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Joined November 2021
Morning setup: cooler PCE, stronger GDP. August core PCE 3.0% YoY; Q2 GDP revised to 2.2%. S&P futures +0.4%, Nasdaq-100 +0.3%, 10Y down to ~5.23%. Watch rates first; $BA +2% premarket and $MU reports after close.
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$KMX is today’s earnings lesson: revenue +19.5%, unit sales +14.7%, EPS $1.16. But gross profit per retail vehicle fell. Headline beat ≠ complete thesis. Watch whether investors reward volume growth—or punish margin pressure.
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Friday closed strong: Dow +0.9% S&P +0.5% Nasdaq +0.5% Monday brought oil + yields back into focus. That’s why process beats headlines: track macro, leadership, levels + risk together.
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Sunday setup: Nasdaq +0.4% Friday, but the 10Y finished near 5%. Semis stood out, with the SOX +2.8%. This week: Fed speakers Tue/Wed + $COST earnings Thu. Watch leadership, not just the index.
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Why yields matter for growth stocks: When the 10Y rises, future cash flows are discounted at a higher rate. That can pressure high-multiple tech even when earnings are solid. Rates don’t decide every trade—but they change the backdrop.
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Risk is still elevated. The 10Y touched 5.04% this morning, oil remains above $100, and the Fed begins its 2-day meeting today. Watch $NVDA: 212.77 resistance / 208.93 support. Don’t predict the open. Trade the reaction.
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Risk is still elevated. The 10Y touched 5.04% this morning, oil remains above $100, and the Fed begins its 2-day meeting today. Watch $NVDA: 212.77 resistance / 208.93 support. Don’t predict the open. Trade the reaction.
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Today’s key tell: can $NVDA reclaim Friday’s 222 high while $CRWD holds strength? If chips stay weak but cyber/software holds up, that’s real sector rotation—not just index noise. Follow relative strength.
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Risk-off open: Nasdaq ~-1.2%, S&P 500 ~-0.8%. Oil is surging and chips are under pressure. Watch $NVDA: Fri range 218.15–222.00. $CRWD/$PANW showing relative strength. Fed Wednesday. Stay selective.
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Sunday setup: Friday bounced, but the week still finished red. Monday watch: $AAPL 336.22 / 326.30 $TSM 435.37 / 428.90 $ORCL 165.99 / 149.84 Big event this week: Fed Wednesday. Levels > headlines.
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Options lesson: earnings gaps change the risk/reward fast. A stock can jump 7% overnight, but buying calls AFTER the move means paying elevated premium with less upside. Better question: Where is support? Where is invalidation? What is my risk? Price first. Option second.
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CPI is in: headline +0.4% MoM / +3.4% YoY. Core: +0.3% / +2.4%. $ORCL is the stock to watch after earnings: cloud infrastructure revenue +121%, shares ~6–7% higher premarket. Key chart: 159.24 breakout / 152.52 support. Big Friday ahead.
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10:30 check: ignore the opening noise and watch yesterday’s range. $NVDA >226.18 = reclaim attempt $NVDA <223.46 = sellers still in control $ORCL >165.15 = strength into earnings $ORCL <160.36 = caution Trade the level, not the headline.
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Hot PPI just changed the morning setup. Aug PPI: +0.4% MoM / +5.4% YoY. 10Y ~4.9%, WTI ~$100. Watch: $NVDA 223.46 / 226.18 $AVGO 359.25 / 368.01 $ORCL 160.36 / 165.15
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Chart lesson: yesterday’s high is resistance until proven otherwise. A breakout needs price + volume + a hold above the level. A quick push through resistance that falls back below it is often a failed breakout—not confirmation. Let the candle finish.
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watch relative strength $QCOM >183.49 = breakout attempt $AAPL >320.70 = reclaim ahead of today’s product event $ORCL holding 161–163 keeps tomorrow’s earnings setup intact
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Oil is the market’s first test today: Brent is above $100 and the 10Y is near 4.81% as futures point lower. Watch: $QCOM 183.49 / 172.04 $AAPL 320.70 / 314.90 $ORCL 170.70 / 161.16 10AM ET: BLS employer-cost data.
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Today’s edge wasn’t predicting the index — it was knowing your levels before the bell. $ORCL 159.70
$INTC 95.94
$BE 253.30 Then let price prove or invalidate the setup. That’s how we approach markets inside Market Masters: preparation > prediction. discord.com/invite/BqEqeUpFg…
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Tuesday setup: oil is back near $94 and futures are soft. Stocks in play: $ORCL +~4% premarket — Fri high $159.70 $INTC +~4% — Fri high $95.94 $BE +~6% on S&P 500 inclusion — Fri high $253.30 Watch whether the gaps hold after the open.
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Friday’s relative-strength board: $SNDK +11.90% $ALAB +9.75% $KLAC +7.32% $NVDA +0.84% The S&P 500 fell 0.38%. When the market is weak but a group stays strong, that’s where I look first when trading resumes. Market Masters = preparation over prediction.
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