Do you own a raincoat? A tsunami is very wet. A few updated numbers: Reuters/IPSOS Trump approval: 31% Reuters/IPSOS Dems generic ballot: +12 Kalshi Texas Senate: Talarico bumps from 61% to 63% after huge first-day early vote Ohio Governor: Acton up to 73% vs Ramaswamy; this will benefit Brown in Ohio Sen Pls try to resist commenting about us needing to not be complacent and be sure to vote. Nobody is complacent. But the Right is flailing with disinfo and I just wanted to put forth actual numbers we know. Get that raincoat out of storage or buy a new one.

Trump's rally yesterday in Kansas - holy sh*t! It's hard for me to believe he didn't LOSE many votes for his highly flawed candidate Roger Marshall - who would be THE worst candidate this cycle but for Paxton. When a narcissistic sociopath is trying to force-feed his alternative reality, and they notice it's not working, and they see their predicament getting worse, and they become increasingly desperate - they put forth fantastical arguments that rarely work, because they're so exaggerative and cartoonish. Yesterday, Trump claimed that Roger Marshall - who nastily sued over 700 lower income Kansans for unpaid bills from his medical practice and did it so vigorously that 81 of them GOT ARRESTED, was getting a bum rap. Trump claimed Marshall was mandated to do what he did by law or HE would be violating the law. How many believed this? Zero. Trump's lying has increased in its severity, hyperbolism, defensiveness, and sloppiness. He is also so delusional - Natalie and team keep him insulated. But even he notices that he's getting peppered with hecklers and in that area, Kansas did not disappoint. In fact, when Trump responded to one heckler by accusing him of being a paid operative, the heckler shot back: "I do it for free because I don't f*cking like you!" It was classic. Trump got rattled and made more gaffes than usual. He used the word "lootered" to describe France and called Europe a country. He rambled further and further from any point. It was a terrible rally for him. Trump is now undergoing a functional deterioration, born of distress. Some psychologists use the term "pseudologia fantastica" to describe it - in most cases, the person is unaware they are doing it, and unable to stop. It's persistent, compulsive, absurd, unfiltered - a precursor to panic. Bottom line, Trump is decompensating --- and decaying --- and more people in more places now notice the decline, and it comes at the right time. Watch what happens in Kansas.