Yang (@breakbrake17) profile picture
TAIPEI, TAIWAN
Joined September 2008
Photo by Yang (@breakbrake17)Photo by Yang (@breakbrake17)
Today is the U.S. stock options expiration day (OpEx). My current holdings include GOOGL, TSLA, and AAPL. Here are the pre-market prices: GOOGL: $364 TSLA: $498 AAPL: $297 Time to map out the pre-market strategy. #OptionsExpiration #PreMarketStrategy
🤖 Made with AI
Looks like today’s options expiry went really well! 🔥 Who else crushed it this week? Drop your P&L or biggest win in the comments 👇 Let’s keep this momentum rolling into next week! 💪 #OptionsTrading #OptionExpiry
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We closed down Tesla in NYC. Thank you to everyone who joined us. PEOPLE POWER⚡️ Well we, went down to the rich man's house and we 🎶 Took back what he stole from us Took back our dignity Took back our humanity 📣Resistance Revival Chorus #TeslaTakedown #StoptheCoup #Resist
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How should the government treat uninsured depositors after a bank run? It's a question Jay Powell faced as an assistant Treasury secretary in January 1991, and it's recounted in my book (which is worth reading if you're interested in how Powell operates) nicktimiraos.com/book
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I agree with this …esp the over reaction to the robust data lately.
1/We've got an extremely difficult economy to read. There are a variety of leading indicators that are troubling: * Inventories look to be building up relative to sales. * Firms are reporting concerns about their order books. bloomberg.com/news/articles/… via @business
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我自己在這段時間,常常就會突然想到: 「對了,之前看過有人拿來 #ChatGPT 來做 ooxx 的應用」 然後就要花很多時間去翻 FB 貼文,很沒效率。 所以這篇文章也是整理給我自己看的筆記,而且取之於網路,回饋於網路,這樣才能一起變得更好! rayskyinvest.com/96682/chatg…
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Soft vs hard landing: What if the plane starts reaccelerating before it touches the airstrip? Does better global growth and a tight US labor market put a "no landing" in play? “In our view, ‘no landing’ is just a soft or hard landing waiting to happen.” wsj.com/articles/hard-or-sof…
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I fleshed out my thoughts on housing and the business cycle in Barron's As I've been writing here less formally, the Fed pivot was ill-conceived in tolerating FCI loosening Lack of layoffs in construction + some real reacceleration = more NGDP growth barrons.com/articles/WP-BAR-…
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My latest article discusses the switchover from the Fed operating at a profit to operating at a loss, the subsequent elimination of remittances to the Treasury, and what implications this can have. lynalden.com/broke-federal-r…
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You’ve maybe been thinking too much about macro and the Fed (or are just a huge nerd) when your first thought after seeing this sign at the eye doctor is “wait, that’s core PCE services ex-housing!”
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Little birdie told me @KyleLDavies and @zhusu completed their raise. Must be the beginnings of a bull market if these muppets get money less than one year after they torched $18 billion on shitcoins. I ain’t mad at ya, but homeboy needs his money back lift tickets be expensive
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Policy makers have to worry about “the next inflation problem.” If the economy continues to add more than 200,000 jobs a month without a large increase in the labor supply, “whatever labor market tightness you have now would look worse in six months.” wsj.com/articles/booming-job…
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As Yogi said, it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future. These are the FOMC calls that some of the most careful Fed watchers had 12 months ago. The Fed raised rates at seven meetings last year. One increase was 25 bps, two were 50 bps, and four were 75 bps.
Fed calls this week • JP Morgan (Fri): 5 hikes this year (Mar, May), 3 next year • BofA (Fri): 7 this year (every meeting), 4 next year • Morgan Stanley (Thurs): 4 this year (Mar, Jun) • Deutsche Bank (Wed): 5 this year (Mar, May, Jun), 3 next year All hikes are ¼ pt
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This is why I believe a decade of persistently high inflation is inevitable.
The U.S. Treasury Department actually published this.
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Some notes on the missing recession 🧵 I, like others, expected a recession for most of 2022, to occur around the turn of the year. I was pretty consistent with this call, having first made it in March/April Hasn't happened yet, at least in the data currently available. Why?
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Regulators are looking to broaden trading in the immense $24 trillion market for U.S. Treasury securities, a potential power shift away from the small club of big banks that have dominated the market for decades, according to a forthcoming federal report. wsj.com/articles/regulators-…
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Replying to @cz_binance
This is one of the most insane days in crypto I can remember.
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Fed's latest Financial Stability Report is out. It's always worth a read. Here are some things I found interesting. federalreserve.gov/publicati…
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