Replying to @corsaren
Yes. Though in this case, the probability of a blue win affects whether you should vote blue. If someone intending to vote blue was informed that only 10% of others intended to vote blue, of course he'd change to red.
And the framing greatly affects the probabilities.
Art Markham retweeted
LEGO is always an adjective. So LEGO bricks, LEGO elements, LEGO sets, etc. Never, ever "legos."
Art Markham retweeted
Replying to @Mick_Bailey
Hi Mick, although there are exemptions for work purposes, you must not have a work Christmas lunch or party, where that is a primarily social activity and is not otherwise permitted by the rules in your tier. You can find more information here: gov.uk/guidance/guidance-for… Thanks
Art Markham retweeted
"The first duty of Government is to uphold the law. If it tries to bob and weave and duck around that duty when its inconvenient, if government does that, then so will the governed, and then nothing is safe—not home, not liberty, not life itself." Thatcher in 1975...
Art Markham retweeted
Does seem odd that the focus in so much of the papers around David Amess's murder is around political discourse. I'm all in favour of less shouty/angry hyperbole in politics but it wasn't why he was killed.
Art Markham retweeted
Replying to @hardmaru
I wish they had also created a diverse dataset of rugs so that it didn’t confuse black stripes with cliffs and I could finally get my entire house cleaned 😂
The "condemned camelid"! An elegant variation for @secondmentions
Art Markham retweeted
(General point: As a nation the U.K. really needs to stop asking the BBC complaints department to rule on all our deepest cultural issues and just go to therapy.)
Art Markham retweeted
(more broadly, the whole row is as @davies_will also pointed out yesterday a nice example of a point we make in Brexitland - namely that in a society where racism is universally seen as wrong, the most intense arguments are over what counts (or doesn't count) as racism)
Art Markham retweeted
If you haven't ever read 'Everything is Obvious' by @duncanjwatts, now seems like an apt time – among many useful examples, it introduced me to this classic illustration of hindsight (extract from: newscientist.com/article/mg2…)
Art Markham retweeted
And that's because of insight #3: people don't share content because it's good. They share it because IT MAKES THEM LOOK GOOD! Nobody cares where it came from, what matters is that it helps grow people's interest in them when they share it.
Art Markham retweeted
We need to stop calling QAnon a conspiracy theory. At this point it's more like a social cult. It's not about one event like 9/11 or the Kennedy Assassination - it's a decoder ring for every event that happens in society. It's a filter through which its adherents view the world.

























