Amersham, South East
Joined March 2012
Tim Velvick retweeted
This is a crap scheme but we really need to stop making every single giveaway income-dependent like this. It is creating very high effective marginal tax rates that are barely visible from above.
The cap would be £90,000 outside London. Analysis suggests that a teacher and a nurse living together would not be eligible for the Your First Home scheme thetimes.com/business/compan…
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Tim Velvick retweeted
What almost no one in this country accepts is that since Blair left office we have seen insane tax hikes on the productive and generous tax cuts for the lowest earners. This has not been good for productivity.
The interesting case of British inequality. According to the newest @lisdata data UK income inequality continues to go down. Its decline, compared to the 2000 peak, is substantial. Gini went down from almost 39 points (close to US level of inequality) to 32 (very continental European).
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Tim Velvick retweeted
An absolutely awful idea. The last thing we need is more 'meta-laws' turning public decisions and procurement into a dog's breakfast of competing obligations and duties.
A good move from @bphillipsonMP to create a socioeconomic duty for public bodies, so they consider the resources and restrictions faced by those on low-incomes in the design of services. The evidence is clear: the social characteristics most associated with poorer life outcomes are not sex, sexuality or race, but social class and disability. thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…
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Tim Velvick retweeted
This is an actual broadcast from Pol Pot’s Cambodia, live from Phnom Penh. After his tearful mea culpa, extracted along with his fingernails, he was sentenced to 10 years hard labour in the paddy fields — and never heard of again. As is only right for all counter-revolutionaries of the bourgeois intelligentsia.
The Novara Media struggle sessions are amazing, they’re terrified of their own people Literally in tears because they said something sensible and now their own side are eating them alive because of it
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Do our politicians hate us? In the UK, you are FORCED to live in BOXES with small windows. We routinely have 30ºC summers, Aircon is BANNED, and you can’t even open the windows properly. Who needs enemies with governments like this? MAKE BIG WINDOWS LEGAL.
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Almost everything in this country is now a taxable event, complete with an ever growing mountain of paperwork and administration. The tax take is on track for its highest level since the Second World War. The OBR forecasts it rising every year out to 2030, into what one of its own committee members has called "uncharted territory." Public spending sits at around 45% of GDP. Almost half the economy is now state, in one form or another. And still, the prevailing message from government is that things are under-taxed. Buying a house: stamp duty. Inheriting one: inheritance tax. Building and subsequently selling a business: capital gains, raised in the October budget. Inheriting a farm or a family firm: APR and BPR capped at £1m from April 2026. Hiring: higher employer NICs on a lower threshold since April 2025. Dividends. Pensions. ISAs above the cap. Trust transfers. All taxed. Mostly taxed more. Then there are the duties. Alcohol duty up with RPI in February 2026, on top of the 3.65% rise in February 2025. Tobacco. Air Passenger Duty. Insurance Premium Tax. Soft drinks levy. Vape duty incoming. Then there is the regulation. The Home Builders Federation puts the cumulative tax and policy changes on housebuilding since 2020 at £76,000 per new home. Building regs. Biodiversity Net Gain. Future Homes Standard. Section 106. Building Safety Levy. Nutrient neutrality. Landfill tax. Affordable housing contributions. Completions in 2024/25: 208,000. Down 16% from the 2020 peak. The same compounding load now sits on every venue with a door and a licence. One pub closes a day. One nightclub closes every two days. A third of UK nightclubs have disappeared since 2020. A quarter of British towns no longer have a single one. 40% of operators expect to close within six months. Average pub rateable value is up 30% in the 2026 revaluation. Business rates for the average pub up 76% over three years. Employer NICs up. Living wage up again from April. The dance floor itself is now effectively taxed out of existence. The result is exactly what you would expect… Houses don't get built. Farms don't change hands. Businesses don't expand. Founders defer or relocate. Hiring stalls. Capital sits. The high street closes, one shuttered venue at a time. And the tax and regulation conversation is not slowing. It is ramping up. In the space of a single week, two senior Labour figures have briefed the next round. Wes Streeting wants capital gains tax aligned with income tax, taking top rates from 24% to 45%, estimated at £12bn a year. Andy Burnham wants a land value tax he claims could raise £35bn, on the basis that British land is "under-taxed." The Treasury is already collecting more, in more places, than at any peacetime point in modern history. The political class is now openly competing on what to tax next. Every new proposal freezes a fresh part of the economy in anticipation. This is more than friction. It's the deliberate, line-by-line pricing of inaction over action. Every shuttered venue, every unbuilt home, every founder on a flight out is a tax receipt the Treasury will never collect. Yet the answer seems to be… more tax and more regulation. What was Einstein’s definition of insanity again?
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Tim Velvick retweeted
The best wealth tax is a massive increase in housebuilding. -> Property is largest source of UK wealth -> Most actually doable wealth taxes boil down to taxing property anyway -> More supply = lower house prices = more people on ladder, lower cost of living, wealth democratised
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Imagine you are @IslingtonBC. You own the freehold to acres of land next to the largest AI growth hub outside of SF with the best transport links in London. The land use is low density, housing is poor quality and the public realm is hostile. There is a national housing crisis. Do you: A) Scramble to find private partners to help phase redevelop and densify the neighborhood, delivering more and high-quality social homes subsidised by renting out new A grade lab/office space. B) Do a couple of low ambition infill projects whilst locking in the public realm disaster for another 50 years?
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Tim Velvick retweeted
If we want to get out of this, we need to do stuff which either raises productivity or brings down real costs, rather than trying to play pass the parcel by reallocating costs through subsidy, wage hikes, and so on. We need 6m more homes for the *current* population. We need cheaper energy that's reliable and consistent. We need to build reservoirs, new sewage works, and more. The roads and rail need upgrading and expanding. Hospitals and public buildings need renovating or rebuilding. Some of that the market can do - if we just get out of the way. By-right zoning, land reform, etc, that encourages building to the latent demand and removes the roadblocks. Some of it the state needs to do (like cracking on with nuclear, where the costs/risks are too massive for the private sector to take on without huge premiums). We can't just magic people into wealth, by mandating their wages go up or their costs go down - if there's no new wealth, that's just shuffling money about. We need to encourage exports and growth businesses, provide cheap energy for manufacturers. That probably means an unpleasant mix of spending cuts and tax hikes, and admitting that we are getting poorer and falling behind - and then doing something about it.
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Tim Velvick retweeted
The UK has a far flatter income distribution than the Communist Soviet Union. The UK take home minimum wage for working a full time job (40-hours) is now £22,555. At £100k salary, the take home is £68,558. That is a net income ratio of 3.04:1 We are now at the point where the wage compression and taxes in the UK means that the difference between minimum wage and a top 5% salary is a net income difference of only ~3x. In the USSR using the same comparison, this figure never fell below 5:1 It's actually even worse in reality because the person earning £100k in the UK often has student loans. Britain is nominally capitalist but functionally communist. China is nominally communist but functionally capitalist. Funny how that works.
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Mises obliterated the entire socialist project in 1920 with one devastating insight: "Where there is no free market, there is no pricing mechanism; without a pricing mechanism, there is no economic calculation." The socialists spent the next century pretending this problem didn't exist while their economies collapsed around them. And yet here we are, watching politicians promise they can "fix" healthcare, housing, and energy markets through central planning. They can't even calculate the cost of their own programs correctly — how exactly are they going to allocate resources across an entire economy? Every Venezuelan breadline, every Soviet grain shortage, every Chinese famine was just Mises being proven right in the most brutal way possible. But sure, let's try democratic socialism this time. What could go wrong?
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Where Crossrail (Lizzy Line) stations went land value skyrocketed. Other countries capture the uplift in land value created by new transport infrastructure to pay for that transport infrastructure. There’s no reason why Crossrail 2 can’t be largely self funding. Let’s build it.
The numbers say it all. Every one of the UK’s top 10 most popular stations is in London, with many powered by the success of the Elizabeth line. Proof that when you build world class rail, people choose it.
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Govt can cut benefits or raise taxes at a moment’s notice. Give nearly 20 years notice of an increase in pension age and apparently compensation may be due at a potential cost of billions; to be paid by younger generations. Ludicrous. bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c709…
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Tim Velvick retweeted
At some point, the Chancellor is going to have to go before the country and tell the truth - that our system of American taxes with Scandinavian services is not sustainable. That, finally, we have actually run out of other people's money. But Reeves doesn't want to do that. Nobody likely to succeed her in the job wants to do that. Its politically toxic. So they keep the lie going just a little longer, by making our lives worse. And the rate at which politicians will make this trade is going to astound you. They will confiscate your stocks, your pension, straight up dip into your savings if it means they can avoid having that awkward conversation with the public for a few more months. They would literally ruin your life to kick the can down the road. Watch out.
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Britain used to explicitly link housing & infra; the Met railway would buy up land, run a railway there, and then sell the much more valuable land for development into new homes and towns. We've stopped doing this, but one small tweak would let homes & infra be built together🧵
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Tim Velvick retweeted
Coming from a country with a strong communitarian ethos based on solidarity, safety, equality, and minimising risk of harm or upset, the UK, it’s interesting to visit one with a national character more based around freedom, independence, and progress at any cost, France. 🧵
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It would be nice to live in a country where the police didn’t investigate people because someone “felt significant distress” over an Instagram post.
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Tim Velvick retweeted
It’s stunning that we are sleepwalking into massive £10bn+ payouts that will cripple local government and industries for years to come and not a single MP in parliament is clamouring to legislate to stop this. Ending the equal pay madness should be at the top of any govt agenda.
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🚫 Cambridge is strangled by an outdated greenbelt. The belt promotes the development of inefficient satellite towns (e.g. Northstowe), trapping residents in car dependent, isolated communities that lack basic amenities and can't benefit from Cambridge's thriving culture.
In 1815, London was roughly the area circled. By 1939, it was roughly at its current boundaries, which were then fixed after the War by the green belt. It became about forty times larger within two human lifetimes.
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