Building the infrastructure for social prediction markets.
Joined May 2009
- Tweets45
- Following2
- Followers1.3K
- Likes8
Buzzing retweeted
you can literally create a market about anything and bet on everything on @buzzingapp
over the past few weeks, i noticed the @ethos_network changing its pfp several times - from last month into early this month.
so i started teasing how it’s possible to create a market on this ethos topic(pfp change) once buzzing app launches.
buzzing app then launched, I created the market and now its live and trading over $3000 in volume.
although no earnings yet, i am guaranteed 25% of the trading fees.
all I’m saying in a nutshell, is that you can literally create any market on buzzing app - anything - and earn from it
just make sure the topic has good sentiments and that you phrase your input correctly
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Buzzing retweeted
Welcome @GoKiteAI @GMAgents_AI @flock_io @BuzzingApp @NexusLabs @codatta_io @ormilabs @dmind_ai
Infra, agents, compute, knowledge, UX—this crew is raising every bar across the stack.
Learn how they’re contributing to CAIBA: caiba.ai/blogs/7
Buzzing retweeted
List of interesting Prediction Markets products
- @gondorfi — Defi layer (lending/borrowing using Polymarket positions)
- @AskBillyBets — Sports prediction aggregation + personalized betting + sports intelligence signals
- @VersoTrading — Bloomberg for prediction markets
- @aion5100 — Building the AI Oracle & consumer layer for ███
- @sire_agent — Sports prediction hedge fund w/ intelligence terminal & prediction vaults
- @FractionAI_xyz — Trading competitions between agents, predict the winner
- @TalusNetwork — agents v. agents predictions at scale with idol(.)fun3
- @meleemarkets — Polymarket + Pumpfun
- @kash_bot — turn your social feeds into prediction markets
- @aerospacetrade — prediction markets trading terminal
- @polyfactual — prediction markets media/news
- @panana_predict — composable, Defi-oriented prediction market
- @fireplacegg — SocialFi + prediction market (bet with your friends)
- @predictbase — decentralized prediction market w/ user-generated markets, AI-assisted creation
- @BuzzingApp — decentralized prediction market w/ user-created markets with AI-generated rules (and AI resolvers)
- @polldotfun — PvP your frens (bet against your friends)
- @xomarket — decentralized prediction market with focus on "conviction" and adaptive liquidity on niche markets
- @PubhouseXYZ — decentralized prediction market + memecoins (Univ4)
Anything else I missed?
Buzzing retweeted
Virtuals Protocol is hosting Agentic Mornings in Singapore for Token2049.
Co-hosted with @AWSstartups this is the largest single gathering to meet Virtuals ecosystem builders and agent founders, from core infrastructure teams to the newest high-signal projects.
Builders and founders shaping what’s next:
•Acolyt: @AcolytAI
•Arcturian Labs: @ArcturianLabs
•Aristotle: @ArAIstotle
•Backroom: @useBackroom
•BasisOS: @BasisOS
•BurnieAI: @burnieio
•Buzzing: @BuzzingApp
•Deepbrew: @Deepbrewcoffee
•Functor Network: @FunctorNetwork
•GloriaAI: @itsgloria_ai
•h011yw00d: @h011yw00dAgent
•Kryptos: @KryptosConnect
•Loky AI: @Loky_AI
•Oopz: @oracle_opz
•PokPok: @pokpok_io
•Replicats: @Replicatsai
•Ringfence: @RingfenceAI
•Superconnector: @superconnector_
•UI UI: @uiui_wtf
•WachAI: @Wach_AI
📅 Wednesday, Oct 1
🕚 11 AM – 2 PM (GMT+8)
📍 Singapore
Join us for a high-signal morning of conversation, collaboration, and light brunch as we chart the next chapter of the agent economy. Register below
Buzzing retweeted
As we enter September, 81 projects advanced to the interview stage, and 20 have been shortlisted for the online pitch for the BUIDL_QUESTS 2025.
Here are our Top 20 shortlisted projects:
🟢 AgentFi Infra: according.work @youbetdao, AiMo Network @AiMoNetwork, AIsa @AIsaOneHQ, DTINetwork, Web3Insight AI @Web3insightAI
🟢 AgentFi Application: 42 by Semantic Layer @semanticlayer, Agora Space, Aladdin @aladdinagi, AskDolly @AskDollyToday, Aura @use_aura, Buzzing @BuzzingApp, GrowthOS with WorkWork @WorkWorkOrg, I Cubed AI Modelverse @I3_Cubed, KOLECT @kolect_info, LinkLayerAI @LinkLayerAI, Reppo.ai @reppo, TradingFlow @TradingFlowAI, Tokrio @tokrio_com, VisoCode, XHunt @xhunt_ai
Buzzing retweeted
Prediction markets are breaking records week after week with total notional volume now surpassing $2.34B across all major platforms.
Here are 7 @virtuals_io agents turning prediction market bets, odds, and alpha into onchain automation:
🔷@predibot_ $PREDI
PrediBot lets you query and auto-trade prediction markets from Fed moves to token pumps, with PREDI-powered fee slashes and real-time odds.
Recent highlight: Hit new ATH with $72K+ volume, marking @PredictBase's biggest market ever.
🔷@AskBillyBets $BILLY
Automates high-edge wagers on pro sports props across Polymarket with an 80% hit rate on automated picks.
Recent highlight: Teasing new product integration with Polymarket and Kalshi.
🔷@aixbet_ai $AXB
Smart pools deploy USDC into AI-vetted Polymarket trades targeting 50% ROI. All profits shared, all tracked onchain.
Recent highlight: Alpha Pool 4 vault live with additional $10K deployed.
🔷@Bizzy_agent $BIZ
Bizzy, agent of @BuzzingApp, scans X trends to spawn viral prediction market ideas through its AI copilot.
Recent highlight: Fueled BuzzingApp's first prediction contest with 490 participants. Round 2 coming soon.
🔷@Aigent_Victorai $VCTRAI
Rebranded and relaunched their X agent, now sharing daily mispriced Polymarkets using multimodal AI.
Recent highlight: Large partnership to-be-announced with major ecosystem coming soon.
🔷@MusicByVirtuals $MUSIC
Turns artist streams and fan polls into live prediction markets that trade on music industry hype.
Recent highlight: Partnered with Story and Sony to bridge fandom and finance.
🔷@sportsbookieai $BOOKIE
Bookie AI shields your bets in smart escrows for instant onchain settlements.
Recent highlight: Now live with Overtime .io, enabling seamless sports bets straight from X chats.
🔷@spreddterminal $SPRDD
Routes Polymarket trades via x402 with multichain low-fee automations across Base, Hedera, and beyond.
Recent highlight: Showcased live Polymarket data in beta teaser; waitlist open for multichain launch.
Buzzing retweeted
dropping tomorrow the most comprehensive list of prediction market social analytics.
not just the list of protocols.
but their mindshare, # of smart followers, traction, sentiment.
for starters, here is a list of 3 PM projects, ordered by number of smart followers:
1/ @Polymarket
2/ @sportfun
2b/ @noise_xyz
3/ @MyriadMarkets
4/ @context
5/ @alkimiya_io
6/ @Kalshi
7/ @trylimitless
8/ @HedgehogMarket
9/ @Truemarketsorg
10/ @kizzymobile
11/ @polytraderAI
12/ @Overtime_io
13/ @BRKTgg
14/ @meleemarkets
15/ @SpecMarkets
16/ @triadfi
17/ @factcheckdotfun
18/ @polldotfun
19/ @spredict_io
20/ @xomarket
21/ @ForkastGG
22/ @BuzzingApp
23/ @predictandpump
24/ @Castora_xyz
25/ @vortx_hl
26/ @hyer_app
27/ @BetOnBluff_io
28/ @fireplacegg
29/ @panana_predict
30/ @hypiq_fi
data: @_dexuai
Buzzing retweeted
Prediction markets have been trending for weeks on end, so much so that @KaitoAI had to add “Information Markets Arena” to their dashboard.
Looking back at the early attempts at prediction markets and the current state of the sector, it’s clear that prediction markets have evolved nicely over the last year.
Although a number of projects are recycling existing utilities, some are shipping mind boggling innovations, like @gondorfi building a DeFi layer to let users borrow against positions on Polymarket.
----------
I took a deep-dive into the prediction markets landscape and came up with a mega list of 110 solid projects worth exploring;
► @alkimiya_io - a protocol that lets users trade on on-chain fundamental metrics like blockchain usage, transaction fees, and network revenue, rather than price-based or binary outcomes.
► @azuroprotocol - a decentralized infra and toolkit for creating prediction markets and on-chain betting apps on EVM-compatible chains.
► @BRKTgg - a platform that combines gaming, and social interaction, enabling players earn rewards by betting on rankings.
► @BuzzingApp - a protocol that uses AI to transform viral content into prediction markets, letting users trade opinions on trending topics.
► @chompdotgames - a Solana-based, gamified prediction market where community members make subjective forecasts using daily quiz decks.
► @dripit_io - a platform where users speculate on the popularity trends of music artists by using data-driven hype metrics to place bets via music battles.
► @factcheckdotfun - a fact-checking prediction market where users stake on the validity of statements rather than betting on future events.
► @fliprbot - a trading bot on X that lets users place bets by mentioning @fliprbot or sending a direct message in plain language.
► @sportfun - a platform that tokenizes football players into tradable "shares," allowing users to invest and trade their favorite players.
► @futuurHQ - a forecasting platform where users can trade on future events to help create better forecasts. Offers both play-money and real-money markets.
► @gondorfi - a DeFi layer for prediction markets, aiming to allow borrowing against positions on Polymarket, enhancing capital efficiency.
► @HedgehogMarket - a protocol that allows users to create and predict real-world events such as sports, politics, and crypto prices.
► @Hookt_app - a platform on Base that lets users predict real-world events with just a swipe. The “Tinder for outcomes”.
► @hypiq_fi - a CLOB-based prediction protocol on Hyperliquid, enabling real-time speculation on Hyperliquid trading activity.
► @inertia_social - a mobile-first social prediction platform on Avalanche, that allows users to create and trade on markets from pop culture to sports.
► @kairosdotwin - a Bitcoin-based platform where users make forecasts and place bets using $BTC, as opposed to the more common stablecoin option.
► @Kalshi - a prediction market for trading on the outcome of political, cultural, economic, scientific, environmental, and corporate events.
► @kash_bot - an AI-powered, social prediction market that lets anyone trade trends, events, and narratives directly from their social feed.
► @kizzymobile - a social media prediction market that focuses on predicting KOL market metrics, such as tracking followers and view counts.
► @KuttBet - a P2P social betting platform that allows users to wager against each other on events around sports, politics, pop culture, and finance.
► @Levr_Bet - a decentralized, leveraged Sports Book Exchange (SBEX) on Monad, where users can place sports bets with up to 5x leverage.
► @ManifoldMarkets - a social platform where users can create prediction markets and bet on news, politics, tech, and AI with play money.
► @mashdotfun - a prediction market that offers perps for sports betting, with up to 4x leverage.
► @meleemarkets - a Solana‑based prediction market where users can engage in speculative trading on influencers, events, and trending topics.
Buzzing retweeted
Introducing 🧿 @predictionindex predictionindex.xyz/, we will help you map, rank, and discover the best of prediction markets in one place!
We’ve indexed 73 projects (big upgrade from 27 in the first round) across apps, infra, social, AI, DeFi and more, with outcome types ranging from binary and categorical to scalar and sportsbook. Each project is tagged with its status (live or waitlist), and we’ll be adding more metrics soon.
Got a metric you’d like to see? Or a project we missed? Drop us a note.
Legends, you're in:
@9livesso @azuroprotocol @BetOnBluff_io @BodegaCardano @BRKTgg @butterygg @BuzzingApp @chompdotgames @DGbet_official @DriftProtocol @joinearlybird @Euphoria_fi @FEENTIME @fireplacegg @fliprbot @sportfun @forcazt_agent @ForkastGG @gondorfi @HedgehogMarket @HILOtoken @Hookt_app @hypiq_fi @Playinfgames @joustlabs_ @Kalshi @kash_bot @kizzymobile @trylimitless @mashdotfun @meleemarkets @MyriadMarkets @narrativexyz @NevuaMarkets @noise_xyz @onit_fun @PicassoMarkets @polldotfun @Polymarket @r8rate @trepa_io @seer_pm @triadfi @umadotrocks @upshot_cards @vortx_hl @xomarket and more below 👇
Buzzing retweeted
能打提前量且坚持下来的都是好Founder
预测市场毫无疑问是下一个Crypto的“主增量+新叙事”赛道，市场很大，不可能只有Kalshi和Polymarket两家，希望更多的人可以看到一直在努力的 @BuzzingApp
This quoted post is unavailable.
Buzzing retweeted
You could have made money on @BuzzingApp by predicting or creating a market on Coinbase acquiring Echo
Buzzing retweeted
刚有掘金群友问我 Virtuals 生态还可以埋伏哪些没涨起来的标，我认真想了想
现在入手性价比最高的：@BuzzingApp $BIZ
CA：0x8ac984F596BAc8197859434EcBab3e4595D7bb06
app.virtuals.io/virtuals/239…
现在埋伏 400K 的位置相对已经起飞到 1M 的 $NUWA $OOPZ 最起码有 2.5X 空间
最重要的一点是：官推已经更新主网进度到 97% 了，这明显是要搞事情的节奏呀
横向对此也是 Virtuals 生态做预测市场的 $PREDI ，现在是 3.5M，按这个市值 $BIZ 还需要拉十倍
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Buzzing retweeted
🧵
Prediction markets have entered their growth era!
Nov’24: 9 notable protocols
Oct’25: 83 --> that’s a freaking +822% increase
Only 21% of PM protocols have a token (18/83) - lots of upside left for ecosystem tokenization
@base leads now (10+ protocols) thanks to cheap EVM txs, @coinbase distribution, and easy liquidity | composability
@solana is next (9+) on meme-social-culture, and sub-second UX that makes micro-bets viable
gonna write a full compare of 2024 vs 2025 plus my take on the most interesting PM types
Special thanks to @predictionindex for the all-in-one framework
tag folks may be interested in it:
@shayne_coplan, @MatthewModabber, @j0hnwang, @0x_ultra, @mansourtarek_, @DeFiMinty, @_charlienoyes, @NTmoney, @dylangbane, @AlanaDLevin, @0xNairolf, @thenarrator, @icobeast, @Carlitoswa_y, @Dyor_0x, @PixOnChain, @cjhtech, @dimahorshkov, @Atlantislq, @aulijk
Buzzing retweeted
prediction market but make it fluent
@BuzzingApp ?
every one in 5 tweets I see right now is on prediction markets
what exactly is the alpha? myriad, kalshi and polymarket has been around for a while now
I'm just looking forward to the permissionless ones - @meleemarkets and @BuzzingApp
am I missing something??
Buzzing retweeted
I remember back in the early Genesis days, the Virtuals Hackathon winners really made waves when they launched.
Projects like @solacelaunch, @BuzzingApp, @mamo, @baibysitter, @burnieio, @GoHacker_AI are all still building within @virtuals_io.
Imagine what this latest wave of hackathon winners can produce!
I'll be paying close attention!
Announcing the winners of the Ethereum is for AI Hackathon, organized in collaboration with the @ethereumfndn Founder Success program.
More than 100 teams delivered advanced implementations of AI-driven execution and coordination on @ethereum. The top teams have now been selected.
Congratulations to the winners, and respect to every builder who contributed real progress to the future of agentic intelligence.
Buzzing retweeted
representing @monad, we've got
@Levr_Bet
@BuzzingApp
@narrativexyz
@RareBetSports
@opinionlabsxyz
@j0hnwang @0xkyle__ @TPan____ would love to get y'all early access to some of these
Companies offering Prediction Markets
- @Polymarket
- @MyriadMarkets
- @sportfun
- @BetOnBluff_io
- @meleemarkets
- @trylimitless
- @noise_xyz
- @xomarket
Gonna make another post going deeper into each of them
Buzzing retweeted
Gm CT 🌤️
🚨 Exciting Partnership Alert!
@BuzzingApp is proud to join forces with @irys_xyz the Layer 1 datachain redefining how AI and IP data is stored, accessed, and monetized.
Why does this matter?
Because the future of AI demands verifiable, permanent, and programmable data. Irys makes that possible turning raw information into dynamic, onchain assets.
Together, we’re building a foundation where:
→ AI agents can recall trusted data
→ IP can be protected and monetized
→ Users remain in control, not centralized platforms
This is more than storage. It’s infrastructure for the next era of intelligence.
#HIRYS #BizzyAI #AI #Web3
Buzzing retweeted
记一下笔记，来跟随马男老师入门预测市场~
1. 无许可创建市场没有长尾流动性，没有预言机判定：
长尾事件的交易量少，mm 的资金占用成本高，因此缺 lp，最近的新尝试是 @xomarket 类似 LS-LMSR 的自带做市算法鼓励长尾市场，还有 @BuzzingApp 也是当长尾市场有一定交易量再引入真实资金做市，但具体细节我还得再看看，留个坑国庆研究下。
Polymarket 上面都会因为泽连斯基的西装吵起来，无许可市场会面临更多事件模糊和没有/不公强制仲裁的问题的问题。
2. 基于二元期权的借贷和杠杆没有意义：
二元期权波动剧烈，尤其是在时间临近终局的时候，如果允许全时段杠杆，清算是个麻烦事。
波动剧烈导致抵押物的价值容易瞬间归零，不具备传统抵押品的连续价值特性，很难引入借贷或杠杆。
3. 用（没有经过精心设计的）bonding curve去做Yes和No的定价非常容易脱锚，参考 pendle的 PT/YT：
之前没有研究过任何 AMM，评论区指路阅览了这篇👇
paradigm.xyz/2024/11/pm-amm?…
文中提到的 pm-AMM 曲线相比常数乘积（没有针对性/精心设计的）曲线，在价格 50% 附近提供了相对更多的深度，在极端接近 0 或 1 的区域提供更少的流动性。
这种分布契合了实际信息更新的节奏：当市场还不确定（概率接近 50%）时，允许更多资金博弈而不会令价格大起大落，而当结果几成定局（概率趋近 0 或 1）时，AMM 谨慎提供流动性，避免为极小的剩余不确定性投入过多资本。相比之下，常数乘积AMM在极端价格仍投入相当比例的资金，容易被最后时刻的波动吞噬掉盈利。
参考 pendle 我猜是说要根据二元期权的特性，在 AMM 中设置一个截止时间 T，随着时间接近结算，逐步抽出流动性，使 yes no 的价格相对不易因外部剧烈冲击而脱锚。
感觉还没有很搞明白，国庆继续学习预测市场中的做市。
4. 如何才能理解，LLM在时序预测上面并不会比你回归模型高到哪里去，同时AI帮你预测事件概率并不会比预测价格行为简单：
LLM 是基于语义和字符的大模型，做时序预测我感觉是有些添乱了，搜到一篇相关论文，建议时序预测用简单模型 arxiv.org/abs/2406.16964v2
5. 如何才能理解，随着判定规则的不同，不同平台同一事件的赔率当然不同，这里的所谓套利不是无风险的：
每个 event 的市场赔率，很大程度上就是根据对应的预言机判定规则来决定的，比如 US government shutdown 这个 event 的规则和判定就很 tricky，Polymarket 上的博弈价格并不代表市场真的认为美国政府十月一号之前 75% 会字面意义上的停摆 lol
polymarket.com/event/us-gove…
6. 如何才能理解，零手续费和零收入是两码事，参见robinhood：
之前听 @PodOur2Cents 的第六期美股的链上转生，聊到 robinhood 的商业模式，robinhood 真的是太黑了，仗着自己韭菜田里不懂行的散户多，通过订单流转售和隐藏滑点（散户在 robinhood 内交易的不是实际的股票，只是在交易一个价格映射，这个映射价格还是 robinhood 自己喂价的，这就会带来隐藏滑点）去截取比普通手续费更高的费用，详见 mp.weixin.qq.com/s/-YWvjfq2i…
关于预测市场简单喷几句：
1. 如何才能理解，无许可创建市场没有长尾流动性，且没有预言机判定。
2. 如何才能理解，基于二元期权的借贷和杠杆（两者somehow算一件事）都有点扯淡。
3. 如何才能理解，用（没有经过精心设计的）bonding curve去做Yes和No的定价非常容易脱锚，参考pendle的PT/YT。
4. 如何才能理解，LLM在时序预测上面并不会比你回归模型高到哪里去，同时AI帮你预测事件概率并不会比预测价格行为简单。
5. 如何才能理解，随着判定规则的不同，不同平台同一事件的赔率当然不同，这里的所谓套利不是无风险的。
6. 如何才能理解，零手续费和零收入是两码事，参见robinhood。
在马桶上简单能想到这六条，看完之后知道我在讲什么再来聊预测市场吧，多点建设性意见。
Buzzing retweeted
The answer of this tweet posted by @BuzzingApp is “Every tweet on X has the potential to be a prediction market.”
Definitely in 2026, we will have a lot of events to predict on as every tweet on X will be a prediction market.
Buzzing will make it happen
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Buzzing retweeted
ICYMI: Here is list of projects in Cohort 2 of Monad Founder Residency. Follow them (lots of content & updates coming)
- @Levr_Bet
- @MuDigitalHQ
- @cultdottrade
-@RugRumble
-@kizzymobile
-@YapdotMarket
-@seertrade
-@agra_gg
-@BuzzingApp
-@SonzaiLabs
-@TypeXKeyboard