Macroeconomist and T1D dad from western Colorado. Views are my own.
Joined July 2012
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Ryan Decker retweeted
A declining role of goods production in the U.S. economy has long been a topic of intense policy and research focus. But goods production remains more important than narrow measures might suggest. (1/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 1. Measures showing declining importance of goods production
Ryan Decker retweeted
Here is a note I wrote on manufacturing (and other goods-producing industries) in the United States.
A declining role of goods production in the U.S. economy has long been a topic of intense policy and research focus. But goods production remains more important than narrow measures might suggest. (1/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 1. Measures showing declining importance of goods production
Ryan Decker retweeted
FRB Economist Ryan Decker [@UpdatedPriors]:
"In an accounting sense, physical goods production is the primary driver of U.S. business cycles; indeed, recessions are almost uniformly 'goods' phenomena."
federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
Ryan Decker retweeted
This.
A declining role of goods production in the U.S. economy has long been a topic of intense policy and research focus. But goods production remains more important than narrow measures might suggest. (1/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 1. Measures showing declining importance of goods production
Here is a note I wrote on manufacturing (and other goods-producing industries) in the United States.
A declining role of goods production in the U.S. economy has long been a topic of intense policy and research focus. But goods production remains more important than narrow measures might suggest. (1/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 1. Measures showing declining importance of goods production
Ryan Decker retweeted
Recessions are largely goods phenomena, with services making much smaller contributions to the business cycle. And overall goods GDP has been stable at around 1/4th of total GDP over the past couple decades. (2/2) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 2. Goods production drives the business cycle
ALT Figure 6. Goods GDP has grown faster than goods-industry value added
Ryan Decker retweeted
In this #FEDSNote, the authors assess the Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS), an experimental, biweekly product of the U.S. Census Bureau, as a timely source that bridges this gap by providing industry detail. (2/6) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
Ryan Decker retweeted
Real-time monitoring of U.S. manufacturing activity typically relies on high-frequency national aggregates that lack industry detail. (1/6) federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
Ryan Decker retweeted
New #FEDSNote: Pricing Sentiment: Measuring Input Cost Pressure from ISM Survey Responses: federalreserve.gov/econres/n… #EconTwitter
Ryan Decker retweeted
Manufacturers are increasingly seeking workers with AI-related skills. federalreserve.gov/econres/n… #EconTwitter
ALT Figure 4. Types of AI Skills Required in Manufacturing Postings
I have pulled trailers on this road and the most dangerous part about it is the tourists who straddle the median line because they don't want to drive near the edge. Don't do that!
The Million Dollar Highway, in the mountains of southwestern Colorado, is prone to rockfall and avalanches, and is the site of horrific crashes and courageous rescues. Peter Hessler reports on the aftermath of a tragic car accident and on why nobody wants to fix the road. newyorkermag.visitlink.me/rs…
Ryan Decker retweeted
New #FEDSPaper: Measuring and Projecting U.S. Investment in Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity: federalreserve.gov/econres/f… #EconTwitter
Ryan Decker retweeted
Similar tariff shock, opposite composition shifts: Japan -> import mix tilted towards higher-priced models South Korea -> mix tilted towards lower-priced models. While unit values fell sharply, composition is only a small part of the story. federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
ALT Figure 4. Variable- and Fixed-Composition Average Prices
Ryan Decker retweeted
The motor vehicle industry suffered severe production disruptions during 2021 and 2022 due to semiconductor shortages, but the automakers adopted some strategies to contain those losses. federalreserve.gov/econres/n… #EconTwitter
ALT Figure 1. The Trajectory of Light Vehicle Production Through the Chip Shortage
Ryan Decker retweeted
Discussion of the BLS Current Employment Statistics, revision patterns, role of the birth-death model in payroll estimates and revisions, and potential methodology innovations, from Ryan A. Decker nber.org/papers/w34924
Here is a note in measuring payroll employment nber.org/papers/w34924
