Biggest movers in pre-TGE prediction markets today: @printr +51.5%, @multiplifi +17.4%, @opensea +14.3% @3janexyz -21.3%, @DecibelTrade -13.7%, Ethereal -11.7% Indicium's Pro Screener tracks all 453 live FDV markets in real time. This is what it looked like today.

Top 10 pre-IPO prediction markets right now: OpenAI still the biggest at $1.57T. Variational quietly sitting at 96.8% confidence. Kraken and Consensys both under 30% despite decent size. Lot of divergence in this list.

Great article from @cryptonews on the recent $SPCX launch. SpaceX priced at $1.8T. Prediction markets had it at $2.15T+. Was the crowd wrong? Or are they just pricing where it trades in 6 months? cryptonews.com/news/live-cry…

Prediction markets in January: SpaceX will IPO at $2T+ Wall Street analysts in June: We're projecting a valuation of— Prediction markets: We know

SpaceX went public today. For months, prediction markets quietly built a consensus: $2T+, high confidence, don't overthink it. The IPO came and went and the crowd was right. $15.9M traded. A spike to $2.30T on open. Now settling at $2.19T. This is what the data looked like before anyone else was paying attention. We were tracking it the whole time. To anyone who says prediction markets are just a fad or not accurate, we hope you'll listen to the people next time!

$SPCX is moving up on indiciumpm.com ahead of its IPO! Prediction markets know something!

Get ready for $SPCX live on Indiciumpm.com!

Why should people trust prediction markets over analyst forecasts? Analysts get paid to have opinions. Prediction market traders get paid to be right. Polymarket's one-month accuracy rate: 94%. The Iowa Electronic Markets outperformed traditional polls in 74% of U.S. presidential elections going back to 1988. Skin in the game changes the quality of information. That's the simple premise.

Before the IPO. Before the TGE. Before there's a price at all. That's where we operate, and so can you.

One week ago prediction markets had SpaceX at $2.44T. Today it's $2.15T, a steady bleed all week as traders repositioned ahead of tomorrow's IPO. And yet volume is at its highest point of the week. People aren't leaving. They're doubling down. $9.2M traded. $3.9M on the line. 99.9x top payout. Friday is the answer.

Highest volume SpaceX market in the last 24h: Not ≥$2T (64¢ YES) Not ≥$1.8T (81¢ YES) It's ≥$3T, trading at just 6¢ YES with $138.7K in volume. Whales are crowding into the "No" side two days before the IPO. The consensus: SpaceX will be massive. Just not that massive.

US equities tanked today. So we checked pre-IPO prediction markets to see if the panic spread. The answer: Kind of? But not really. There's plenty of red, sure, but there's also double-digit green. If macro fear was contagious here, it's not universal. Prediction markets tend to be more surgical than that.

OpenAI hit $1.63T in prediction markets late last month. It's now back to $1.50T after a steady bleed through early June. The 30-day chart tells a story of a market that got excited, overcorrected, and is now quietly finding its floor. 85% confidence, $1.5M in total volume, IPO still TBD in 2026. Lots of money watching this one.

Most people find out what a company IPO'd at from a headline the next morning. A number appears, analysts react, and by the time you've read about it the trade is already done. Prediction markets work differently. Months before the IPO, traders are placing bets on specific valuation thresholds, $1T, $1.5T, $2T, and beyond. Every trade is public. Every shift in probability is a signal. The crowd is continuously repricing based on whatever it knows. That data is dense, fragmented, and hard to read raw. We turn it into something you can actually use and act on.

Four days before the SpaceX IPO and prediction markets are mostly in the green. SpaceX is up 1.86%, OpenAI is having a quietly strong day at +5.75%, and Felix is making noise at +38.31%. On the other side, Opensea and Ostium are both sliding. This week's going to be a big one. We'll be tracking everything live.

Four days out from the SpaceX IPO and prediction markets are converging. The floor is certain at this point. The ceiling is being walked back a bit. That drift downward on the high-end thresholds over the past week says traders are locking in their bets and playing it conservative. Markets are certain SpaceX will be massive. They're just getting less sure about how massive. Friday can't come soon enough.

SpaceX payout multiples ahead of Friday's IPO: $2T threshold → ~1x (nearly certain) $3T threshold → ~20x $4T threshold → 60x+ The market is confident on the floor. The ceiling is anyone's guess.

Lots of money still on the line in pre-IPO markets. SpaceX and OpenAI are the biggest by open interest and traders are confident. But Metamask has $772M at stake with only 34% confidence. That's a deeply divided market on a name most people know. SpaceX IPO is Friday. Things have never been more interesting in the pre-IPO space.

Stocks lost $1 trillion yesterday before lunch. Pre-IPO prediction markets: unmoved. That's the difference. Equities react to headlines, prediction markets price outcomes. We're tracking it all in real time ahead of the SpaceX IPO on June 12.

Big money is moving on pre-IPO markets and not everyone is bullish. While most of the market is pricing SpaceX at $2.33T with 99% confidence, a couple of whales are quietly buying "No" on a $1.2T threshold. One anonymous wallet sitting on a potential 39x payout if SpaceX disappoints. 93 large trades in the last 24h. IPO is June 12. Watch the whale feed live on Indicium!