Providing data-driven insights to political candidates and committees across the nation. Inquiries: [email protected]
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Victory Insights retweeted
Austin @RogersforFL leads GOP field in new @VictoryPolling CD 2 survey
Reporting by @FabrizioGowdy
#FlaPol
flapol.com/4hWB4YJ
Victory Insights retweeted
'The race is wide open': @VictoryPolling shows @JimSchwartzel, @VoteJimOberweis leading crowded CD 19 field
Reporting by @JacobOgles
#FlaPol
floridapolitics.com/archives…
Victory Insights retweeted
"The race for Florida Governor is headed towards a predictable finish, while the race for FL-19 is entirely unpredictable. But with less than two months until Florida’s Primary Election Day, expect the FL-19 race to heat up. At this point, it’s just local tradition."
More 👇
Victory Insights retweeted
Over 25% of New Yorkers will consider fleeing NYC if Zohran Mamdani becomes mayor: poll trib.al/CXs0Eud
Victory Insights retweeted
Highly recommend reading the full report. Lots of interesting info besides the ballot topline.
A quarter of voters say they’re considering moving out of NYC if Mamdani is elected. A plurality of Cuomo voters and a majority of Sliwa voters say they’re considering it.
NEW POLL: Zohran Mamdani leads Andrew Cuomo & Curtis Sliwa.
Early voting begins tomorrow.
47% - Mamdani
29% - Cuomo
16% - Sliwa
Full Report: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
This is the first poll we’ve released to the public that uses AI Agent-Conducted Live Calls as one of the response collection techniques.
We replaced a portion of the IVR component with AI agents calling voters and guiding them through the survey conversationally. More to come!
Roy Cooper narrowly leads Michael Whatley in the first poll of the 2026 US Senate race in North Carolina.
OVERALL BALLOT:
43.4% Cooper (+3.1%)
40.2% Whatley
16.4% Undecided
WITH LEANERS:
44.4% Cooper (+0.9%)
43.5% Whatley
12.2% Neutral
Full Report: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
Cooper vs. Whatley poll coming later this week from @VictoryPolling!
Victory Insights retweeted
People would be well served to read the entire report before overreacting. A lot of voters simply don’t know anything about either candidate yet, so they’re noncommittal.
But the report explains that undecided voters are R+17.
If Republican undecideds break for Donalds, Democrat undecideds break for Jolly, and nonpartisans break for whichever side they say they lean towards, the numbers jump to:
53.4% - Donalds (+11.2)
42.2% - Jolly
4.4% - Undecided
So yes, an 11.2-point win would be slightly less than the outlier landslides we’ve seen in FL in recent elections. But is being on track to lose by more than 11 points really something Fla Dems should be celebrating?
Victory Insights retweeted
The logical next step is to consider who the undecided voters are.
This is another headwind for Jolly: undecided voters lean Republican by 17%.
NEW POLL: @ByronDonalds leads @DavidJollyFL in the race for Florida Governor.
36.7% - Byron Donalds (R)
31.4% - David Jolly (D)
31.9% - Undecided
Read the full report: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
The idea that Jolly will win over moderate Republicans is shaky at best.
Donalds earns an average rating of 3.9 out of 5 among Moderate Republicans. That’s better than DeSantis (3.2), Trump (3.1), and certainly Jolly (2.5).
Not to mention MAGA Republicans are far more numerous.
NEW POLL: @ByronDonalds leads @DavidJollyFL in the race for Florida Governor.
36.7% - Byron Donalds (R)
31.4% - David Jolly (D)
31.9% - Undecided
Read the full report: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
Tomorrow morning, @VictoryPolling will release the very first poll results on a potential David Jolly vs. Byron Donalds gubernatorial race.
Victory Insights retweeted
Most people only know @VictoryPolling for our polling work, but last night we also won awards for:
- Peer-to-Peer Texting
- Voter Targeting
- Telephone Town Halls
With the upcoming relaunch of @DonorDex, we expect to add fundraising to this list soon. Back to work…
We took home 6 trophies from last night’s Pollie Awards by @theAAPC!
This includes winning 1st Place for our innovations in voter targeting, polling research, and peer to peer texting. 🏆
Victory Insights retweeted
“Hindsight is 20/20, and voters are seeing quite clearly through Rep. Gary VanDeaver…
Our poll confirms that VanDeaver is falling out of favor with Republicans in his district, while Chris Spencer sits poised to take him out.”
Shockingly weak numbers for an incumbent.
NEW POLL: Conservative challenger Chris Spencer leads incumbent Gary VanDeaver in the TX HD-1 Republican primary.
VanDeaver was one of 2 TX Republicans to vote against school choice last month.
38% - Spencer
27% - VanDeaver
35% - Undecided
Full Report: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
DonorDex is back.
Our mission to level the political playing field resumes Summer 2025.
The all-new DonorDex app connects political candidates to potential donors efficiently and at scale. Think Tinder, but for political fundraising.
Join the waitlist: DonorDex.com
Victory Insights retweeted
🚨Just in: Here is the @VictoryPolling poll for the 2026 Oklahoma GOP Governor Primary:
⚪️ Undecideds 52.4%
🔵 Drummond 37.3%
🟢 McCall 6.2%
🟡 Keating 2.8%
🟣 Mazzei 1.3%
🔴President Trump's approval rating is 75%
Date: Feb 23-25
Voter: 506 Likely Voters
Poll: Victory Polling
Victory Insights retweeted
I have some excellent news to share. Tomorrow @VictoryPolling and I will release a poll in the Oklahoma Governor Race for the GOP Primary
The purpose of this is to offer an alternative to the polling we saw last week. We will be conducting additional polls in Oklahoma over the next few months so think of this one as the first poll. This poll is before the pack gets fully formed.
I can imagine that Drummond will have the lead due to his name ID and spending on commercials. However, that might change at the beginning of May when more candidates join the rodeo.
For this first poll, we will have four candidates who are running or are rumored to run. Unlike other polls that have an agenda, we don't have an agenda. So, we are Fair, Balance, and Unafried
Victory Insights retweeted
AZ CD 5 is DEEP RED.
-MAGA Republicans make up 51%
-Constitutional Conservatives 22%
-Old Guard and Mods Combine for 28%
Andy Biggs successor is sure to be based.
NEW POLL: With @RepAndyBiggsAZ running for Governor, who will succeed him in AZ-5?
Here’s where the potential GOP primary field stands:
32% - Jake Hoffman
22% - Michael Way
19% - Travis Grantham
15% - Justin Olson
12% - Travis Padilla
PRESS RELEASE: irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705…
Victory Insights retweeted
President @realDonaldTrump just highlighted the results of our most recent poll in Florida.
Rumor has it he is pleased with the results….
Victory Insights retweeted
President Trump’s stance on school choice is in line with what Texas Republicans want. In a recent poll of a Texas State House district, @VictoryPolling found school choice +29 among Republican voters.
If TX legislators keep voting against it, they will keep getting primaried.
“The Texas House must now pass School Choice to deliver a gigantic Victory for Texas students and parents. I will be watching them closely. I’ve made School Choice a priority of my Administration. We need School Choice passed in every State!”
Thank you @POTUS! Let’s go Texas! 👀
