The Rooting Guide

Tennessee fans, after last week's loss, I wouldn't blame you for wanting to take a weekend off from college football. 🍊 But don't check out just yet. The Vols still have an 11.7% chance of making the CFP. And this weekend, some unlikely teams could help keep that dream alive. Auburn over Ole Miss: +2.5 CFP points Arkansas over Missouri: +2.0 South Carolina over Oklahoma: +0.9 Tennessee can't bounce back on the field this Saturday. But its playoff chances can still get a boost. Here's who Vols fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

Houston fans, your CFP chances might be a LOT better than you think. 👀 The Cougars enter their bye week with a 37.7% chance of making the playoff, with most of that coming through the at-large path. And this weekend, you're suddenly HUGE Texas Tech fans. A Tech win over Arizona helps Houston (+1.6 points). But a Tech LOSS? That's the real story. Houston's CFP odds would fall by 4.6 points if Arizona wins. That makes Arizona vs. Texas Tech one of the biggest games of Houston's weekend. Here's who Cougar fans should root for 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ho…

LSU fans, your bye-week rooting guide is getting a little weird. 🐯 First, you're pulling for Auburn to beat Ole Miss. (+3.2 CFP points) Then you're rooting for Arkansas over Missouri. (+1.9) And somehow, one of the biggest games for LSU's playoff hopes is... Arizona State vs. BYU. 🌵 An ASU upset would boost LSU's CFP chances by 4.6 points. Nothing says SEC football quite like suddenly becoming an Arizona State fan. LSU sits at 44.9% CFP odds. Here's who Tiger fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=LS…

Kentucky fans, I know bye weeks have traditionally been reserved for turning your attention to basketball. 🏀 But not this year! The Wildcats are 7-1 with a 37.8% chance of making the CFP, and there are plenty of important games to watch this weekend. In fact, the #1 game on Kentucky's rooting guide? Louisiana Tech vs. South Alabama. Yes. Seriously. 😂 Turns out, Kentucky fans have a reason to become South Alabama fans this Saturday. Football season isn't over in Lexington just yet. Here's who Kentucky fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ke…

Alabama fans, this bye week is about to test your loyalty. 🐘 Your two biggest potential allies on Saturday? Mississippi State and… Auburn. 🤢 A Mississippi State upset of Texas would boost Alabama’s CFP odds by 8.8 points. An Auburn win over Ole Miss adds another 3.0 points. And South Carolina beating Oklahoma? Another 2.7. With Alabama sitting at 49.9% CFP odds, desperate times might call for some very uncomfortable cheers. Here’s who Bama fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Al…

UTSA fans, you might be one Boise State loss away from becoming the G6 CFP favorite. 👀 The Roadrunners have a 20.1% chance of reaching the playoff heading into their bye week. But if Texas State upsets Boise State? UTSA’s modeled CFP chances jump by a massive 16.8 percentage points. That’s potentially 36.9% without UTSA even taking the field. Who knew Roadrunner fans would be the biggest Texas State supporters in America this Saturday? Here’s who UTSA should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=UT…

Boise State leads the G6 playoff race. Texas State could blow it wide open. A Bobcats upset would lift our modeled CFP odds: 🐦 UTSA: 20.1% → 36.9% 🦅 North Texas: 4.7% → 11.6% 🐺 New Mexico: 3.2% → 6.7% The exception? 🦫 Oregon State benefits from Boise winning this week—and gets its own shot at the Broncos Nov. 14. 👀

Texas State could do UTSA and North Texas a massive favor. Alabama fans have a reason to learn Navy’s fight song. And LSU’s biggest chance for outside help is in Provo. Five results that could change the playoff race for teams watching from elsewhere 👇

The Big 12 reshuffled the playoff race. Arizona found an opening. Texas Tech lost a huge cushion—but still has coin-flip CFP odds. UTSA is getting harder to ignore. Oregon’s playoff hopes are disappearing fast. The biggest playoff moves of the week 👇

BYU fans have a reason to root for Utah—and it isn’t conference pride. BYU plays Utah. It doesn’t play Houston. A Houston win keeps a contender firmly in the Big 12 race that BYU can’t hand a loss directly. A Utah win gives Houston its second conference loss while preserving a stronger future opponent for BYU. The difference in our model: BYU’s chance to reach the Big 12 title game: 📈 Utah wins: 56% 📉 Houston wins: 51% Houston’s own title-game chances swing from 47.8% with a win to just 3.2% with a loss. That’s different from Utah fans backing BYU against Notre Dame. That matchup could hurt an outside playoff contender without giving anyone a Big 12 loss. This one is about WHICH conference contender takes the damage. The net CFP result favors Utah, too: +1.6 percentage points for BYU with a Utah win, versus −2.9 with Houston. Rivalries don’t always agree with the math. Full BYU rooting guide: therootingguide.com/?team=BY…

HUGE shifts in CFP odds after a truly chaotic weekend. The SEC accounts for 8 of the 10 biggest movers—but BYU stole the show, more than doubling its playoff chances from 36.5% to 73.7%. 👀 Your team’s path just changed. TheRootingGuide.com

Week 8 is LIVE 🏈 Updated CFP odds, team-by-team rooting guides, conference title race odds, and the games with the biggest playoff impact. See where your team stands—and who you should be rooting for this week. TheRootingGuide.com

Ohio State vs. Indiana isn't just a battle between Big Ten contenders 👀 Ohio State has the better chance to WIN the Big Ten (47.0% vs. 40.9%). But Indiana has the better chance to make the CFP (87.5% vs. 78.7%). And don't forget undefeated UCLA (5–0), which has just a 3.0% chance to win the conference. Who's taking the Big Ten crown? Full standings + CFP odds 👇 TheRootingGuide.com/Conferen…

BYU has the most to gain of any team in college football this weekend. A win over Notre Dame could give the Cougars something they may not get another chance at this season: a signature victory that puts an at-large CFP bid firmly in play. A loss? The Big 12 championship path is still there. Our model shows just how dramatically the stakes differ. There are several huge CFP swing games this weekend — but none bigger than BYU–Notre Dame.

Is this FINALLY the year the Big 12 sends multiple teams to the CFP? 👀 Our Week 7 model has FOUR teams with legitimate playoff chances: 🌵 Texas Tech: 76.2% 🏔️ Utah: 59.3% 🐾 Houston: 42.0% 🤙 BYU: 36.5% And those four account for over 93% of the Big 12 title probability. Could the Big 12 get 2 teams in? Or even 3? 👀 Full conference title + CFP odds 👇 TheRootingGuide.com/Conferen…

The SEC playoff race is WIDE open 👀 Of the conference's 16 teams, NINE still have double-digit CFP odds in our Week 7 model. And it's not just Georgia (96.4%), Texas (83.7%), and Alabama (77.1%). 🔴 Ole Miss: 19.2% 🐯 LSU: 18.1% 🐯 Missouri: 16.4% 🍊 Tennessee: 14.7% 🏈 Oklahoma: 14.5% 🐱 Kentucky: 13.9% How many SEC teams actually make the playoff? Full SEC standings + championship and CFP odds 👇 TheRootingGuide.com/Conferen…

Boise State has a 69.5% chance of making the CFP, but only a 68.1% chance of winning the Pac-12. Why are their playoff odds so high? 🤔 Because they don't even HAVE to win their conference. Under the new 2026 CFP rules, the highest-ranked Group of Six team gets an automatic bid—even if they don't win their conference. Meanwhile: 🦫 Oregon State: 25.0% Pac-12 title, 3.8% CFP 🔥 Fresno State: 6.2% title, 0.4% CFP Full Week 7 Pac-12 projections 👇 TheRootingGuide.com/Conferen… #BoiseState