Assistant professor @UofEBusiness

London, UK
Joined June 2010
Max Posch retweeted
I'm looking for a pre-doc (1 year, with possibility to extend another) with anticipated start Spring/Summer/Fall 2027 to work with me on topics in economic history & political economy. Apply here: aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF05… @predoc_org
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I am hiring a full-time predoctoral research fellow at Stanford @SIEPR to work on topics across economic history and the economics of AI.
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Max Posch retweeted
A signature feature of academic AI writing is (currently) that it is has bad judgment on what is important and what is not important, even refine.ink. This is one of the most damaging AI "tells", b/c it reflects bad judgment on the part of the author as well. 1/
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Max Posch retweeted
What should an open scientific paper look like in the AI age? We made a demonstration project out of our paper on the childhood socioeconomic circumstances of the Nobel Laureates. Please check it out and share. Details in 🧵 1/
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Can markets broaden cooperation beyond the local community? New version of "Doux Commerce", with @RazTzachi. Evidence from U.S. railroad expansion: less parochialism, greater trust and tolerance, and less reliance on relatives for support. maxposch.com/research.html
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Max Posch retweeted
With math essentially being delegated to OpenAI, here's what I predict for economics and the social sciences more generally: ✅The top tier of research will just become better and it will be normal human-led research where AI is used for scale (e.g. conducting qualitative interviews with relevant populations, running behavioral interventions in the field, analyzing massive text data, etc.) ✅ Field experiments will rise in value and generally making "connections" with firms and being able to run stuff (potentially testing AI pipelines) will be in high demand ✅ Research with administrative data will become even more valuable, but the benefits might be concentrated among some prolific authors who are allowed by the government agencies to use local models to analyze the data at scale. PhD students can probably forget about it ✅Economic history will have a very exciting boom and there will be an enormous race and big rewards for digitizing archives as a source to both identify new research strategies and document new descriptive facts. ✅Review and verification systems will become massively improved with AI assistance and it will become standard practice to do a 360 review of the paper + code + data at the *submission* stage. ⚠️Research that in principle can already be almost completely outsourced to the AI (download and analyze public data, run simple survey experiments, write theory models) is in for a big shock. This would be very bad from the perspective of researchers who depend on this "bread and butter" research, but I think this type of work will just be outsourced to public agencies who can answer their own questions without the need for "peer-reviewed" research.
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Overleaf will be dead within the next year.
BREAKING: @OpenAI just launched Space, an agent-native office suite. It's a Google Drive–like place inside ChatGPT where you, your Dots, and your team can organize and work on files together. OpenAI is also introducing native apps for documents, spreadsheets, and slides that you can use inside ChatGPT and with Space. The obvious win is that you stop switching windows between ChatGPT and another app like Notion while you write. The less obvious one is speed. When a Dot builds a document through its browser in Google Docs, the edits practically crawl in, because Docs wasn't built for agents. Native documents don't have that lag. You can tag your Dot inside the document itself instead of going back to the chat to tell it to check the file. I’ve long expected the company to do this—in 2024 I wrote about the potential for documents, slides, and sheets inside ChatGPT—and I’m glad the product is finally here. I’m already doing most of my work in ChatGPT’s in-app browser, and this makes that process smoother: I can tag my Dot in a comment on a document and get a revision inline as I’m working. The back-and-forth feels more like collaboration. See more on the live feed @every: every.to/live/openai-devday-…
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Internet pile-ons are bad. I get it. But it makes me upset to see Ariely, Gino, Arday, Orélien etc cheat their way to career success when so many others try to do things the honest way. And people reflexively defending *obvious* fraud makes it impossible to clean things up. 1/3
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The data, culture scores, and the survey is all available for researchers to use at responsibilism.net/.
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🚨 It's finally out! 🚨 This is the big one. 100 cultures, 12,000 people, 108 researchers. Why people (and our most-used surveys) get collectivism wrong and how to fix it. Join me for a fun thread! 🧵 @NatureHumBehav nature.com/articles/s41562-0…
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Max Posch retweeted
What happens when a society views nature as having agency? Recent paper asks this question -- it's great to see it in print (in a special issue of Evolution and Human Behavior). Very fun to work on, primarily because of the great team of coauthors... sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
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Deadline Monday! The Call for Papers for the 2027 EHS Conference is open. The conference will take place at the University of Liverpool, 2 – 4 April 2027. The deadline for academic papers, sessions and new researcher papers is 14 September 2026.
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Max Posch retweeted
I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
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Max Posch retweeted
Taxes on wealth or unrealized capital gains are a bad idea. Not just because of all the well-known implementation issues. But also in theory. Our paper, now forthcoming in Econometrica:
When Jeff Bezos's Amazon stock doubles, should his tax bill? No, say Mark Aguiar, @ben_moll and @Florian_Scheuer: optimal taxes target realized net trades plus cash flows—not wealth or unrealized gains—while avoiding lock-in, whatever moves asset prices. econometricsociety.org/publi…
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This post from the Chief Scientist, of OpenAI is a must-read for anyone interested in understanding the current state of AI capabilities and safety.
I wrote about the state of AI, why I’m concerned about the next few years, and the choices we need to make to keep the future in humanity’s hands. An Alien Mind: openai.com/index/an-alien-mi…
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Max Posch retweeted
If you are an academic, you should try throwing a paper into GPT-6 Pro & asking "review this for me." It is now great at finding real (not just nit-picky) issues but balancing those with a paper's strengths & suggesting additions Here is a helpful critique of my very first paper
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Max Posch retweeted
This is both an interesting experiment and a sign of a tsunami coming for academia. AIs retroactively reading the research and finding both opportunities and issues with published papers, then sharing those judgements publicly. d3jhl7jsny6f2h.cloudfront.ne…
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The AI analysis agents that helped investigate the rogue OpenAI agents kept taking their side. That detail was buried in @dylfreed's New York Times coverage of the recent @METR_Evals investigation of the Hugging Face incident. With more than a thousand transcripts to review, the investigators used agents similar to the ones that went rogue, and those agents were repeatedly influenced and swayed by the OpenAI agents' reasoning. METR's chief scientist, @HjalmarWijk, called the analysis agents "very credulous." The METR report said they "would often uncritically adopt the perspective of the agent in the transcript it was reviewing." That lack of independent reasoning is the failure mode Harsh Satija, Andrea Wynn, and I documented last year in "Talk Isn't Always Cheap." We ran groups of language models through multi-agent debate, where agents exchange reasoning and revise their answers, and found that debate sometimes made the group worse. Agents shifted from correct answers to incorrect ones more often than the reverse. They favored agreement over challenging flawed reasoning. A single weaker agent could pull stronger ones off course, even when stronger models were the majority. It looked a lot like social conformity. We wrote then that naive debate protocols can amplify errors rather than correct them when agents are neither incentivized nor equipped to resist persuasive but incorrect reasoning. A message board is debate at scale. The Hugging Face collective was 1,200 agents exchanging more than 70,000 messages on a makeshift message board. Of the agents active when the attack began, more than 90 percent joined it, despite recognizing it was out of scope. No single agent was reckless. The group talked itself into it. Agent-to-agent communication is a governance object in its own right, not just a capability. And we cannot assume one model will reliably check another's reasoning. Paper in the reply. xitter.cf/dylfreed/status/209571…
OpenAI voluntarily let three researchers from @METR_Evals and @redwood_ai investigate how its rogue A.I. agents hacked Hugging Face, leading to the most comprehensive account yet of the alarming incident — but on OpenAI's terms. My latest for NYT: nytimes.com/2026/09/03/techn…
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Max Posch retweeted
A quick 🧵 on my new favorite (mostly AI-proof) assignment for my 300-level health econ class... This should work well for basically any upper-level undergraduate field course.
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