@aedwardslevy

Polling editor @CNN; keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. LA native, formerly @HuffPost. I like puns.

 Washington, DC
cnn.com/profiles/ariel-edwards-levy
Joined March 2009
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(The one addendum I'd put on this is that the degree to which framing matters varies considerably by issue, and the mere presence of that volatility -- and how it manifests -- can itself say a lot about strength of opinion and how people are approaching the issue.)
John Gramlich@johngramlich18 Nov 2024
You probably already know that question wording matters a lot in polling. But this chart from @aedwardslevy/@CNN underscores the point: Public support for mass deportation varies from 62% to 33%, depending on how the question is asked. cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/…
CNN chart large differences in public support for mass deportation, depending on how the question is asked in surveys.

ALT CNN chart large differences in public support for mass deportation, depending on how the question is asked in surveys.

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Ariel Edwards-Levy retweeted
Peter K. Enns@pete_enns11 Nov 2024
What did the U.S. public hear about Trump and Harris during the campaign, from @aedwardslevy based on the weekly @CNN/@ssrs_research/@verasight_data election surveys: cnn.com/2024/11/10/politics/…

We asked Americans what they’d heard about Trump and Harris throughout the campaign. Here’s what...

Americans heard starkly different messages about Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the final days of the 2024 election, according to The Breakthrough, a CNN polling project that tracked what average...

cnn.com
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Ariel Edwards-Levy retweeted
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy1 Nov 2024
Wrote something about what "the polls" can actually tell us about this election: cnn.com/2024/11/01/politics/…
Polling data is a single, imperfect gauge of people’s opinions – which may not always be morally, or even factually, correct. But polls of the US, ultimately, are a means of talking to Americans across a wide range of demographics, life experiences and views, on topics that stretch far beyond elections, or even politics. In a deeply fragmented society, and with social media often reflecting an unrepresentative sample of the loudest voices, they’re still a valuable tool for understanding the country as a whole.

ALT Polling data is a single, imperfect gauge of people’s opinions – which may not always be morally, or even factually, correct. But polls of the US, ultimately, are a means of talking to Americans across a wide range of demographics, life experiences and views, on topics that stretch far beyond elections, or even politics. In a deeply fragmented society, and with social media often reflecting an unrepresentative sample of the loudest voices, they’re still a valuable tool for understanding the country as a whole.

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Our final pre-election Breakthrough, on what Americans actually say they heard, read and saw about each of the candidates heading into the campaign's close: cnn.com/2024/11/03/politics/…

What Americans heard about Trump heading into the campaign’s final week: fascism and french fries |...

In the closing weeks of the 2024 campaign, much of the most discussed news around former President Donald Trump revolved around fascism and french fries, according to The Breakthrough, a CNN polling...

cnn.com
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anyway, if you want to see a ridiculously niche joke assigning different survey sample frames to different holidays come follow me on bluesky
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Wrote something about what "the polls" can actually tell us about this election: cnn.com/2024/11/01/politics/…
Polling data is a single, imperfect gauge of people’s opinions – which may not always be morally, or even factually, correct. But polls of the US, ultimately, are a means of talking to Americans across a wide range of demographics, life experiences and views, on topics that stretch far beyond elections, or even politics. In a deeply fragmented society, and with social media often reflecting an unrepresentative sample of the loudest voices, they’re still a valuable tool for understanding the country as a whole.

ALT Polling data is a single, imperfect gauge of people’s opinions – which may not always be morally, or even factually, correct. But polls of the US, ultimately, are a means of talking to Americans across a wide range of demographics, life experiences and views, on topics that stretch far beyond elections, or even politics. In a deeply fragmented society, and with social media often reflecting an unrepresentative sample of the loudest voices, they’re still a valuable tool for understanding the country as a whole.

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re: bsky, can confirm this is true (or, at least, they're more frequent, which may or may not be the same thing)
Jon Oetting@BricksnColumns17 Oct 2024
Replying to @aedwardslevy
your jokes are better over there
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Ariel Edwards-Levy retweeted
Brian Stelter
@brianstelter21 Oct 2024
When a research team from CNN, Georgetown and UMich asked Americans what they've read/seen/heard about Trump earlier this month, "lies" was the most common answer. cnn.com/2024/10/19/politics/…
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still on bluesky with the same username, fyi
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the first ballots in the 2024 presidential election have now been cast as james bond
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Ariel Edwards-Levy retweeted
Dan Grossman@djg9811515 Oct 2024
Replying to @aedwardslevy
Would you describe your opinion of Halloween candy as flavorable or unflavorable?
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there's some sort of bad Generic Haunted House Ballot joke here
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I'm really glad to be working on this project, because I see so much speculation about what election news is actually getting through to the public...and we get a chance to just ask them each week!
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy14 Oct 2024
Latest from the Breakthrough project, tracking what news Americans actually say they're hearing, reading and seeing about the candidates: cnn.com/2024/10/13/politics/…

How hurricane season is affecting the way Americans are following the Trump-Harris race | CNN...

With the election less than a month away, the public’s attention has shifted to the candidates’ responses to hurricane season, according to The Breakthrough, a CNN polling project that tracks what...

cnn.com
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not saying I am off to anything less than a fully alert start this morning but I did somehow misread the name "stephen" and briefly wondered if a "step hen" was your spouse's pet chicken
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Latest from the Breakthrough project, tracking what news Americans actually say they're hearing, reading and seeing about the candidates: cnn.com/2024/10/13/politics/…

How hurricane season is affecting the way Americans are following the Trump-Harris race | CNN...

With the election less than a month away, the public’s attention has shifted to the candidates’ responses to hurricane season, according to The Breakthrough, a CNN polling project that tracks what...

cnn.com
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this guy should be asked for comment about every news story regardless of topic npr.org/2024/10/10/nx-s1-514…
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Ariel Edwards-Levy retweeted
Adam Bass@AdamBassOfMass10 Oct 2024
I would have said “its a toss up for the Bar Mitzvah boy/Bat Mitzvah girl” but to each their own.
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy10 Oct 2024
(political commentator watching the hora at a bar mitzvah) and we're looking at a one-seat pickup
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(political commentator watching the hora at a bar mitzvah) and we're looking at a one-seat pickup
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I know the medium fosters oversimplification, but feels useful to remember: -In close races, multiple groups of voters/issues are all "key" -Messages can have multiple, simultaneous effects -Hard to make absolute statements about what motivates a single voter, let alone a bloc
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non-Reese'sponse
Ariel Edwards-Levy@aedwardslevy4 Oct 2024
October ABS survey incentive experiment idea: what if half the mailers had a fun-sized candy bar and half the mailers had a full-sized candy bar (I am...not 100% sure I am joking about this)
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