@blessigsam
Account based inNigeria
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tactics, stats, predictions. honest and sarcastic opinions, no bias. sometimes bias π https://nitter.cf/t.co/ng6LFSPLom
Joined December 2024
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Despite a 2:1 victory against internationale Milan in the champions league, Real Madrid have a long way to go under Mourinho
One minute youβre worried about everything, the next you realize you were stressing over things you couldnβt control anyway.
Arteta believes Chelsea can compete for the Premier League this season
Chelsea have every ingredient to be at the top. They can compete for it. π
π΅ππππππ retweeted
Incoming collabs. Deploying soon.
Are your troops battle-ready?
Guaranteed access is waiting in the Goblinverse.
Will you clear the gate?
goblinverse.xyz
π΅ππππππ retweeted
King MakerβΌοΈπ₯
They joined my Tg: t.me/coolspiffs
Poured out my knowledge into them.
Shared my trade and Ideas with them!
SimpleβΌοΈπ₯
π΅ππππππ retweeted
SCORE CARD FROM TECHRIZ & KELVIN TALENT SIGNAL GROUP
7 LOSSESβ
1 WINβ
This signal group have been teaching me alot of things recently
1. I am not as bad of a trader that i thought i was
2. Everybody show smiling faces on X but their MT5 isn't smiling
3. People post what they want you to see
4. Paid signal group can mess with a traders psychology and edge regardless of your experience in the market
5. The things we see being posted online is not always or does not always tell the full picture.
Expectation Order Flow π§΅
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is focusing only on what is happening.
The market is often trading what it expects to happen next.
That is expectation order flow.
Hereβs how to understand it π
1/ The market forms expectations.
Before CPI, NFP, FOMC, earnings, or any major event, participants already have an idea of what the outcome might be.
Those expectations create positioning.
2/ Price can move before the news.
If the majority expects a bullish outcome, buyers may already be positioned before the event.
Price can rally without the actual catalyst happening yet.
3/ Then comes the important part:
Actual result vs. expected result.
The market doesnβt simply react to whether the news is βgoodβ or βbad.β
It reacts to whether the result is better or worse than what was already priced in.
4/ Example:
Market expects CPI to come in at 3.0%.
CPI comes in at 3.1%.
CPI is technically lower than beforeβ¦
But it is higher than expected.
The market may sell risk assets because expectations were not met.
5/ This is why:
βGood news = price goes upβ
and
βBad news = price goes downβ
is an oversimplification.
Price is constantly comparing expectations vs reality.
6/ The same concept applies to technical analysis.
If traders expect liquidity above a previous high to be taken, orders can accumulate around that area.
Once liquidity is taken, the next question becomes:
What does order flow do after the expectation is fulfilled?
7/ This is where I like to pay attention.
Donβt just ask:
βWhere is price going?β
Ask:
βWhat is the market expecting to happen here?β
Then watch how price behaves when that expectation is tested.
8/ The market is constantly repricing expectations.
Expectation β positioning β liquidity β catalyst β repricing.
Understanding this can help you stop chasing candles and start thinking about why the orders are there in the first place.
Trade the reaction, not the headline.
