Brazilian Software developer. Also forecaster. My track record: https://xitter.cf/t.co/1UchMB6IBY https://xitter.cf/t.co/N1Xe33AFWx
Joined April 2014
- Tweets1.3K
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👀 I lived to see Brazil ranked higher than the USA in V-DEM's Regimes of the World, Electoral Democracy, and Liberal Democracy indices.
v-dem.net/documents/75/V-Dem…
I just found these two cool life expectancy history graphs while playing with Wolfram Alpha.
You can visualize how big a problem infant mortality and the World Wars were.
Thankfully, the world is much better now in these two aspects. I wish more people knew this.
metaculus.com/questions/4226…
Waking up to the news that I saved humanity in the Metaculus baseline score leaderboard was something I expected about as much as the Spanish Inquisition.
I guess it fits nicely with the Yoshimi Battles the Pink Robots quote I had just put in my profile.
Look at me being wrong about AI progress in 2023: metaculus.com/questions/5121…
I think I've improved a lot since.
Recently, NVDA surpassed AAPL to become TSMC's biggest customer, and the Feynman GPUs are rumored to skip N2 and use A16.
Was that @DKokotajlo disagreeing with me? 😯
I think I figured out why Nintendo stopped making transparent consoles:
They don't want us to see their trade secrets.
I'm finding it irresistible to follow the Donut Labs solid-state battery claims, but I barely know anything about batteries.
I also -y4PY5paTXwDCYy_s0lbx3Xjhja_tOUt8ich1AgjOGY
I finally managed to join the Masters league in @ManifoldMarkets!
In August my net worth was 500 mana. It increased 75x to reach 37k now. Of that increase, 25k was profit.
manifold.markets/adonisds
Somehow, I managed to finish second in the Fiscal Showdown 2025 Metaculus tournament. The questions were really difficult.
Around 10 years ago, I said I was rating every movie I watched because one day AI would then be able to effectively recommend movies to me.
I decided to give Claude Opus 4.6 my imdb spreadsheet with 900 ratings and ask for its top 10 recommendations.
It thought for a long time,
ran some code, and then gave me a really solid list in which the top two are movies that I would give a 10/10 rating to, but haven't watched since I began rating. These movies are There Will Be Blood and No Country for Old Men. I have given this rating to only about 5% of movies.
Last year I saw here a killer Python project that could turn any image into a gravitational n-body simulation .gif. I just can't find it now :(. I think it was called "n-body anything"
Adonis🔸 retweeted
@vurnt22, meet @LivingColour's biggest fan.
This little gecko beat me to the venue. He was already there when I arrived an hour early to claim his spot on the front row fence. He watched the entire show and rocked hard.
Your show in Brasília was incredible. Keep rocking.
eu na cavidade ressonante parabolica
youtu.be/n19XjuK_Dgs
