FoxTheory retweeted
Two thoughts from Philip E. Tetlock
“How you think matters more than what you think.”
“Knowing what we don’t know is better than thinking we know what we don’t.”
FoxTheory retweeted
Next time you think you need to hire more people, consider this:
The Skunk Works was ~50 engineers and ~100 machinists.
They built the first supersonic fighter, the Blackbird, and the first stealth aircraft. The stealth prototypes flew 20 months after the contract was awarded.
FoxTheory retweeted
ABL: Always Be Learning
Ron Chernow on how Alexander Hamilton filled every scrap of paper with notes from his extracurricular learning.
Sometimes I just need the thing to do the thing. If it breaks or the tech moves, I'll just rebuild it. This feels like an era of personal software, vs the era of enterprise software. "You built something disposable" isn't an insult. It could be the whole point.
FoxTheory retweeted
To be specific, the pattern of the last 4 years has been lab insiders correctly predicting rapid capabilities growth while overestimating the likely real-world consequences. I expect a continuation of both trends in 2027.
FoxTheory retweeted
Something I can’t get past whenever I listen to Dwarkesh on how AI will transform the economy (which I generally enjoy) is the Fed will still have a 2% inflation and full employment mandate regardless of what AI does and he’s not equipped to think through that.
Why would an AI lab sell the ability to cure cancer instead of curing it and selling the output? My bet: the models commoditize, the lead ossifies, and the real money moves into the world of atoms. Debate welcome.
foxcurrent.substack.com/p/th…
ALT A red panda in a hoodie sits on a stump talking with a raccoon at a wooden workbench stall, two rabbits watching, with a stone forge tower behind them in a forest.
Since when did we start making investments without knowing what we want out of them? 62% of tech leaders say enterprise ROI is the priority; only 30% measure it at the margin. And 90% plan to spend more on agentic AI. With what plan?
A story finances the gap between what a leader promises and what they can prove. I looked at how Musk, Huang, Altman, and Amodei each work that gap (and why Munger is the one I keep coming back to).
foxcurrent.substack.com/p/fi…
FoxTheory retweeted
Two thoughts from Jeffrey Archer
“While there may not be a book in every one of us, there is so often a damned good short story.”
“I have discovered with advancing years that few things are entirely black or white, but more often different shades of grey.”
FoxTheory retweeted
Reverse Engineer Anything is the most insane open source project right now. Many are calling it the "death of software." @morluto the founder just commented to me on his repo: apparently I helped inspire the death of software. Ahhhh!
FoxTheory retweeted
Conference concept: Badges that can change color quickly, so you can use for example white (on record), blue (press), yellow (Chatham house), red (off record) or black (leave me alone).
Not free, but not that expensive if it enhances the experience, and fun souvenir.
FoxTheory retweeted
The only group more insufferable than tech people is anti-tech bluesky users, who have been coming back to X in droves the last few weeks.
And they’re just discovering that the entire world got rich over the last two years while they were busy arguing with each other about politics and AI.
And they’re very, very angry.
FoxTheory retweeted
Statement on Amazon's work: "Walmart did not ask for this work to be done."
This document is going to be an assigned reading in college classes that cover this moment in time, there's a lot happening in a few paragraphs... ahmath.org/statements
FoxTheory retweeted
with the decompiling / distilling wave, hard to see how standalone software survives without a critical services component and indispensable graph.
you can rebuild software tailored for you, for the price of tokens.
you can also just summon the power of software with a prompt🤯
