom of the 3rd. Guardians at Rays.

127

San Francisco 49ers · Oct 20, 2026 · 12:22 AM UTC

Certy. retweeted

San Francisco 49ers

@49ersOct 20

KITTLE IN THE END ZONE ‼️

217

1,260

30,632

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 9:41 PM UTC

our number: 56%, certy odds -128 for kittle 50+ rec yds tonight. wsh at sf, certy %, certy odds, DraftKings (5:40 pm ET): kittle 50+ rec yds: 56% · -128 · -244 mccaffrey 50+ rush yds: 53% · -112 · -250 frozen before kickoff. graded in public. 21+ #WASvsSF #MNF

Certy card, WSH at SF: alternate lines, each with Certy's estimate, Certy odds and DraftKings' price for that line — George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards, Certy 56% · certy odds -128 · -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards, Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the lines together, both: Certy 29.6%, about 1 in 3 · certy odds +238 at our number · no draftkings price for the ticket (same game): DraftKings prices one game's lines together. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy card, WSH at SF: alternate lines, each with Certy's estimate, Certy odds and DraftKings' price for that line — George Kittle 50 or more receiving yards, Certy 56% · certy odds -128 · -244 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; Christian McCaffrey 50 or more rushing yards, Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -250 at DraftKings, 5:40 pm ET; the lines together, both: Certy 29.6%, about 1 in 3 · certy odds +238 at our number · no draftkings price for the ticket (same game): DraftKings prices one game's lines together. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

109

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 9:41 PM UTC

STEP 3. We've never gotten past this one. 🪜🔥 Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards vs Washington. Certy: 52% · DraftKings: -120 Two straight hits got us here. Hit tonight: $34.14 → $62.59 and step 4 for the first time ever. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. #WASvsSF #MNF

Certy's Road to $10K card, Mon Oct 19: step 3 of 10. Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards, WSH at SF, our estimate 52 percent (certy odds -110); -120 at DraftKings. The stack is $34.14; a hit makes it $62.59 and moves to step 4; a miss goes back to $10. The road: $10 starts it, one or two picks a step, every leg priced near even money, a hit rolls the whole stack up a step, a miss starts over at $10. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy's Road to $10K card, Mon Oct 19: step 3 of 10. Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards, WSH at SF, our estimate 52 percent (certy odds -110); -120 at DraftKings. The stack is $34.14; a hit makes it $62.59 and moves to step 4; a miss goes back to $10. The road: $10 starts it, one or two picks a step, every leg priced near even money, a hit rolls the whole stack up a step, a miss starts over at $10. A paper $10 we track, not a bet we placed. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

186

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 8:52 PM UTC

Freddy Peralta takes the ball for the Rays tonight. 5+ strikeouts? We project 4.77. Our number on 5+: 53%. #RaysUp #Postseason

ALT Certy card: Freddy Peralta, 5+ strikeouts — our estimate 53.0 percent.

114

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 6:18 PM UTC

chandler simpson tonight: a hit. a 0.271 hit rate per at-bat in this matchup. our number: 69%. certy 69% · certy odds -228 · DraftKings: no fresh price. 21+ #RaysUp #Postseason

ALT Certy card: Chandler Simpson, a hit — our estimate 69.5 percent.

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 3:32 PM UTC

victor mesa jr. tonight: certy's AI makes him the likeliest bat to hit a home run. he barrels 10.8% of everything he hits — that's how hard, not how often. the park plays 1.00x for homers (Tropicana Field). certy 18% · DraftKings: no price yet. 21+ #RaysUp #Postseason

ALT Certy card: Victor Mesa Jr., anytime home run — our estimate 17.9 percent, ranked #1 of 17. Ranks well; not yet calibrated.

115

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 2:32 PM UTC

how did your picks do in the late games? here are ours, graded. yesterday's late games, graded — hits and misses: three-to-score cards: 0 of 4 hit · 4 of 12 players scored ari at lar ✗ · buf at lv ✗ · lac at kc ✗ · dal at gb ✗ every nfl play this season: 228 of 464 hit. 21+

Certy graded card, ARI at LAR: three to score, from official scoring plays — Kyren Williams did not score, Certy 60%+ · -180 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Puka Nacua did not score, Certy 53% · certy odds -113 · -155 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Trey McBride did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +151 · +160 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 12.4%, about 1 in 8, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, ARI at LAR: three to score, from official scoring plays — Kyren Williams did not score, Certy 60%+ · -180 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Puka Nacua did not score, Certy 53% · certy odds -113 · -155 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Trey McBride did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +151 · +160 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 12.4%, about 1 in 8, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, BUF at LV: three to score, from official scoring plays — Ashton Jeanty scored, Certy 52% · certy odds -109 · -125 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; James Cook scored, Certy 49% · certy odds +102 · -165 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Brock Bowers did not score, Certy 43% · certy odds +132 · -115 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 10.2%, about 1 in 10, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, BUF at LV: three to score, from official scoring plays — Ashton Jeanty scored, Certy 52% · certy odds -109 · -125 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; James Cook scored, Certy 49% · certy odds +102 · -165 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Brock Bowers did not score, Certy 43% · certy odds +132 · -115 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 10.2%, about 1 in 10, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, LAC at KC: three to score, from official scoring plays — Kenneth Walker III scored, Certy 60%+ · -165 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Omarion Hampton did not score, Certy 33% · certy odds +207 · +245 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Justin Herbert did not score, Certy 25% · certy odds +301 · DraftKings: priced outside our band; our estimate all three score: 4.6%, about 1 in 22, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, LAC at KC: three to score, from official scoring plays — Kenneth Walker III scored, Certy 60%+ · -165 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Omarion Hampton did not score, Certy 33% · certy odds +207 · +245 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Justin Herbert did not score, Certy 25% · certy odds +301 · DraftKings: priced outside our band; our estimate all three score: 4.6%, about 1 in 22, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, DAL at GB: three to score, from official scoring plays — Javonte Williams scored, Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -215 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; MarShawn Lloyd did not score, Certy 43% · certy odds +134 · -145 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; George Pickens did not score, Certy 38% · certy odds +160 · +140 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 7.9%, about 1 in 13, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, DAL at GB: three to score, from official scoring plays — Javonte Williams scored, Certy 53% · certy odds -112 · -215 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; MarShawn Lloyd did not score, Certy 43% · certy odds +134 · -145 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; George Pickens did not score, Certy 38% · certy odds +160 · +140 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 7.9%, about 1 in 13, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 2:02 PM UTC

how did your picks do yesterday? here are the early games, graded. yesterday's early games, graded: three-to-score cards: 0 of 6 hit hou@jax ✗ chi@atl ✗ no@nyg ✗ nyj@ne ✗ pit@tb ✗ ten@ind ✗ long shots: 0 of 1 hit this season: every nfl play 228 of 464 hit. 21+ #NFL

Certy graded long shot: Ashton Jeanty hit; Jaylen Warren missed; Cam Skattebo missed. Our estimate, all 3 together: 9.1%, about 1 in 11. Result: miss, graded from official scoring. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded long shot: Ashton Jeanty hit; Jaylen Warren missed; Cam Skattebo missed. Our estimate, all 3 together: 9.1%, about 1 in 11. Result: miss, graded from official scoring. 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, HOU at JAX: three to score, from official scoring plays — Woody Marks did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +150 · +135 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; Bhayshul Tuten scored, Certy 37% · certy odds +169 · +150 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; Parker Washington did not score, Certy 31% · certy odds +225 · +160 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; our estimate all three score: 4.2%, about 1 in 24, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, HOU at JAX: three to score, from official scoring plays — Woody Marks did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +150 · +135 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; Bhayshul Tuten scored, Certy 37% · certy odds +169 · +150 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; Parker Washington did not score, Certy 31% · certy odds +225 · +160 at DraftKings, 7:20 am ET; our estimate all three score: 4.2%, about 1 in 24, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, CHI at ATL: three to score, from official scoring plays — Bijan Robinson did not score, Certy 57% · certy odds -135 · DraftKings: priced outside our band; D'Andre Swift scored, Certy 40% · certy odds +147 · -180 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Luther Burden III did not score, Certy 37% · certy odds +168 · +190 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 8.0%, about 1 in 13, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, CHI at ATL: three to score, from official scoring plays — Bijan Robinson did not score, Certy 57% · certy odds -135 · DraftKings: priced outside our band; D'Andre Swift scored, Certy 40% · certy odds +147 · -180 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Luther Burden III did not score, Certy 37% · certy odds +168 · +190 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 8.0%, about 1 in 13, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy graded card, NO at NYG: three to score, from official scoring plays — Isaiah Likely scored, Certy 40% · certy odds +147 · +160 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Cam Skattebo did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +149 · +110 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Devaughn Vele did not score, Certy 31% · certy odds +219 · +275 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 4.7%, about 1 in 21, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

ALT Certy graded card, NO at NYG: three to score, from official scoring plays — Isaiah Likely scored, Certy 40% · certy odds +147 · +160 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Cam Skattebo did not score, Certy 40% · certy odds +149 · +110 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; Devaughn Vele did not score, Certy 31% · certy odds +219 · +275 at DraftKings, 11:35 am ET; our estimate all three score: 4.7%, about 1 in 21, no draftkings price for the ticket (same game). 21+ · Analysis, not advice · 1-800-GAMBLER

Certy. · Oct 19, 2026 · 3:51 AM UTC