Don’t grow up - it’s a trap
Joined March 2009
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Wily Trout retweeted
In Downing Street yesterday, Andy Burnham and Angela Rayner met Muslim community leaders around the Cabinet table.
The Prime Minister used the opportunity to take a cheap pot-shot at his political rivals, accusing them of using “unacceptable language” about Islam.
This isn’t the first time Labour politicians have accused their rivals of being “Islamophobic” or sought to police speech about Islam.
Another revelation from the meeting is that Angela Rayner is reportedly set to announce the appointment of an “anti-Muslim hostility” tsar this week.
Rayner appointed five people to a working group tasked with drafting the definition. All had troubling links to Islamist organisations, including the Muslim Council of Britain and MEND.
The Communities Department, which Rayner leads, also said it had deleted all responses to the working group’s consultation — responses that were vital to drafting the definition.
After pressure from Nick Timothy and the threat of legal action from the Free Speech Union, the ministry announced that it did have the responses after all, but would not show them to us.
This has only fuelled speculation that the Government allowed extremists to influence what is now Britain’s de facto Islamic blasphemy law.
Who on earth is she going to appoint as the new Islamophobia tsar?
Watch FSU Campaigns Officer @MaxHThompson 👇
Wily Trout retweeted
For a Labour Chancellor to declare during a Scrooge Budget in which a painful year is promised to his own people that he had “made the day” of a foreign leader by handing him an EXTRA £10 Billion desperately needed at home is such a cognitive dissonance as to be scarcely believable. That NOBODY in the House protested renders it a rubber-stamp assembly of a kind simply unrecognisable to a long-standing parliamentarian like me.
Wily Trout retweeted
If you look closely enough, breakthroughs in everything are accelerating exponentially.
An exponential always starts off looking small.
this might be my last normal tweet before biotech goes vertical
i'm not a whistleblower. I don't work at Lilly, Novo or any of the big labs
but there is a massive shift happening in human biology right now.
it's sitting in press releases and almost nobody reads them
the last 6 months alone:
- a once-daily pill roughly doubled median survival in metastatic pancreatic cancer (13.2 vs 6.6 months)
- a one-time gene editing infusion cut hereditary angioedema attacks 87%, and 62% of patients stayed attack-free and off all other prevention for 6 months
- a one-time gene edit for cholesterol dropped LDL up to 62%, and it held for over a year
- a personalized mrna vaccine beat keytruda alone in a 1,137 patient melanoma phase 3
- retatrutide hit ~28% weight loss in a phase 3
- an ai-designed drug entered phase 3
- a pill that regrows hair passed its second phase 3
- an immunotherapy that could let some rectal cancer patients skip surgery, chemo and radiation just got fda approved
- a man lived 271 days off dialysis on a pig kidney
- human cells were caught passing chromosome-sized chunks of DNA to their neighbors, and it changes how the neighbors behave
we are on the verge of an era where the human body is a software problem and the update cycle gets shorter everyday
stick around, it's going to get weird
bio/acc
Wily Trout retweeted
The Singularity is now
We were told the Singularity would arrive like a comet – a date, a flash, a headline. It won't. It's already here, and it looks like a press release nobody reads.
Anyone who has been trading knows this. Compounding is boring for years, then sudden. The curve doesn't change its nature at the knee – only our ability to ignore it does. An exponential is the one trend where the past is a bad guide, because the past is the flat part.
Look at biology, just the last six months. A pill that doubles survival in the deadliest cancer. A single infusion that edits a gene – no pills, no refills, no return visits. A man living on a pig's kidney. Each one, alone, is a story. Together, they are a slope.
And the same slope runs through AI, energy, rockets, materials. Each field now accelerates the others. That is what the Singularity actually is: not the moment machines wake up, but the moment progress starts feeding on itself faster than we can absorb it.
Here is the part nobody says. The bottleneck is no longer science. It's permission. The body is becoming a software problem, but our institutions still run on paper, committees and fear. The science is exponential; the bureaucracy is linear. And when a linear system meets an exponential one, the linear one doesn't win. It gets bypassed.
Europe should listen carefully. A continent that regulates before it builds will not be defeated by the future – it will be made irrelevant by it. It will approve the cure the year after its citizens started flying elsewhere to buy it.
The Singularity will not be announced. Nobody rings a bell at the knee of the curve. It will be noticed afterwards – by the people who stood in it the whole time, waiting for a sign. And what comes after will belong to those who didn't wait.
Wily Trout retweeted
For the confused, Labour is getting ready for a GE next year. Burnham all but told us so yesterday. In which case, Labour will not be reducing the money claimed in benefits by their voters. They are in a pre-election phase of ensuring that their supporters are well stoked with money.
Wily Trout retweeted
Joe Rogan is horrified as Steve Hilton reveals where the 330,000 migrant kids Biden lost actually ended up.
ROGAN: “Holy f*ck!”
HILTON: “The way Bobby puts it is that Becerra turned HHS into the largest child trafficking operation in history.”
A caseworker told Hilton they were ordered to ignore obviously fake IDs and get the kids out the door as fast as possible.
Their directive was “Speed over safety.” If something happens to the kids, so be it.
One girl was put on a plane, handed off to three strange men, and forced to work 20 hours a day.
ROGAN: “Oh my God, it’s shocking. That’s so evil.”
The kids were given a hotline to call if they were in danger. The problem was getting anyone to answer.
HILTON: “There were 65,000 unanswered calls to the hotline.”
And the people who flagged it? “FIRED.”
ROGAN: “It doesn’t even seem like it could be real.”
When Bobby Kennedy Jr. previously described what happened to these kids, he called it a “huge, huge tragedy.”
KENNEDY: “One guy pretended to be the parent of 42 children. We have no idea what happened to those kids.”
“There was about 60 kids who were sent to one address. When we looked at that address, it was a container, a steel container in the middle of a parking lot.”
“A lot of them were sent to work at slaughterhouses and picking fruits in the fields. They were slaves.”
“It’s a huge, huge tragedy. My agency [under Biden] was the single biggest child trafficker in the world.”
And now Xavier Becerra, the man who presided over all of it, wants to be governor of California.
Steve Hilton is running against him.
Wily Trout retweeted
Let's be clear: Christianity built Western civilization.
Not as a vague cultural backdrop. As the actual engine.
It all comes down to one sentence: "You shall know the truth, and the truth shall set you free."
Think about what that implies. Truth exists. Truth is one. Truth is knowable. And seeking it isn't rebellion against God. It's worship.
"In the beginning was the Logos." Reason. If the universe was created by a rational mind, then the universe is rational. It follows laws. And those laws can be discovered.
Most civilizations never made that leap. Nature was a battlefield of capricious gods to appease, or an eternal cycle going nowhere, or an illusion to escape. Why would you study the laws of something you don't believe has laws?
Christians believed otherwise. So monks preserved ancient knowledge for a thousand years. The Church gave birth to the university. The Benedictines said "pray and work," turned labor into something sacred, and spread water mills across Europe. Monasteries built some of the first mechanical clocks.
Then came the scientists. Copernicus was a church canon. Kepler said he was thinking God's thoughts after Him. Newton wrote more about theology than physics. Mendel was a friar. Lemaître, the father of the Big Bang theory, was a Catholic priest.
They weren't scientists despite their faith. They were scientists because of it.
Add two more ideas. Time is linear: history has a beginning and is going somewhere, so progress becomes thinkable. And every human is made in the image of God: individual dignity, individual conscience, the worth of the craftsman and the worker.
Put it all together. An intelligible universe. A sacred duty to seek truth. The belief that tomorrow can be better than today. The dignity of work and of every single person.
That's the recipe. Science, then technology, then the Industrial Revolution. It happened in Christian Europe. Not by accident.
We are still living off the interest of that capital. The real question is what happens when we stop believing in the things that produced it.
Elon Musk: I'm a big believer in the principles of Christianity.
“While I'm not a particularly religious person, I do believe that the teachings of Jesus are good and wise and that there's tremendous wisdom in Turn the other cheek.
For a while, when I was young, I thought that's really a weak thing to do.
With respect to bullies at school, I think you shouldn't turn the other cheek. You should punch them on the nose and then thereafter make peace with them. They need to stop bullying you, and a punch in the nose will stop that.
This notion of forgiveness is important. I think it's essential because if you don't forgive, then an eye for an eye makes everyone blind. If you're going to seek vengeance, you have this never-ending cycle of vengeance.
So, I'm actually a big believer in the principles of Christianity. I think they're very good.”
Interview with Jordan Peterson, July 22, 2024
Wily Trout retweeted
WTF? A Prime Minister who has never run a business in his life demands answers because a private business fails? … let me help you, Andy & co.
A retail chain needs to stay in fashion, needs to go with the flow! … But you and successive governments don’t like their “tat” products (mostly sourced off shore to sell them at £1!!! That the whole point right?) anyway…
for free (without a taxpayer funded £MULTIMILLION enquiry I’ll tell you the problems… (you’re welcome)
▪️massively increased regulations and compliance costs.
▪️cheap tat sourced from abroad, with rising shipping and transport costs.
▪️Hit by increased minimum wages and employer National Insurance.
▪️Hit by rising rents and business rates.
▪️Hit by soaring energy bills and net zero costs.
▪️Hit by higher interest rates.
▪️Hit by consumers with less disposable income.
▪️Hit by the soaring cost of borrowing to buy stock months in advance.
▪️Hit by higher insurance premiums.
▪️Hit by shoplifting, organised theft and security costs.
▪️Hit by packaging taxes, recycling regulations and environmental compliance costs.( which you just throw into general taxation, non of it changes the weather)
▪️Hit by higher fuel, warehousing and distribution costs.
▪️Hit by increased employment costs, pensions and statutory obligations.
▪️Hit by competition from overseas online retailers operating with very different overheads.( duty free … for foreign businesses oops)
▪️And hit by the impossibility of passing those costs onto customers, who shop at Poundland precisely because they need cheap stuff! … which isn’t cheap anymore (see above)
Every single time you add something on … so do they!
And the idiot, deluded politicians who have made Britain more and more expensive and difficult to do business in, are demanding to know why businesses are struggling?
You are all moronic. My work here is done 🤡
Wily Trout retweeted
“Perhaps my best story that never made the papers was the day I came out of the David Kelly inquiry and rang my news editor to say the ambulance crew had questioned the slash marks on his wrist being the wrong way round, only to be told, ‘No, that’s not the line we’re going on.’”
Important article from 30 year Fleet Street veteran Melissa Kite (@melissakite1) about how the ‘media’ lies by omission to run PR for enemies of the people.
Read it here:
melissakite.substack.com/p/t…
Wily Trout retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: A UK bank chief executive has said of Healey's budget:
"Taxing the engines of growth to reduce VAT on gherkins is end-of-Rome level of stupidity"
ft.com/content/80acb561-34e2…
Wily Trout retweeted
The Chancellor's approach to beer is remarkably similar to his approach to the economy. Sink it in record time.
Wily Trout retweeted
Beaucoup de débat sur ma vidéo sur Hitler. Je ne recule pas. Je vais expliquer d'où je parle.
Pour moi, la couche zéro de toute idéologie, c'est l'économie. Pas les discours, pas les drapeaux, pas les uniformes. La question de base est toujours la même : qui décide de ce qui est produit, à quel prix, par qui, et qui garde le fruit du travail ?
Il n'y a que deux grandes réponses.
Le capitalisme : la propriété est privée, les prix émergent de millions d'échanges libres, chacun décide quoi produire, quoi acheter, où investir. Personne ne pilote l'ensemble. L'ordre émerge d'en bas.
Le collectivisme : un pouvoir central décide à la place des individus au nom d'un intérêt supérieur. La classe chez Marx, la nation chez d'autres, la planète aujourd'hui. Le mot change, la mécanique reste : l'individu est subordonné au collectif, et l'État décide de ce qui est "utile".
Maintenant, regardez ce qu'a fait Hitler. Pas ce qu'il disait de lui-même, ce qu'il a fait.
Son parti s'appelle le Parti national-socialiste des travailleurs allemands. Son programme de 1920 réclame la suppression des revenus obtenus sans travail, la nationalisation des trusts, la participation aux bénéfices des grandes entreprises, l'expropriation de terres sans indemnité pour l'utilité commune. Et un principe qui résume tout : l'intérêt général avant l'intérêt particulier.
Une fois au pouvoir :
En 1933, les syndicats libres sont dissous et remplacés par le Front allemand du travail, un organisme du parti qui encadre ouvriers ET patrons. La même année, l'État s'arroge le droit de forcer les entreprises à se regrouper en cartels. Toute l'agriculture passe sous le Reichsnährstand, qui fixe prix, quotas et circuits de vente. La loi sur les fermes héréditaires interdit à des centaines de milliers de paysans de vendre ou d'hypothéquer leur propre terre.
En 1934, le "Nouveau Plan" de Schacht impose le contrôle des changes : il faut une autorisation pour importer. Les dividendes sont plafonnés, l'excédent part en emprunts d'État.
En 1935, le livret de travail devient obligatoire. L'État sait où vous travaillez et peut vous empêcher d'en changer.
En 1936, Hitler confie à Göring le Plan de quatre ans, avec un objectif explicite : une économie prête pour la guerre en quatre ans. Le 26 novembre 1936, le commissaire aux prix interdit toute hausse de prix sans autorisation. Le mécanisme des prix, le cœur même du marché, est éteint par décret.
En 1937, les industriels de la Ruhr refusent d'investir dans un minerai de fer non rentable. Réponse de l'État : il crée sa propre aciérie géante, les Reichswerke Hermann Göring.
En 1938, l'État peut réquisitionner un travailleur et l'affecter à un poste.
Et pour ceux qui disent non ? Hugo Junkers, pionnier de l'aviation, refuse de se plier. On le force à céder son entreprise, il finit en résidence surveillée. Le message envoyé à tous les autres patrons est limpide.
Alors oui, les usines avaient encore un propriétaire sur le papier. Mais quand vous ne fixez ni vos prix, ni vos salaires, ni vos investissements, ni vos importations, ni vos dividendes, et que l'État peut vous prendre votre boîte si vous refusez, vous n'êtes pas propriétaire. Vous êtes gérant pour le compte de l'État. Mises appelait ça le socialisme de modèle allemand : on garde l'étiquette de la propriété privée, on retire tout ce qui en fait une propriété.
Maintenant, le "oui mais les historiens disent que le nazisme, c'est l'extrême droite".
Deux choses.
D'abord, historiens et économistes ne mesurent pas la même chose. Le clivage gauche-droite vient de la place des députés dans l'Assemblée de 1789. Les historiens classent le nazisme à l'extrême droite sur le nationalisme, le racisme, l'anticommunisme, l'alliance avec une partie des élites. Sur ces points, ils ont raison. Moi, je pose une autre question : qui contrôle l'économie ? Et la réponse, c'est l'État, pas le marché. Les deux constats ne s'excluent pas. Hayek l'écrivait déjà en 1944, dans un chapitre intitulé "Les racines socialistes du nazisme".
Ensuite, un diplôme n'est pas un argument. Le manuel d'économie le plus influent du XXe siècle, celui de Paul Samuelson, prix Nobel, a annoncé pendant des décennies que le PIB soviétique allait rattraper celui des États-Unis. Dans l'édition de 1989, il présentait encore l'économie soviétique comme la preuve qu'une économie planifiée peut fonctionner, et même prospérer. Deux ans avant l'effondrement de l'URSS. Des générations d'économistes diplômés ont appris ça. Les titres n'immunisent pas contre les biais idéologiques. Lisez les décrets, regardez les dates, faites-vous votre propre avis.
Au fond, il y a deux visions du monde.
La première : la liberté, la propriété, la création de valeur. Des individus qui essaient, échouent, recommencent, échangent, et un ordre qui émerge sans que personne ne l'ait dessiné.
La seconde : la planification. Quelqu'un, quelque part, sait mieux que vous ce que vous devez produire, consommer, gagner, au nom d'un objectif supérieur. Plan quinquennal soviétique, Plan de quatre ans nazi. Rouge ou brun, la mécanique est la même. Seul change le collectif qu'on invoque : la classe ou la race.
Je ne dis pas que chaque plan mène au pire. Je dis que chaque plan part de la même idée : que vos choix comptent moins que l'objectif de celui qui planifie.
Alors la prochaine fois que vous entendez quelqu'un parler de "plan", qu'il soit industriel, national ou écologique, posez-vous une seule question : qui décide à ma place, et qu'est-ce qu'on va me retirer pour que le plan tienne ?
Wily Trout retweeted
I can’t imagine why Tower Hamlets Council has deleted its advert for an Islamophobia Awareness event scheduled for 11am on 11 Nov. . .😒
Wily Trout retweeted
Yesterday I was talking with an economist. A genuinely sharp guy.
We ended up agreeing on a conclusion that isn't comfortable: Europe and the West are down to two scenarios.
Scenario one: communism gets defeated within the next 5 years. We finally do what has to be done on immigration and on the economy. It will be hard, really hard. But better a horrible ending than horror without end.
Scenario two: communism wins. And right behind it, most likely, Islamic tyranny. Not in 50 years. Soon after.
There is no in-between. No "it'll sort itself out," no lukewarm third way where everyone keeps their little comfort zone.
What fascinates me is that the vast majority of people don't see this at all. They're living through this period as if it were just another political cycle.
But there's good news. The people who've been sounding the alarm for 20 years were right. They were called crazy, doomers, prophets of decline. And every month, reality proves them a little more right.
The faster people realize this, the further ahead we get.
Waking up is already half the battle.
Wily Trout retweeted
In December 2016, a special French court convicted International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde of criminal negligence for her handling of a 2008 financial dispute during her previous tenure as France's finance minister. The court ruled that Lagarde acted negligently by failing to challenge a fraudulent €404 million ($425 million) taxpayer-funded arbitration payout to tycoon Bernard Tapie over the sale of the Adidas brand. Despite the guilty verdict, the judges spared Lagarde from any prison sentence, fine, or criminal record.
Wily Trout retweeted
A man who lost his voice to ALS is talking again at conversational speed. In his first week.
No gala dinner did that. No foundation press release. No "commitment to awareness."
Neuralink just shared early data from its speech restoration trial: one ALS participant hit 75 words per minute with a 5.8% error rate on a 125,000-word vocabulary, in the first week. For context, normal conversation runs around 120 to 150 words per minute. A few years ago, people in this condition were spelling words one letter at a time with their eyes. Now they're getting close to talking normally, in their own voice, straight from their brain.
Let that sink in. A disease that slowly locks you inside your own body, and someone just built a door.
And here's what's funny. For months, journalists and politicians have been telling us that Elon should "give his money away." Redistribute. Write the big check. Be a good billionaire.
They have it backwards.
Giving money away is the easy part. Anyone can sign a check. Most billionaire philanthropy today is reputation management. You fund a foundation, the foundation funds NGOs, the NGOs fund think tanks and campaigns, the think tanks shape policy, the media covers it warmly, and half the outlets covering it are owned or funded by the same billionaires. Everybody gets a nice headline. The money circulates in a closed loop of people who all know each other. The problem being "addressed" is still there twenty years later, because solving it was never really the business model. The business model was looking like you care.
That's not philanthropy. That's crony capitalism with a charity logo on it.
Now look at the other model.
Give a voice back to people with ALS. Let paralyzed people control a computer with their thoughts, and push toward restoring movement. Work on giving sight back to the blind. Make electric cars mainstream and push transport toward autonomy so getting around doesn't cost a fortune. Put high-speed internet in villages no telecom company would ever bother with. Make access to space radically cheaper. Bet on robots and cheap energy that could one day make building a home affordable without signing up for 25 years of debt.
None of that came from redistributing wealth. All of it came from creating it.
That's the part people refuse to understand. Wealth is not a fixed pie you slice differently. It gets created when someone solves a real problem for real people at scale. And when you do that, you don't help a few thousand people with a grant. You change the baseline for billions of people, permanently, and the solution keeps getting cheaper every year.
A check gets spent once. A solved problem stays solved.
Gates-style philanthropy is going to fade in the coming decades. Not because the people are evil, but because the model is slow, political, captured by intermediaries and optimized for image. Gates himself has announced his foundation will shut down by 2045.
Musk-style philanthropy will become the standard. It just doesn't call itself philanthropy.
It's called entrepreneurship. Value creation. Capitalism.
The most generous thing you can do for humanity is build something that makes an impossible thing ordinary.
Ask the guy who just got his voice back.
Wily Trout retweeted
Every "free from" label tells you what they took out, and never what they put back in its place.
Fat-free yoghurt means the fat that kept you full and carried your vitamins A and D came out, and the sugar that has you back in the fridge within the hour went in.
Fat-free dressing means sugar and gums, and without the fat your body can barely absorb the vitamins from the salad you're pouring it on.
Sugar-free means sweeteners, and in a human trial two of the most common ones knocked people's blood sugar control off course within a fortnight.
Cholesterol-free means seed oil, which never had any cholesterol to lose, and whose main fat moves into your cell membranes and stays for two years.
Palm-oil-free means rapeseed and sunflower oil, swapping a stable fat for one that falls apart into toxic aldehydes the moment it's heated.
Dairy-free milk means oats broken down into maltose, a sugar that hits your blood faster than table sugar, topped up with rapeseed oil.
Dairy-free cheese means coconut oil and potato starch, with barely a gram of the protein the cheese gave you.
Meat-free means pea protein isolate, coconut oil and a thickener also sold as a laxative, with none of the creatine or carnosine of the beef it replaced.
Gluten-free means bread rebuilt from rice flour and potato starch, which sends blood sugar higher, and people living on it carry nearly twice the arsenic in their urine.
A ribeye has never needed a free-from label, because nobody ever had to take it apart and put it back together.
