PPI: +6.3% y/y vs. 5.3% expected. Fed October hike odds fell anyway: 23.5% → 14.5%. Where the money went: In: Crypto stocks +$374M, 17 of 20 up. AI hardware flipped to +$1.11B net buying, a day after −$2.13B. Out: Energy −$103M, 0 of 8 up. Three to watch: $MU: from the pool's top net seller to its top net buyer (+$492M). Held support. Now $858. $TSM: beat by 3.4%, fell 1.8%, closed under old support $423.39. Next: $407.13. $DELL: net bought 11.3% of volume — and −6.8%. Support $452.42, 4.4% below. Polymarket: $BTC above $82K priced 17.5% → settled Yes (the day before: 89% → No). Today's line: 59.5%, spot $85 above.

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$TSLA perp open interest is up 2.4x since Tesla unveiled its “flying” Roadster. Tesla showed the new Roadster at a SpaceX site in Texas on 10/15: thrusters, a flip, a landing. US markets were already closed, so the first reaction hit Hyperliquid’s 24/7 $TSLA perp. • Price: $362.44 close → $379.77, +4.8%. Premarket shares sit at $379 too, so it isn’t just the perp. • First hour after the reveal: $45.7M traded. Most hours the day before: about $1M. • Open interest: 114K → 271K contracts (~$103M). The new positions alone are bigger than the whole market was. • Funding: stuck at the 0.000625%/hr floor for days, now 0.0046%/hr, ~40% annualized (peak 58%). Longs are paying shorts to stay in, so the new money leans long. Next: $388.56 resistance is 2.3% away, and markets price a $390 touch this month at 79%. A close above it clears the recent high; back under $362 gives the move back. Then earnings 10/21 after the close.

Hot CPI (core 2.6% vs. 2.5 expected). Nasdaq −1.9%. 100 of 138 radar names fell — and the money ran to healthcare. Where the money went: In: Healthcare +$778M, 13 of 13 up. $AAPL alone +$697M. Out: Chips −$1.13B, 13 of 13 down — back to selling a day after +$141M. Memory −$770M. Three to watch: $TSM: reports before the bell today. Net selling rose to 22.6% of volume. Support $423.39, 1.5% below. $MU: the pool's top net seller (−$600M), −16% on the week. Closed $0.57 above support at $913.56. $ORCL: −8.8%, net selling 30.8% of volume, highest in the pool. Support $129.23, 1% below. @Polymarket : three of four CPI favorites missed, all on the low side. Fed October hike 19.5% → 23.5%; January 29.5% → 40.5%. $BTC closed the 16:00 UTC fix at ~$81.7K: the $82K line, priced 89%, settled No.

Where the money went: In: Software +$691M, $MSFT alone +$391M. Chips flipped to net buying (+$141M) a day after −$754M. Out: Healthcare −$409M, Space −$382M (nearly all $SPCX, −4.2%). Three to watch: $ASML: reports before the bell today. Net sold two days running. Support $1,584.54, 7.8% below. $TSM: reports tomorrow. Net selling hit 16.4% of volume, even as it closed +0.2%. Support $413.88. $MSFT: top net buyer (+$391M). RSI 70.8, 1.4% under resistance at $551.15. Sept CPI, 8:30am ET: headline y/y 3.6% vs 3.7% is 41.5% vs 40.5%. Core y/y market says 2.4% (44%); consensus says 2.5. Fed October hike: 19.5%, flat. WTI to $100 in October: 35% → 49.5%.

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The S&P barely moved (−0.06%). Underneath, AI hardware got sold across the board: chips, storage, optics and power — 31 names, zero green. Where the money went: Out: Chips −$754M, Storage −$606M, Optics −$355M. Software flipped to net selling (−$263M) a day after taking +$1.16B. In: $SPCX alone +$218M; Energy +$62M as WTI rose 1.5% to $93. Three to watch: $NVDA: top net seller for a 4th tracked session (−$488M). −5.3% on the week. Support $211.16. $LITE: −9.8% on no company news; −$175M net selling. Still #3 on momentum. $GS: reports before the bell today. Net selling hit 24.6% of volume going in. Support $868.52, 2.8% below. Fed October hike: 16.5% → 19.5%, on $1.59M volume (3.5x the day before). CPI prints Oct 14, 8:30am ET. Headline m/m 0.6% at 53.5%; core y/y 2.4% at 45.5%.

CPI prints Wednesday. Polymarket has headline running hot and core running cool — and trades 13x more on the Fed than on the number. Last close, the money moved: Storage flipped back to net selling (−$513M, $MU −$429M). Chips −$704M. Software took +$1.16B; 17 of 19 rose. Three to watch: $PLTR: +5.2% to $209.05 on +$448M net buying (25% of volume). Flagged overheated, 0.25% under resistance. $NVDA: still the pool's top net seller (−$452M). Price now following: −3.4% over two sessions. $TMUS: −13.3% to a one-year low on SpaceX's spectrum buy — yet net buying +$41M. Support $147.90, 0.5% below. CPI books: headline m/m 0.6% at 48% (30.5% three days ago); core y/y 2.4% at 42% (34.5%). Fed October hike: 16.5%. $BTC above $84K today: 27.5% → 41.5%, spot $83.5K. Settles noon ET.

Storage went from −$994M of net selling to +$1.62B of net buying in one session. Most of it was $MU. Where the money went: In: Storage +$1.62B ($MU alone +$1.36B), Healthcare +$239M Out: Chips −$805M — $NVDA −$500M of it — and Internet −$417M Only 44 of 138 radar names rose; S&P −0.22%. Three to watch: $MU: +4.1% to $1,088, net buying 17% of volume. Resistance $1,108.72 is 1.9% away. Hard drives ($WDC, $STX) were still sold. $NVDA: the pool's biggest net seller for a second day (−$479M, then −$500M). Price down just 0.6% across both. $PEP: reports before today's open, sitting at the bottom 0.6% of its 52-week range. P/E in its own 8th percentile, RSI 21. Support $123.47, 0.2% below. $BTC: the above-$84K contract settled No. Today's same line fell 57.5% → 10.5%; spot $82.7K.

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S&P 500 closed at a record. Under it: nuclear +10.9%, storage −3.0% with −$994M of net selling. Where the money went: In: Optical +$482M (6 of 6 up), Power & Nuclear +$125M — $103M of it in $CEG alone Out: Storage −$994M (all 4 sold), Chips −$360M — mostly $NVDA Three to watch: $CEG: +12.3% on a 20-year, 890MW Google nuclear deal. Volume 3.7x normal. Flagged overheated; resistance $309.80 is 3.1% away. $STX: −9.2%, net selling 21% of volume. A day earlier its buyers were in control. Support $758.35, 5.9% below. $NVDA: flat at $239.24, but the pool's biggest net seller (−$479M) — a day after +$788M of buying. Rates eased: 10-year 5.27%. Fed October hike odds 19.5% → 15.5%.

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10-year at 5.31%. Odds it hits 5.4% before 2027: 50.5% → 73.5% in a day. Nasdaq closed at a record anyway. Where the money went: In: Space +$1.10B — but $1.097B of it was $SPCX alone. 7 of 12 space names fell. Out: Optical −$155M, Financials −$124M Three to watch: $SPCX: $171.09, +7.6%. Flagged overheated; resistance $172.47 is 0.8% away. $NVDA: record close at $238.90, +$788M net buying. P/E in its 25th percentile. $240.10 next. $APLD: earnings after the bell Oct 7. Net selling was 21% of volume; red rating. Fed hike odds: October 16.5% → 19.5%, December 74.5%. CPI lands Oct 14.

$BTC above $86K by noon ET today? Polymarket: 70%, up from 54% Friday. Spot is $86.6K — $634 over the line. Friday's money (no new close since): In: Space +$1.56B, Internet & Consumer Tech +$1.0B Out: Memory/Storage −$1.15B, the biggest by far Three levels into Monday: $SPCX: closed $158.96, 0.55% under resistance at $159.84. $MU: $1,074.89, 3.2% below the $1,108.72 it missed after earnings. $TSLA: $370.59; next resistance $386.83, earnings Oct 28. Fed: Oct hike 16.5%, Dec 71.5% — unchanged over the weekend.

The crowd bet 3.2%. Core PCE printed 3.0% — a bucket priced at 4.45%. Soft inflation, no relief. The 10-year still rose 3.9bp to 5.293%. 90 of 138 radar stocks fell. Odds of an October hike: 68.5% → 43.5% → 33.5% in two days. Where the money went: In: Space (+4.90%, mostly SpaceX), Internet (+4.82%, mostly $META) Out: Crypto (−6.69%, 2nd day), Oil & Gas (−6.32%) Three names: $MU beat and guided higher, still −1.2% after hours. Watch $1,108.72. $META: +$577M net buying, 22% of volume — stock −1.84%. $HPE: new #1 on momentum, weak fundamentals. Watch $67.10.

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