Top of each #Bitcoin cycle comes to November-December. Bottom of consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.618 period of bearish cycle which corresponds with December'22-March'23. So far $BTC price action fits into these timeframes and 16-17k can be the bottom👍

Both LPs played out - bitcoin:native covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158. Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at ~83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well. Why? 👇 Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550. 🎯 Nearest Key Levels Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600 Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460 📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9 ⏰ Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241 TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCU… #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools

It's Friday, shake it 🔥

US inflation came in HOT 🔥 • Headline PPI: 1.3% vs 0.5% expected • Core PPI: 0.7% vs 0.3% expected • Retail Sales: 0.8% vs 0.3% expected Inflationary pressure is reaccelerating while consumer demand remains strong. Implications: Higher Treasury yields, pressure on stocks, and a more hawkish Fed. Rate cuts become less likely, while further hikes remain a risk if inflation persists. Bad news for risk assets. The Fed won't be in a hurry to ease.

What a mess with stock indices. I guess all non-crypto folks feel like they are trading shitcoins right now 😂 #SPX #NDX #Nasdaq #SP500

September CPI came in hot. Headline inflation rose to 3.7% YoY (from 3.4%, above expectations). Core inflation also accelerated to 2.6% YoY (from 2.4%). Gasoline surged +9.1% on the month and is up +34% over the past year - energy was the main driver. But underlying pressures remain firm too (shelter, apparel, and other services). Bottom line: Inflation is still sticky and well above the Fed’s 2% target. This reduces the odds of near-term rate cuts and keeps pressure on households and borrowing costs.

ethereum:native looks similar to BTC now. Being rejected from last week close at 2535 and Weekly 20ema at 2520. Strong SR area here and no result of that struggle is visible yet. So 50/50. We have a tl east another 6 hours till anything will be any more clear. I've set TG alarms for: * developing Year VAH - now at ~2759 and moving up - cross above will trigger stop hunt and most probably will push price towards 2595 liquidity pool * cross above 2640 LP * cross below 2405 - that is Tuesday 08/10 swing low - break below will dump price down to Weekly 20ema and liquidity pools above it. ⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, W20ema, 2640, 2405

Major Volatility Factors this week: Wednesday - Inflations Rates Thursday - Producer Price Inflation

Bullish for Bitcoin 2027-2029, but still expect a final dip <75k by the end of this year. 2 out of 3 patterns assume faster correction. Or one more impulse up and then down.