Does anyone remember this? 😀
@s_probabilities does exactly that, including lineup suggestions even better than SorareData ever was ..👍
pj retweeted
After the Projected Scores, Daily Missions just got a real upgrade 🎯
Until now, mission candidates were ranked by their average for the stat. That ignores the thing that matters most: who they're actually playing.
From today, every mission stat has its own model. Candidates are ranked by what they're expected to do in THIS match, based on:
• their own history for the stat (home/away, competition type, current club)
• their role and how regularly they've started recently
• the odds for this exact match: win probability, xG for and against, clean-sheet probability, possession, scorer and assist odds
Every mission card now shows two numbers:
📊 Expected value, e.g. 1.4 interceptions
🎯 Chance to hit the target, e.g. 2+ · 40%
And the chances are calibrated: 40% means the target is reached in about 4 of 10 comparable matches.
Every model was tested on 95 Gameweeks it had never seen. Share of the top-5 picks hitting a demanding target, average vs. model:
4+ saves: 47% → 67%
Clean sheet: 31% → 55%
Goal: 26% → 45%
Assist: 12% → 30%
Shot on target: 49% → 65%
The model came out ahead on all 30 stats it covers.
Values assume the player starts and plays 45+ minutes, so always check Start % too.
Full breakdown 👇
soprob.com/blog/897cb6ff-2a2…
Projected Scores on SoProb – rebuilt from scratch. 🔥
One model. Two numbers:
📊 Average → what a player scores on average
🚀 Ceiling (Q80) → what they hit in ~1 of 5 games
Plus 🎯 P70% / P80% → the chance of a 70+ or 80+ score, right next to the PS
Full breakdown 👇
soprob.com/blog/2f97a9e2-7d7…
#Sorare
Getting Max. utility out of your classic cards never has been easier - thanks to the help of @s_probabilities 😃
By now the lineup suggestions are that good most of the times that you can use them directly w/o any changes - this time good enough for podium. 👍
This is the list of 4* All Star rewards this week, so hitting podium sure should wave in one of them, no?
Excellent value a measle 7 bucks a month the whole @s_probabilities package...🧠
pj retweeted
Not just for Chrome!
The SoProb Overlay now also works in Orion on iPhone and iPad, bringing SoProb data directly to your Sorare cards on mobile. 📱
#Sorare
🚀 The SoProb Overlay is now officially available in the Chrome Web Store!
Bring SoProb data directly onto your Sorare cards while building lineups, plus import your SoProb teams straight into Sorare.
Install here:
chromewebstore.google.com/de…
Here’s what it can do 👇
pj retweeted
You can already track your Arena results, now your complete Pro Balance is here! 📊
Track cash, cards and Essence in leaderboard + streak and see how profitable your Daily Missions have been. Filter by competition, select any date range and get everything at a glance.
#Sorare

































