Geopolitics and FP | WW2 history obsessionado | Future member of the deep state
Joined September 2016
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If Republicans want to show some patriotism today, they should act more like John McCain in 2008 then Donald Trump in 2019.
The American Centrist retweeted
Bingo. Realistically Germany would need to be spending 5+% on defense for multiple years (likely a decade or more) and undergo a complete cultural overhaul with respect to the military to produce the kind of military capability that should be expected from it.
This is the right level of seriousness. It’s not about a number. It’s about real European military capability that has almost totally atrophied. It’s not going to be cheap for Europe to bring it back but the consequences of failing to do so are worse. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
The American Centrist retweeted
Some examples of operational equipment reductions from 1989 to 2024:
Let's start with main battle tanks:
🇩🇪 3,892 -> 248
🇫🇷 1,297 -> 200
🇮🇹 1,206 -> 200
🇬🇧 855 -> 148
🇳🇱 750 -> 16
🇸🇪 660 -> 110
🇩🇰 330 -> 44
🇧🇪 296 -> 0
1/6
The American Centrist retweeted
the us navy imposed freedom of navigation disproportionately benefits poor countries
if the unholy alliance of far right isolationists and far left anti-interventionists gets what it wants, only countries w advanced navies will be able to benefit from trade
The American Centrist retweeted
There is NO meaningful decoupling of global trade from China. China's trade surplus with countries like Mexico (black) and Vietnam (blue) is up massively. Those goods don't stay in Mexico or Vietnam. They're trans-shipped to the rest of the world. No decoupling, only rejiggering.
The American Centrist retweeted
What Happened to Africa Rising? It’s Been Another Lost Decade. Oldie but goodie by @JavierBlas
bloomberg.com/opinion/featur…
The American Centrist retweeted
Maybe this will finally get some more international press to focus on what's happening in #Myanmar 🇲🇲
The American Centrist retweeted
The U.S. is in great danger. We are facing a possible war with China. And if it happened today, there's a significant chance we'd lose.
We need to have more of a sense of urgency about this.
noahpinion.blog/p/were-not-r…
The American Centrist retweeted
Possibly my favorite "WW2 US industrial might" story yet.
Plane a little dinged up after a mission? Bulldoze it off the side of the carrier/airbase and get a shiny new one.
The American Centrist retweeted
Positive trend summary du jour, from @gapminder by Ola Rosling & Anna Rosling-Ronnlund.
The world is full of problems, which people are often very aware of. But most people have no idea about the many improvements we have visualized, and therefore they lose hope for the future and think the world is doomed.
gapminder.org/i
The American Centrist retweeted
This is a really important piece by @mattyglesias.
I love the framing of "Malthusian institutions"—groups and special interests worried about protecting their own proverbial nuts and berries—creating mass scarcity out of (ironically) a fear of scarcity.
slowboring.com/p/malthusian-…
The American Centrist retweeted
NEW: The US has a much higher stake in Russia's war on Ukraine than most people think.
As Americans consider the costs of continuing to help Ukraine fight the Russians in the coming years, they deserve a careful consideration of the costs of allowing Russia to win. 🧵(1/19)
The American Centrist retweeted
US intelligence assessed that the war in Ukraine has devastated the pre-war Russian military, although Russia has partially offset these losses and continues to prepare for a long war in Ukraine. 🧵(1/5)
The American Centrist retweeted
As long as America does not lose faith in its own project, the current international order can thrive for decades to come. foreignaffairs.com/united-st…
The American Centrist retweeted
How a coastline 100 million years ago influences modern election results in Alabama
The American Centrist retweeted
The American Centrist retweeted
Israel invades Gaza. The Myanmar junta collapses across northern Shan state. The RSF goes on a rampage across Darfur and Kordofan. Eastern Syria is ready to explode. Tuareg rebels take more ground in northern Mali, and now the GNU & LNA are moving in Libya.
Crazy times.
The level of coordination and mobilization displayed by Dabaiba & Turkey yesterday as they took back Gharyan was greater than warranted by the situation.
Now Dabaiba forces have gotten about 75 km close the #Shwayref, where the 128th and TbZ of the LNA are fully mobilized.
If Dabaiba takes Shwayref, he will go much farther south.
