@TomDwan
 Las Vegas, NV
Joined June 2010
  • Tweets5.2K
  • Following629
  • Followers206K
91Media
Every American should watch every second of this video. Thank you, @BenSasse.
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Yesterday, we sat down with @TomDwan for our 3rd conversation, and it didn't disappoint. We covered a lot of ground, but some notable topics included: • Why did Tom get access to private games that other pros didn't? • How people in poker can use their skills to excel in other industries? • The infamous J-4 hand • The Robl fold You can watch the recording of the Q&A here: once.run/TomTalksPoker

Let's Talk Poker with Tom Dwan!

Join Tom Dwan for "Let's Talk Poker" – a deep dive into some of pok...

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From @TomDwan's recent Q&A - the story of how Phil Ivey got himself banned from one of the best private games in the world.
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Ahh ok. Im happy to try to help you pressure the frontier labs to play ball. Some of them claim to be good enough for military targeting and stuff (even though awful mistakes seem to have happened), why not do a proper real test?
GTOWizard
@GTOWizardApr 10
Replying to @TomDwan
Great point, Tom. Running frontier LLMs at scale is expensive. That's why we use AIVAT, a variance reduction technique that achieves the same statistical significance in 10x fewer hands, so 5K is equivalent to ~50K raw hands.
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Also, this should be good for the labs themselves (Longterm). Yes a lot of them hate telling the truth when mistakes are made. But this kind of situation is good for them to train models, and systems around how to more accurately assess those models confidence.
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How about chip in X$, and ask the labs to match that with credits or cheaper rates etc for this specific task. And maybe in exchange point out some obvious leaks etc (they could then try to find where from a reasoning standpoint those came from)
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This is cool. 5k obviously not enough hands though, you guys should know that. Can you run a new one with 50-100k hands 🙏🏻🙏🏻
GTOWizard
@GTOWizardApr 9
We benchmarked every major AI model at poker. GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Pro, Grok 4 and more. All played 5,000 hands of heads-up no-limit against our state-of-the-art poker agent. Every single one lost. Here's the full breakdown 🧵
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And don’t do “luck adjusted” just do enough hands that the variance smoothes out and you can say who won/lost more. Should be trivial to do mil hands if really wanna limit variance no?
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As one of the few foreigners who knows (almost) all of the story of china’s🇨🇳 crypto crackdown, it’s not even close to accurate to say star reported Li Lin
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I can understand at least some of why both Star and Cz are upset. I hope they both take some deep breaths. They both follow me, that feels cool- I hope neither of them tilts and unfollows 😂.
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Ordering CZ’s book and gonna read it.
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Wow
Tay 💖
@tayvano_Apr 5
I beg everyone in crypto to read this in full. I expected this to be another case of social engineering, likely some recruiter/job offer shit. I was very wrong. And the depth of the operation and personas makes me think they already have multiple other teams on lock. 😳
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I saw @senortilt teach our drunk friend blackjack once…
Señor Tilt
@senortiltMar 29
Hey @KylieJenner — I’m Sam Kiki. I hold the record for the most ever won in 17 seasons on High Stakes Poker. I also hold the record for largest single day win. I, too, like splashy pots. I have a seat and $500k with your name on it. Bring @RealChalamet. I’ll teach you both everything the @VanityFair video left out. Then we can all compete on @PokerGO with a few of our mutual friends.
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Bob Mueller was one of the finest directors in the history of the FBI, transforming the bureau after 9/11 and saving countless lives. But it was his relentless commitment to the rule of law and his unwavering belief in our bedrock values that made him one of the most respected public servants of our time. Michelle and I send our condolences to Bob’s family, and everyone who knew and admired him.
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Statement by President George W. Bush on Robert Mueller: "Laura and I are deeply saddened by the loss of Robert Mueller. Bob dedicated his life to public service. As a Marine in Vietnam, he proved he was ready for tough assignments. He earned a Bronze Star and a Purple Heart before returning home to pursue law. In 2001, only one week into the job as the 6th Director of the F.B.I., Bob transitioned the agency mission to protecting the homeland after September 11. He led the agency effectively, helping prevent another terrorist attack on U.S. soil. Laura and I send our heartfelt sympathy to his wife of nearly 60 years, Ann, and the Mueller family."
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Sometimes mistakes are made. In my opinion, one of the best ways to define or judge something, are how those mistakes are owned and acknowledged and dealt with. I’ve never met someone perfect. Even our dog 🐕 , much as I love her, makes mistakes.
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A follow up to this, and related thing, which I’ll soon discuss some of with @junglemandan , is that I try to not judge others. There’s often context we are missing. Sometimes people need to, sometimes society needs to. That’s why different countries have legal systems
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Most of these mechanisms for judgement, have their flaws. Any system is imperfect. You still need them. As a person, a city, a business, a country etc. With @GTOWizard help we plan to discuss (from very different viewpoints) some of these and related topics
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In poker, there are biases that populations follow. You can call these "hive minds," and if you can exploit them you will print money. There is the the recreational hive mind, there is the Chinese pro one, the Western pro one, and even the top pros have one. Real life actually works similarly, and it is difficult to escape group biases and status quo's. A notorious bias is that of Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Democratic (WEIRD) culture. Supposedly an aspect of enlightenment is removal of all mind...
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The us government, especially the executive branch, get a lot of things wrong. Poker is one. Israeli spying/actions in CONUS are another (bigger) one. But America is my favorite country in the world. We get less wrong than most (all?) others would, if they had our power 🇺🇸🇺🇸
Todd Witteles
@ToddWittelesMar 18
Replying to @LuukeJohnston
Black Friday happened under Obama. Governmental action against poker knows no political party.
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And, while Israel 🇮🇱 (and especially @netanyahu ) have their issues, they are still overall, a lot better than many people realize. I wish they covered up less of their issues though (but it’s easy for me to say- they have faced tremendous pressure)
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