SITUATION DETECTED: Researchers - including leaders at OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, and Microsoft - published a paper arguing that automating AI research could set off an intelligence explosion, and that policymakers should urgently demand more visibility into progress on RSI.

Trump is right, we need to speed run super-intelligence!

Bloomberg has a copy of the letter Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick wrote to Dario Amodei on Friday. When the full PDF becomes available I will post it. Except: 'Until further notice, you must submit an application for an individually-validated license prior to the export, reexport, or transfer (in-country), including deemed export or deemed reexport, of the Mythos or Fable models to any destination worldwide or to any 'foreign person' wherever located'

NEW @WIRED: Trump admin officials concluded talks today with Anthropic without lifting export controls on Claude Fable 5, and next steps are unclear — Admin continues to believe that there are ways to jailbreak Fable 5 and access the capabilities of Mythos — Anthropic continues to say those concerns are overblown and reiterated that position in working group meeting with Commerce Dept’s CAISI and ONCD — Commerce Secy Howard Lutnick dialed in from G7 in France. National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross did not participate himself — Commerce has expressed willingness to allow Fable 5 back online for consumer use, but only as long as Anthropic resolves their jailbreak concerns w/ @ZeffMax @lilyhnewman

many agi lab employees havent yet realized their employer has given up on short timelines / fast takeoff

Introducing Shortcut — the first superhuman Excel agent. Shortcut one-shots most knowledge work tasks on Excel. It even scores >80% on Excel World Championship Cases in ~10 minutes. That's 10x faster than humans. Our early preview is live. Just comment for an invite code.

"The unemployment data on entry-level jobs is a call to action. The first signs of the societal disruptions of AI are already here.”" Paul Tudor Jones: The warning about AI is playing out in real-time, right before our eyes. As someone who has spent nearly half a century as a professional risk manager, every alarm bell in my being is ringing, and they should be in yours, too "Amid all the talk about the state of our economy, little noticed and even less discussed was June’s employment data. It showed that the unemployment rate for recent college graduates stood at 5.8%, topping the national level for the first and only time in its 45-year historical record."

https://xitter.cf/t.co/PeBQSvD7mE Meta just published two papers showing they can decode thoughts into text with 80% accuracy, in real time, using non-invasive brain-computer interfaces. Thought-to-action is almost here. Kurzweil was right, as always. Brain-computer chips are the future.

[Long post, sorry] For all the noise & confusion, I feel like after the last 2 weeks or so I have a much clearer sense of the rough DOGE game plan that @elonmusk has in mind I haven't spoken to Musk so I don't know for sure but my impression is the plan is something like: 1/ Gut & defenestrate the federal workforce, which unlocks: 2/ Control over agency functions and records, which unlocks: 3/ Mass budget/agency cuts, reducing size of government When you see a DOGE headline and are confused by overarching intent, see if it makes sense to fit in any of the following steps Step 1: Defenestrate federal workforce To do this-> - "Buyouts" for some - Purges of civil service leadership - Involuntary mass dismissals (likely on probationary workers/those w/ low performance) - this is coming - Liquidate huge % of federal property AND mandate RTO, forcing workers into bad buildings/commutes --> increase attrition - ? Things coming I don't think we know yet Step 2: Control vital functions/records With civil service out of the way, next steps include -> - Hoover up internal records on personnel that would otherwise be carefully guarded (OPM files, eg) - Feed sensitive government databases & records into AI, try to figure out what could be automated (Happening at Education Dep't, eg) - Put allies in charge of spending chokepoints (Treasury payments system) Step 3: Unilateral budget cuts Now you have DOGE allies in position to implement: - Cuts to all spending viewed outside bounds of Trump's EOs - Automation of core agency functions - Pullback on federal spending deemed fraudulent - Deletion of agencies/departments (USAID, CFPB) - Possibly cuts to many more programs and agencies? (I suspect MUCH more of this is coming soon) To me the biggest outstanding question now is what happens if/when the courts say much of this is illegal, as is widely believed by senior U.S. officials Do Musk/Trump back down? Or do they ask John Roberts what troops he commands?

Trump: "The US will take over the Gaza Strip."