Covering the Business of Prediction Markets

Joined August 2026
Volumes and open interests across US prediction market venues
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Volumes and open interest across onchain prediction market venues
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Predicted retweeted
Novig hit a billion in notional volume 3 days after this ad, so we had a look @byPredicted Sydney Sweeney effect? I had a look
Confirmed: Sydney Sweeney knows ball.
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Predicted retweeted
in this weeks @byPredicted round-up we picked up on two things regarding parlays (supplementary to last weeks aritcle breakdown) 1) On the 20th of August @Polymarket US launched Parlays (they were API-only beta since 5 August 2026) 2) the same day @Kalshi started charging makers. what we see below is Kalshi makers now pushing fee cost onto consumers. but how tf is this possible? and did @oddpool_alerts almost predict this outcome?
After the addition of maker fees on Kalshi combos, market makers have widened their spreads meaning that takers are bearing the cost of the fees. Exactly what you'd expect from standard economic incidence analysis!
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A hot week of volumes and open interest for prediction markets
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Predicted retweeted
Parlays for the sportsbooks make SO much money. We now have data across Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket International and the US For PMs, the economics are not quite the same, but per dollar of handle (cash), they still come out on top vs the standard bets xitter.cf/Ommiii_/status/2091604…
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