alexander covington retweeted
alignment aristocracy
/uh-LINE-ment air-uh-STAH-kruh-see/
noun
The belief that only a small class of frontier AI labs possesses the technical judgment, institutional maturity, or moral legitimacy required to develop recursively self-improving artificial intelligence.
Especially: the view that advanced AI capabilities are too dangerous to be widely distributed, openly developed, or pursued by less established competitors, while continued development by incumbent frontier labs is treated as uniquely responsible or justified.
See also: safety paternalism, recursive exceptionalism, moral monopoly, safety cartel.
“Alignment aristocracy begins when ‘no one can be trusted with this technology’ quietly becomes ‘no one but us.’”
good on pomp.
I see a lot of people dunking on @leopoldasch, which feels like a classic internet mob looking for attention.
Leo’s story is unreal. He went from relatively unknown technologist to one of the top hedge fund managers in the world in less than 5 years.
His original Situational Awareness paper has been quite accurate, not to mention Leo’s ability to drive ridiculous investment returns for his investors through June.
Losing 60%+ of your investors assets in a single month is obviously bad. Leverage is one of the most destructive forces in the world when things go against you.
But let’s not forget that Leo still has a few billion dollars and a strong opinion of the future. If he is right, and he continues to play the risk-taking game, there is a high probability he will still create tens of billions of dollars in returns for his LPs.
The internet mob can do all the dunking they want, but I wouldn’t bet against a smart, young guy who now has something to prove.
Interesting
Today, we are introducing Inkling.
Inkling reasons efficiently across text, image, and audio modalities. We are making the full weights available.
thinkingmachines.ai/news/int…
Available today for fine-tuning on Tinker. Play with it in the Inkling Playground. 🧵
alexander covington retweeted
Bridgewater used their unique financial knowledge and partnered with us on @tinkerapi to fine-tune a model that helps their analysts focus on what's important. Experts improving AI that empowers experts.
thinkingmachines.ai/news/lea…
Interesting
For most of my life, @exxonmobil was one of the top three most valuable companies in the world. Oil felt like the biggest industry on Earth.
Then AI happened.
The global market for compute is already bigger than oil in market cap terms. And here's the thing: oil is basically the same size every year. Corn is basically the same size every year. Neither one is on an exponential ramp.
Compute is a fundamentally different commodity because demand for intelligence may be exponential. If our thesis on the Moonshots podcast is right, we're going to tile the Earth with compute and then expand into space, and it seems like that expansion never ends.
That means the market Kush Bavaria (@bavaria_kush) and Wayne Nelms (@wayne_nelmz) are building at @OrnnExchange, a futures and options exchange for compute, could end up bigger than the entire options market some day.
That's the size of the prize they're going after.
Interesting
The dominant narrative right now is that @AnthropicAI and @OpenAI are going to eat everything.
I don't buy it.
Docs, we need to lean in, even if it means being replaced over time b/c if we don’t lean in, we’ll be replaced even sooner.
alexander covington retweeted
I come back to this speech every once in a while:
“in the 1,526 singles matches I played in my career, I won almost 80% of those matches
… what percentage of points do you think I won in those matches?
only 54%.”
