Simulation has the potential to be transformative, but only if it's accurate. Today, we're sharing results of a comprehensive evaluation across 2,993 questions, with an industry-leading mean TVD of 7.62% and an MAE of 3.53%.
More below, including the full post on our site.
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The billion-dollar AI startup. Aaru Co-Founders @seekingtau, @virtualned, & @john_k on refining the science of prediction: cnb.cx/3PuKcHV
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Aaru recently reached a $1 billion valuation, making it one of a growing crop of hot companies led by people who have barely cracked their 20s on.wsj.com/4b4wunG
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sim says the people of New York want faster bikes @nycmayor
Spindrift has been pushing boundaries in product and brand for years. As one of our earliest partners, we are excited to share how they have leveraged simulation to accelerate their truly innovative company.
Over the past several months, we’ve worked to test and develop new products, supported marketing and media efforts, and provided clarity on their toughest questions.
We’re partnering with @InterpublicIPG to bring predictive capabilities and enhanced foresight to Interpublic Group’s portfolio of companies. Together, we will accelerate creative expertise with the power of human simulation.
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New simulation from the @aaruHQ team on Iran: Americans are starkly divided on whether to go to war — but share the same fears on the cost of US involvement.
Democrats are ideologically fractured: the far left believes war with Iran is immoral, while the moderate faction is more focused on the risks to American soldiers and the prospect of endless entanglement.
Interestingly, Obama-era globalists have views that resemble current MAGA Republicans, with only a slight divergence on the moral weight of war.
Centrist Americans on both sides are more hawkish on the whole, believing Iran is a distraction from greater threats from China and Russia.
Broadly, Americans have shifted their anti-war philosophy away from protecting the lives of American soldiers and towards avoiding forever wars, which has become the top concern across the spectrum.
Launching our collaboration with @Accenture. Together, we plan to harness the power of human simulation to provide our clients with a clearer lens into the future.
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🟡 NEW: Two 19-year-old college dropouts conducted a poll that accurately predicted the results of a New York Democratic primary race within 371 votes.
Their secret? They didn’t survey a single person. Instead, they asked thousands of AI chatbots which candidate they preferred.
Read more in Semafor Tech: semafor.com/article/09/20/20…
ALT No people, no problem: AI chatbots predict elections better than humans