The Two Different Paths: We are about to find out which path we are on. As I said in my last note, from my conversations with a number of world leaders in a number of countries, and as seems obvious to me, there will either be a) a U.S. win over Iran, which will require taking control over the Strait of Hormuz and assuring that Iran's nuclear program is dead—i.e., defanging Iran, or b) a U.S. loss, which is the result if these things don't happen.
Most senior policy makers I speak with believe that we are likely headed down the b) path and that will be made clear soon. It needs to be made clear soon because continuing on the current path or being more forceful will cause sharp increases in oil and gasoline prices and great difficulties during the high travel season, bad political consequences for President Trump, and difficulties in his upcoming meeting with President Xi in China. So, we should have that verdict soon.
The perception that the b) path is most likely is already leading to a view that the United States will not be a reliable protector against possible opponents like Russia in Europe and/or China in Asia, and that is already leading to actions being taken that are sensible in light of that belief, like leaders paying "tribute" visits to China. As explained before, this set of circumstances is likely to have some analogous consequences to Great Britain losing the Suez Canal in 1956. By the way, this is also happening at a time when China is earning huge amounts of money through its very strong exports—so much money that it is difficult for those Chinese earning the money to know what to do with it. This is making China a very important player in world capital markets as well as world trade. In other words, these events are making China geopolitically and financially stronger.
More like Miami Inaction. The tram not working. The moving walkways… not working… the rug: creepy dirty. … im kinda getting fed up actually of all marketing no “action” #MIA #miamiairport
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🗺️ Top 5 lagos más lindos de LATAM
1. Lago de Atitlán, Guatemala 🇬🇹 – Tercero más bello del mundo según Nat Geo (2024). Cráter volcánico profundo rodeado de tres volcanes, bosques tropicales y pueblos mayas.
2. Laguna Colorada, Bolivia 🇧🇴 – Noveno en la lista mundial de los 9 lagos más bellos de Nat Geo. Aguas rojizas por algas y minerales, con miles de flamencos en el altiplano.
3. Lago Titicaca, Perú/Bolivia 🇵🇪🇧🇴 – El lago navegable más alto del mundo, con islas flotantes y paisajes andinos ancestrales destacados en reportajes de National Geographic.
4. Lagos patagónicos, Chile y Argentina 🇨🇱🇦🇷 – Aguas turquesas y cristalinas rodeadas de glaciares y montañas épicas, elogiados en múltiples coberturas de Nat Geo.
5. Laguna 69, Perú 🇵🇪 – Turquesa eléctrico en pleno corazón de los Andes dentro del Parque Nacional Huascarán, una joya para senderistas.
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🇬🇹🌿 GUATEMALA ES EL MAYOR EXPORTADOR NETO DE CARDAMOMO DEL MUNDO — y se lo debe a un solo departamento.
El cardamomo es la 3.ª especia más cara del planeta, después del azafrán y la vainilla. Y 🇬🇹 Guatemala controla su mercado internacional.
Producción mundial 2022 (FAO):
🥇 🇮🇳 India: ~41,000 toneladas
🥈 🇮🇩 Indonesia: ~40,565 t
🥉 🇬🇹 Guatemala: 36,407 t
Pero las cifras de producción cuentan solo la mitad:
🇮🇳 India produce ~41,000 t → exporta ~5%
👉 El 95% se consume internamente (masala chai, cocina, medicina ayurvédica).
🇬🇹 Guatemala produce ~36,000 t → exporta ~95%
👉 El consumo local es casi nulo. Se cultiva para vender al mundo.
📊 Resultado:
🇬🇹 Guatemala es el MAYOR EXPORTADOR NETO de cardamomo del planeta. India produce más… pero Guatemala mueve el mercado global.
📍 ¿De dónde viene?
Alta Verapaz genera el 70% del cardamomo guatemalteco. Un solo departamento, montañoso y poco industrializado, es protagonista del comercio mundial de especias.
📜 Dato histórico:
Guatemala superó a India como mayor productor en 1979-80. La planta llegó antes de la Primera Guerra Mundial, traída por el alemán Oscar Majus Kloeffer
Un “accidente” de hace más de 100 años que hoy genera cientos de millones de dólares en divisas.
📊 Fuente: FAO / FAOSTAT (2022, actualizado diciembre 2025)
Under the assumption of a short-lived conflict, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026, with inflation rising to 4.4%. Should the war reignite, the outlook could deteriorate further, with added pressure on fuel prices & supply chain disruptions imf.org/en/publications/weo/…
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This is the kind of robotics progress I pay attention to.
Toyota introduced Walk Me, a walking wheelchair that moves on mechanical legs instead of wheels. It can climb stairs, handle rough terrain, and adapt to environments that were never designed to be accessible.
The point is independence. Getting from A to B without asking the world to be perfectly flat.
I have long believed robotics will not be about humanoids.
It will be about task shaped machines, designed around real human constraints.
Walk Me is a good example of that shift.
So here is the question.
If robots are shaped by tasks, not appearances, what should we design next?
#Robotics #AI #Accessibility #AssistiveTechnology #HumanCenteredDesign #FutureOfWork
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⚫️Fundación Paiz lamenta fallecimiento de Carlos Manuel Paiz Andrade
El empresario ha sido reconocido por su apoyo a la educación y las artes en Guatemala:
soy502.com/articulo/fundacio…
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Reconocimientos a los fundadores de @FUNDESA. En este caso a Carlos M. Paiz Andrade.
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⚫️Fundación Paiz lamenta fallecimiento de Carlos Manuel Paiz Andrade
El empresario ha sido reconocido por su apoyo a la educación y las artes en Guatemala:
soy502.com/articulo/fundacio…
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Fallece Carlos Paiz Andrade, referente del emprendimiento y la responsabilidad social en Guatemala prensalibre.com/vida/escenar…
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🕊️ La Asociación de Gerentes de Guatemala lamenta profundamente el fallecimiento de Carlos Manuel Paiz Andrade, quien fue presidente de la AGG (1992-1994) y Gerente del Año (2017), expresamos nuestras condolencias a su familia.
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La Fundación Paiz informó sobre el fallecimiento del empresario guatemalteco Carlos Manuel Paiz Andrade, uno de los protagonistas de la historia de los negocios en Centroamérica y de nuestra primera portada, cuando estaba al frente de grupo La Fragua. revistaeyn.com/empresasymana…
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Con tristeza recibo la noticia del fallecimiento de don Carlos Paíz. Empresario ejemplar, patriota, amante de la educación y la fotografía, hombre de hogar que nos inspiró a todos. Mi más sentido pésame a su familia y amigos. Un legado de amor, trabajo y bondad.QEPD #GuateAmala
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It really is, because after seeing this I called and had a chat with her and it was so impressive that I felt the urge to retweet and tell you that.
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The regrets of the dying: what causes them?
Here's my take:
Regret 1 - I wish I had the courage to live a life true to myself, not the life others expected of me.
Under the hood: Agency was outsourced to the crowd
Regret 2 - I wish I hadn’t worked so hard
Under the hood: Agency was outsourced to the money dashboard or impressing other people.
Regret 3 - I wish I had the courage to express my feelings
Under the hood: Agency was outsourced to social conditioning.
Regret 4 - I wish I had stayed in touch with my friends
Under the hood: Agency was outsourced to other friends.
Regret 5 - I wish I let myself be happier
Under the hood: Agency was outsourced to some day in the future.
What is fascinating about the regrets of the dying: Despite the warning label on the road from people who have already been down it, new people still continue to drive down the road — and are surprised when they arrive at that destination on their death bed.
Why?
In our lives, we believe in abundant amount of tomorrow’s. On the death bed, we seem to realise it was just a scarce series of today’s.
We make those mistakes as trade offs for some moment in the future. We assume that we will eventually live a life true to ourselves, work less, express feelings, see friends and be happier — but only when a certain condition is met.
But the conditions are horizons that keep moving.
“When I get to 30” becomes “When I get to 40” which becomes “When I get to 50”, which becomes “When I get to 60”, which becomes “when I get to 70”.
It’s only when you are sat on your deathbed does this realisation seemingly occur: There was no tomorrow’s, just a series of today’s — and now it’s all gone.
The best metaphor to describe the regrets of the dying is a weird Groundhog Day: You’re at a party — but you’re currently outside of the party checking your emails. As you clear one email, another email appears. You’re sat outside of the party forever cleaning your emails thinking the next year or decade will be different. It’s only when the clock has a few more ticks left and everyone is leaving the party do you realise you wasted your whole life cleaning your metaphorical email inbox.
The tomorrow never came. The emails never stopped.
If you want to guarantee something never happens: Outsource your agency to somebody or something.
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O como diría mi Papá, los negocios no quiebran x falta de ventas, quiebran x falta de cashflow!
The real value of a business is in how much cash it generates. @The_CEO_Project on.inc.com/X1F0S0A
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This is amazing!
xitter.cf/IchNatalieF/status/167…
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Sin ahondar en las cuestiones procesales -que, sin duda, invitan a mayor discusión con los colegas @edgar_ortizgt, @JPGramajoC , @JavierComparini- me parece que la decisión de la @CC_Guatemala se acató y, lejos de entorpercer, ha sumado a la legitimidad del proceso electoral. – at Manhattan, NY



























