🇻🇪 FOLLOW THE MONEY - VENEZUELA, HOUTHIS, SAUDI ARABIA & MULTIPOLARITY The deeper you go into Venezuela, the more interesting the capital structure becomes At the centre is Alejandro Betancourt and his family-controlled NABEP NABEP gets 17 Venezuelan oil fields containing approximately 65bn barrels of stated proven reserves The US government gets a protected 35% economic interest, the right to buy 20% of production at cost and first refusal on the remaining 80% The Betancourt family retains private control Now add the other nodes 🇨🇳 CHINA Several fields moving into NABEP were previously operated by Chinese companies China is defending existing creditor & commercial rights 🇷🇺 RUSSIA Russian state-owned Roszarubezhneft reportedly retains 40% of Petromonagas while Exxon negotiates around the same project 🇺🇸 CHEVRON Chevron never left Venezuela, but its position has just expanded dramatically, with $7bn+ investment planned targeting approximately 600k barrels/day Now follow the oil 🇸🇦 SAUDI ARABIA Saudi Aramco owns Motiva in Texas, home to America’s largest refinery Aramco Trading Americas has already bought Venezuelan heavy crude from Chevron for Motiva Venezuela, Chevron, Saudi state-owned refining capacity in Texas Now add Yemen 🇾🇪 THE HOUTHIS US officials just met Houthi representatives in Oman Reuters reports the Houthis reaffirmed their ceasefire with Washington and said they would not attack US or Israeli ships or other commercial vessels, except Saudi-owned vessels The Houthis have also publicly said Red Sea navigation is safe for everyone except Saudi vessels So right now they are allowing Israeli shipping through while targeting Saudi shipping and claiming attacks against Aramco infrastructure around Yanbu Yanbu is the Red Sea outlet of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, increasingly important when Hormuz is constrained At the same time Saudi Aramco owns America’s largest refinery and is already buying Venezuelan crude through Chevron 🇮🇱 ISRAEL-ALIGNED PRIVATE CAPITAL CITGO owns three major US refineries capable of processing Venezuelan heavy crude Its court-supervised sale was won by Amber Energy, backed by Paul Singer’s Elliott Singer is a major Trump-aligned political donor and financier of pro-Israel political influence, including AIPAC’s United Democracy Project This is not Israeli state ownership It is private capital using political influence around the Israeli node while pursuing its own economic interests elsewhere Now zoom out 🇨🇳 Chinese state interests defend Chinese claims 🇷🇺 Russian state capital retains Venezuelan oil equity 🇸🇦 Saudi state capital owns US refining capacity already taking Venezuelan crude 🇺🇸 The US state gets economics, governance rights & preferential oil access through NABEP while private interests retain control 🇾🇪 The Houthis negotiate with Washington while allowing Israeli shipping through and targeting Saudi shipping and infrastructure 🇮🇱 Israel-aligned political influence overlaps with private capital positioned downstream This is multipolarity Countries are nodes Political ideologies mobilise support around those nodes But neither tells you where the economic benefit ultimately lands The Military Industrial Complex (MIC) provides power The Financial Industrial Complex (FIC) structures, finances, trades & owns the economic claims FIC is GLOBAL So here’s what I’m watching: Who finances NABEP? Does Aramco start buying Venezuelan crude directly? Does Motiva increase Venezuelan purchases while Saudi infrastructure remains under pressure? What happens to Russia’s 40% of Petromonagas? How are China’s claims treated? Where does Chevron’s expanding production go? Who ultimately controls CITGO? And how do Venezuelan oil flows change while the US-Houthi understanding keeps non-Saudi shipping moving but Saudi shipping remains targeted? Watch the contracts Watch the financing Watch the tankers Watch the ownership Follow the money