As usual, people are looking for deep reasons, but I think there isn't any for the most part and the real explanation is much more boring. There is a very high level of general dissatisfaction in France at the moment, mostly due to anemic economic growth and inflation, especially with the price of gas. In addition, Macron has been in power for almost 10 years and is very unpopular, which only adds to general dissatisfaction. The high school protests, although they were already fizzling out, have provided motivation for the left by fueling the hope that it could ride out that wave to energize its own protests. So there was a fertile ground for protests, which are pretty common in France after summer. Still, while the protests were large, they were hardly impressive by French standards. What set them apart from traditional French social movements is how violent they were. Contrary to popular mythology, French protests are not generally violent. France has a very strong protest and strike culture, but the meme about how we riots all the time is overdone. Traditionally, protests are traditionally organized by unions, which coordinate with the authorities beforehand and have a security service that takes care of troublemakers during the protest. This is why the violence always starts toward the end of the protests, after the official demonstration has disbanded and people begin to scatter, because that's when it's harder for the police to control the situation. Protests have increasingly led to violence in recent years because they have become more spontaneous and are more often organized by people on social media, but also and relatedly because increasingly far-left groups and children of immigrants opportunistically join them to cause mayhem and loot. I keep seeing a lot of people who are depicting those kids as "Islamists" and ideologically motivated actors, but I think it's a complete misreading of the situation in my opinion. This isn't an "Islamist uprising" or whatever nonsense people are talking about. Their actions are opportunistic and driven by a nihilistic culture that is very similar to what you see in Black ghettos in the US, where anti-social behavior is totally normalized, with an added Islamic veneer due to their family background. This nihilism and their family background makes them susceptible to Islamist indoctrination, which is why terrorists were almost always delinquent before they turned to religion, but most of them aren't ideologues and those who are don't loot stores. As I explained before, the police often don't intervene because they are overwhelmed and they have instructions from the government not to, because politicians are terrified that if they do a kid will be killed and they will have full-blown race riots on their hands. So what they do instead is contain the violence geographically and arrest the most violent participants later at home, when the risk that the cops will kill one of them is low, using video/photo evidence. Eventually things will fizzle out, in part because the violence will discredit the movement and actually make it easier for the government to deal with it, but this tactic is very costly since we are effectively accepting that every now and then far-left activists and immigrant thugs will just burn and loot while the police watch. The problem from the government's point of view is that, if they use repression by telling the cops to break skulls, they will kill some of the kids and this will result in a massive backlash, leading to more protests and probably even more violence. I think we need to hand out serious prison time to protesters who are caught engaging in violence to deter this kind of shit, but the government has a very limited ability to do so, because justice is independent, courts are full of left-wing judges who refuse to do that, they are already overwhelmed with cases, prisons are full and we are broke. So there isn't one single explanation, it's just a combination of factors, including random stuff that nobody could predict. The context explains why something like that *can* happen, but it doesn't explain why it happens when it does. Again it's probably random for the most part. It would take years to solve the problem even if we started now, which we won't because our politics is completely broken, because it would require getting our budget in order, implementing reasonable economic policies, fixing our immigration and justice system, etc. We are cooked to be honest.

我曾经尝试过把华子老鼠仓我的事情告诉身边人。 2018年我拿钱帮孙宇晨偷渡，算是帮助过他过命的朋友吧， 在香港吃饭，我气愤的跟晨晨说：易理华老鼠仓我的事情。 晨晨当场义愤填膺的拍胸脯说：“可可，我给你介绍靠谱的杀手团队，帮你要回来。” 结果转头孙宇晨就和易理华手拉手找张艺兴喝酒拍合照。 还和我发消息说：“我在21岁的时候意识到，你就是靠自己。所以，徐可你就是靠自己。” 在晨颖大战中，我坚定的站在曾颖这边，反复开导也算是帮助过她的朋友吧。 在火锅店，我激动的跟曾颖说：千万避雷易理华。曾颖当场义愤填膺的说，易理华真是个初生。 结果转头曾颖就跟易理华的单子，导致她爆仓损失千万。 还给我打电话解释：“可可，虽然你和易有恩怨，我是你的朋友，但是你不能妨碍我和你讨厌的人也是朋友。” 我把这件事说给易理华后来的一个金主听， 那个金主反手拿给易理华个把亿，因为他觉得易理华有两把刷子。 易理华一个湖南娄底村里穷苦出身， 在上海刷盘子全力冲刺中专， 考了三次都没有成功的1米68其貌不扬的小个子离异男孩， 又能骗到我，又能骗到笑来， 那指定是身怀绝技的。 最后易理华把他的钱全部弄光，他才恍然大悟，确实有两把刷子。 我只是帮他们避雷， 他们却一个个如同飞蛾扑火般爱上易理华。 以为我是嫉妒他们， 嫉妒我得不到的易理华。 没想到我的所有避雷， 都变成了华子拿到大结果的垫脚石。 这充分说明了， 易理华可以专升本，我不能本升专。

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今天在 Solana 上海香格里拉酒店现场，活动临时被暂停，现场有8、9个执法人员守着，大家被拦在会场外一个多小时进不去。有人被问：“你来这个活动是什么目的？”他愣了一下，说：“我是博主，来蹭流量的。” 这次声势确实造得太大了。大到让人明白，有些事不是热情、声量或者社区能量能决定的。想成一件事情真的很难… 突然觉得：Web3 总说要连接世界，可现实里，有些墙比想象中更厚。有时候这事情荒诞感太强，也有点可惜。

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