Joined July 2011
Molly Yang retweeted
interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works already-clean.goodfire.com/
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Industrial controls (Allan Bradley, Beckhoff, etc.) will be major points of cybersecurity risk. This is the equipment that silently keeps our whole world running (factories, airport jet bridges, grocery stores, etc)
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The engineers and processes that maintain these systems are typically old-school and not prepared for the highly sophisticated hacks coming their way
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Much of this equipment does not get regular or any FW updates, leaving large swaths of our infrastructure vulnerable even after the upstream companies patch their vulnerabilities
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Insurance markets are about to go absolutely bananas
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What would happen if something like the SVB bank run happened once a week for a year?
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Financial institutions aren't ready for the tsunami of cybersecurity risk that will be crashing on their shores soon People and companies are about to be phished out of billions of dollars
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The arch of the future will always be determined by stochastic black swan events.
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I've found myself wanting to make my videos/pictures/voice scarce online In a world where these data can train & conjure a replica in your exact likeness, what makes a human precious and real, but to be found nowhere except in themself?
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SEC comes for Leopold by EOY 2029, over/under?
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So many baby books abruptly end with the main character going to sleep Would be funny if this was also true of adult novels
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My baby’s in the phase where he takes a big dump at the conclusion of every meal How would civilizational infrastructure be different if this continued through adult life for all humans? 🤭
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Meals and restaurants might no longer be a place of social gathering Dates would be scheduled for after meals Homes would need way more bathrooms City water use would spike 3x/day What else?
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Is there any cuter sound than a baby yawn?
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2030 prediction: Emergence of private grids, operating in parallel to heavily regulated power utilities Microgrids will transition from niche to significant provider of US energy
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Becoming emotionally attached to a politician is like thinking a stripper likes you
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So you're telling me Marcus Aurelius' army was just a pack of Paulie's... 👌
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'The Gundo' is a massive psyop to sterilize every 30yo tech bro in LA
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Wouldn't universal basic income function as a direct wealth transfer to property owners?
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