The Bitcoin signal Iโm watching:
50D crosses above 200D โ initial golden cross.
50D subsequently crosses above 350D โ stronger bull-cycle confirmation?
2019, 2020 and 2023 provide the historical comparisons.
The latest signal is in, do with that what you'd like. I'm long... very, very long.
A thesis to test; not a guarantee. But hey, I like where this is going๐
@GrainofSaltSF @hillery_dan @Trollstein @JoshMandell6 @Werkman
Just to frame up what I reposted from @ColeMacro a few minutes agoโฆ
The debasement and inflation is taking us over the cliff. Hereโs a snapshot from Charlie.
If youโre not long Bitcoin at this stageโฆ good night nurse!
โ..but it means picking up pennies in front of the debasement steamroller. When you truly internalize the principles of a Bitcoin standard, the focus becomes crystal clearโ
The Bitcoin Revolution; Class of 2018.
I use long-term money-supply trends as an important factor in assessing the cost of capital we should be willing to underwrite to amplify Bitcoin. Weโve covered in depth why Amplification Ratio is the key determinant of Striveโs ability to outperform Bitcoin, and why cost of capital matters less. I hope this historical framework, viewed alongside Bitcoin, helps those seeking a deeper understanding.
Scarcity has consistently outperformed debasement over the past 55-plus years. Gold has compounded faster than M2 in every period shown: 9.0% vs. 6.7% since 1970, 9.5% vs. 6.3% since the GFC, and 18.3% vs. 6.5% since COVID. Bitcoin is digital gold, a superior store of value whose emergence remains in its early stages. It should outperform gold as it matures. Our thesis depends on long-term monetary debasement continuing. Our believe is the trend is unbreakable, and as the debt crisis continues to worsen, the outperformance of scarce assets will perpetually accelerate (not decelerate) relative to the dollar in CAGR terms vs historicals.
If you accept that premise, as we do, the only challenge becomes building and sustaining a high Amplification Ratio without blowing up. It sounds simple, but it is extraordinarily difficult. I donโt believe most investors understand nor properly value the moat Strive has built around high Bitcoin amplification with high liquidity, and I donโt expect most to recognize it until Bitcoin makes sustainable new all-time highs.
The consensus investor remains fixated on the cost of capital and fiat cash flows. That is understandable, but it means picking up pennies in front of the debasement steamroller. When you truly internalize the principles of a Bitcoin standard, the focus becomes crystal clear: be maximally and perpetually short dollars and long Bitcoin.
$ASST $SATA $SATS
Damn if this isnโt exciting, hooraaah! LFG!!
Strive announces upsized IPO of $SATS to $700M notional, priced at $90 per share.
We'll discuss the details in depth on the next @HurdleRatePod, which will be released when the IPO settles next Tuesday.
Strive acquired 2,822 BTC over the last two days, increasing our BTC HODL by 8.6%.
We now hold 35,595 BTC and the #4 spot among global publicly traded holders of BTC.
In the last 9 days Strive have increased Bitcoin held by 20.8% (29,462 > 35,595).
Averaging ~ 681 BTC acquired per day over the last 9 days. ~150% of the daily new supply of BTC.
Planck Constant ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ retweeted
If you want to be a "select investor" in the $SATS IPO, visit the Fidelity brokerage platform in the link below. The Fidelity indication of interest window ends today.
For additional information please visit the SATS IPO website at strive.com/sats-ipo/.
Replying to @Strive
To find out how to participate, speak to your broker or visit the Fidelity brokerage platform at digital.fidelity.com/prgw/diโฆ
Planck Constant ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ retweeted
Strive is offering $SATS through an IPO available to select investors.
- 15% fixed-rate perpetual preferred stock
- Cumulative dividends paid every business day
- Junior to SATA
INVESTOR PRESENTATION TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - Introducing SATS
01:46 - Executive Summary
18:50 - SATS Improves SATA
21:06 - Dividend and Balance Sheet Strength
27:33 - Performance and Liquidity
30:48 - Bitcoin Thesis
40:26 - Amplification and Risk
$SATS $ASST $SATA
Planck Constant ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ retweeted
Replying to @ColeMacro
"SATAโs $100 minimum issuance price is now a binding restriction in governing docs, formalizing the protection." --> Formalized corporate governance is good! Investors love certainty
You think people are pissed off now? Wait until this filters down into the US economy over the next few monthsโฆ
Those gas station signs werenโt designed to show diesel prices above $9.99. And when an egg cost one dollar each, the reality will eventually be unavoidable.
Iโm not a doomer, Iโm a realist. These policies took months and years to enact, and the only way now is either austerity or printing; guess which way every single politician will go.
The problem Trump has is that his chain-yanker Putin can send shock troops into the streets of Moscow and beat the living shit out of any protestorsโฆ while here people will grow poorer and more miserable over the next 2 years, and the Republicans will finally splinter and implode under the weight of their own bullshit after becoming the Trump sycophant party.
All that winning.
Stack harder, itโs going to get worse, much worse.
If youโre paying attentionโฆ
Well then, youโre having a monster week as well ๐๐
Strive just had a monster week ๐
โข Bought 3,311 BTC (Oct 5โ9) at ~$84.5K
โข Stack now 32,773 BTC
โข BTC per share UP ~1.7% in one week, even after issuing new shares
โข $310M cash on hand
And $SATA holders got upgrades:
โข 13% rate held for November, paid DAILY
โข $100 minimum sale price now written into the charter, so no issuing below par
โข Weekends now count as business days, which opens the door to 7-day dividends
โข Distributions expected to be return of capital (tax-deferred)
They're stacking sats AND protecting the preferred. This is how you build a Bitcoin treasury.
Fuck Im so Bullish on $ASST $SATA #Bitcoin
Planck Constant ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ retweeted
Over the most recent thirty days of data, the national debt has been growing at a rate of one bitcoin per second.
If this makes you angry, and you want to "unfollow" me? Please go ahead, no worries. Live your life your way, I really don't care.
I know where the bodies are buried starting with the genocides in 1939... and I've been around this world far more than most. I am no longer governed by other's opinions of me or otherwise and have nothing to prove, nothing. Yes, this is a privilege, and I recognize it as such. So no hurt feelings, let's just go about the reality we all have invented for ourselves.
Replying to @ddale8
If you just accept that everything he says falls into one of three buckets then you no longer have to listen to anything he or his sycophants have to say or write:
1. Asshole bucket - simply put: I've got no idea what you're asking me, so I'm going to make up a bunch of bullshit to make it seem like I know something, anything, or deflect to something that has no implication to what you just asked (a.k.a "word salad").
2. Pump my family bags - you know this one; I'm a failed entrepreneur (also, Daddy gave me millions so I can bankrupt casinos), but I'll shill any piece of garbage that will add a few dirty bucks to my own or my family's soiled coffers.
3. Putin's got my chain - my favorite; let's do everything we can to weaken democratic institutions from the inside (courts, government agencies, military, etc.), and overspend the shit out of our taxable income so that inflation drives the middle class into the ground, and the country collapses from within (quite similar to the 'spend them into oblivion' that helped to end the USSR).
4/4 The 2008 diesel spike was higher after adjusting for inflation. But today's nominal record is still extraordinary.
As the Iran war continues, sustained fuel costs risk putting more pressure on PPI, CPI, and household budgets.
Who benefits from elevated energy prices? Follow the earnings and refining margins.
Are you tired of winning yet?
I am.
Planck Constant ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ retweeted
How many times does this need to be explained?
People buying Digital Credit want income.
Theyโre choosing CASH FLOW over bitcoin upside.
Thatโs income capital. Money that wouldnโt necessarily go into Bitcoin in the first place.
Offering an income product isnโt an argument against self-custody.
Thatโs a straw man.
$STRC $SATA
The digital credit pushers want you to believe #bitcoin in self custody is too hard and their IOU yield products are the smarter play.
They're selling you capped upside while they use your dollars to stack the most pristine asset on the planet.
Do as they do, not as they say.
Mic drop from The Man himself.
New Digital Dawn is here.
Do with that what you will.
I'm long, very long $ASST ... 'nough said.




















