Systematic, data-driven algo trader compounding at a 54% CAGR. Focused on Bitcoin, Technology & Gold.

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Joined November 2017
⚠️IMPORTANT⚠️In the next couple of days, a new shitcoin will fork off Bitcoin. It is a big security risk for people who just believe they will get an "airdrop" and want to sell it, to get more bitcoin. I will write more about it, but here is the TLDR: 👇
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Is this good for Bitcoin? Please help me understand because I have FTX vibes. Is there a Bitcoin podcast who has hailed Saylor as a genius and hero yet addressed this so I can understand from their perspective how this can possibly be good for Bitcoin and end well. Please advise. Please do be emotional in your responses. That is unbecoming and not Bitcoiner material.
Michael Saylor
@saylor18 Mar 2025
Strategy today announced the launch of $STRF ("Strife"), a new perpetual preferred stock offering, available to institutional investors and select non-institutional investors. For more information, click here. $MSTR strategy.com/press/strategy-…
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Jordan Lindsey retweeted
Earliest potential breakout in play now. Close above required for confirmation.
If you can read a chart this will help you. People asking where I call a repair on Bitcoin. Break above yellow line is $92K Technically first repair. Price is in a strong downtrend. The important repair to me is above the green line tested 3 times recently.
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BOJ update - There will be no Japanese carry trade unwind from the 25bps hike. The stimulus reinforces structural yen weakness, potentially pushing USD/JPY higher over weeks/months if fiscal risks dominate. Near term JPY may marginally strengthen but trend remains in place.
Japan approves $118b stimulus Japan’s parliament approved a $118 billion extra budget on Tuesday to finance Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s massive stimulus package, including anti-inflation measures and a boost to Japan’s military. The 18.3-trillion-yen budget passed the upper house, in which Takaichi’s ruling coalition does not have a majority but managed to receive support from opposition parties to enact the measure. As the budget was approved, the prime minister stood up in the chamber and bowed deeply as is tradition on such an occasion. It is designed to pay for a 21.3-trillion-yen stimulus that Takaichi announced last month, including energy subsidies, cash handouts, and investment incentives in key fields like semiconductors and artificial intelligence. It also includes expanded spending on defence, as China increases military activities in the wider region. “We will implement strategic fiscal spending to protect people’s livelihoods and build a strong economy,” Takaichi said last month.
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Replying to @SethCL
Hindsight is great and teaching lessons. If you quote me with a screenshot you best be right next time. Piker move.
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TGA levels, essentially the U.S. Treasury’s checking account, haven’t been drawing down the way many expected after the government reopened. Instead of falling, the balance has been climbing. That raises a real question: Is Treasury deliberately keeping the TGA elevated to pressure the Fed toward outright easing?
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Tell me again this is now worthy of asking questions as Treasury quietly offers up $650 BILLION in new issuances
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AI boom, not bubble.
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Re-acceleration will be the next narrative. Right now your time line is full of doom and gloom.
Replying to @Shan_Specter
No. I do not expect a bear market rather believe the economy is going to re-accelerate. Our positioning has gone from 95% invested to 100 cash as of yesterday. Just as quickly as we got out we can get back to 100% invested. We follow momentum and stay on the right side.
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We are now entering the second phase. -from the guy who called the bull market breakout Dec 2022 @ BTC $17,250.
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Bitcoin doing #bitcoin things!
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Turns out RETAIL is the smart money.
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Replying to @Giovann35084111
Based on behavior of every other asset undergoing similar adoption. To think volatility decays during early majority phase of adoption is a flawed and where power law will break. Diminishing returns disproven by end of decade. Power law model with it. xitter.cf/TradersMastery/status/…
2029 $BTC estimates are too low. Bitcoin's price trajectory will outperform even the most bullish forecasts. Linear regression models developed during Bitcoin's early adopter phase are limiting your perspective. Volatility decay won’t arrive until the late majority adoption stage. All current models will be broken. The chart below aligns the S-curve adoption of other transformative assets with Bitcoin’s current and projected growth path. Notice the Amazon vs. Bitcoin trajectory: Amazon’s exponential acceleration upon entering its early majority phase provides a roadmap for what Bitcoin is now poised to experience. Bitcoin has just crossed into its ultimate opportunity phase. Institutional adoption is perfectly timed to drive Bitcoin’s entry into the "early majority" phase fueled by surging institutional allocations, Wall Street’s entry via spot ETFs, and a supportive U.S. administration swiftly advancing regulatory clarity, unlocking doors for banking integration and broader institutional investment.
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Good read on the price action. Now important test in play. If market is able to now fade the pullback on today's surface GDP print that would be very bullish. Pullback in play for further downside until then.
Market now barely holding up seemingly waiting for a positive trade headline. This bounce in equity markets may soon fade. Bitcoin while not immune is showing positive relative strength.
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You have often heard me say, “TA is for fun. Be the best at it anyway.” Technical analysis allows for a creative outlet of your passion for the markets. Mechanical systematic trading is the holy grail. Spend all of your time developing a system and then executing that repetitive edge. Few have the capability so they draw lines on charts. Seldom do they ever mention the risk management required to make the lines useful. Be obsessive about psychology working on your mindset, execution and focus. Surround yourself with a like minded group achieving. Discretionary trading provides extremely high alpha returns. Less than 1% can do it well. I encourage you to keep trying because it’s worth it if you become the best of the best. For me personally TA plays a very minor role in my discretionary trading which involves market structure. Market structure is self discovered TA most people are unaware of anyway. Before you do focus your time and attention on discretionary have mastered a mechanical edge that will provide the foundation of your profits and teach you what a successful system entails helping your discretionary immensely. Self awareness is key to success. Work on you. Be relentless and obsessed with performing on an elite level.
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Jordan Lindsey retweeted
Gold/US02Y
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The signs were there. The technical breakdown of $66k was an important level pointed out in advance plus all the PA below. What happens next? Watch the full session. What Happens If Bitcoin Breaks Below $59,000? youtube.com/live/aZ9gquvJ8tU…
Replying to @TradersMastery
Really miss the podcasts you used to do, especially at times like these, you always brought clarity to what appeared chaos👍🙏 thank you that.
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a realistic scenario if we close below $66k #Bitcoin 1/5
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Friendly reminder - this is not what alt season looks like. Alt season will not return until Fed monetary policy aligns with speculative risk returning to outright easing. If all of this was so easy everyone would be doing it. There is nothing easy about it.
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