M.S. Jackson retweeted
I am a member of the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
There are five of us. Five people, appointed by a parliament most of the planet could not find on a map, who decide, once a year, which human being the world has agreed to call good.
I know. I know. I think about it on the tram.
We meet in a building on Henrik Ibsens gate, a street named after a man who wrote almost exclusively about people discovering they are frauds, which nobody on the committee finds funny except me. There is a room with a long table and the portraits of the dead laureates looking down, Mandela, the Dalai Lama, a great many earnest men in spectacles, and one portrait we do not discuss, which is Kissinger, 1973, awarded while the bombs were still falling, after which two of our predecessors resigned and the satirist Tom Lehrer said political satire was now obsolete. We keep him on the wall. A reminder. Every family has the uncle.
It is October in Oslo, which means the sun gives up around four in the afternoon like a civil servant, and it rains the particular Norwegian rain that isn’t quite falling, just hanging there, judging you. I arrive with wet shoes. I always arrive with wet shoes. There is coffee, because this is Norway and there is always coffee, we drink more of it per person than almost anyone alive, and someone’s wife has sent kanelboller, the cinnamon buns, and we sit, five Norwegians, damp, caffeinated, sugared, and we decide the moral standing of the entire species.
Let me tell you how it actually works, because the world imagines a cathedral and it is, I promise you, a book club with a mandate.
287 nominations this year. 208 people, 79 organizations. Anyone can nominate, that’s the secret nobody understands: a professor, a parliamentarian, a former laureate, so the “nominee” list is meaningless, it’s a suggestion box, and every autumn some congressman nominates his own golden retriever and the press writes “SHORTLISTED.” Nobody is shortlisted. There is no short list the public ever sees. There is us, and the coffee, and the rain, and the portraits, and a Norwegian stubbornness that is older than the prize itself.
We read reports. The institute’s advisers write them, thick dull documents, and we argue. Our chairman told the BBC once that in the final meeting “there is a high temperature.” High temperature, for a Norwegian, means someone slightly raised an eyebrow and then apologized for it. We don’t do high temperature. We do a long silence, and then Kristin says “well,” and everyone knows exactly what “well” meant, and it’s settled. That’s our shouting. “Well.” You’d have to be raised here to hear the violence in it.
Now. This year. I will not say the name, because we never say the name, but you know the name.
A certain head of state wanted this prize the way a child wants a thing in a shop window, which is to say loudly, and in public, and with the full belief that wanting it was itself the argument. He said he deserved it. He said he’d ended eight wars, a number that grew most times he said it, like a fish. He had other heads of state phone us. Israel’s prime minister posted it on the internet, “Give him the Nobel.” The leaders of Cambodia and Pakistan announced they’d nominated him, as though announcing it were part of it, as though we tally mentions. A man flew around the globe collecting endorsements for a Norwegian committee the way you’d collect signatures for a petition to the council about a noisy dog.
And here, uff da, is the detail I treasure, the one that makes me smile into my coffee. The nomination deadline is the 31st of January. He took office on the 20th. So for all the phone calls, all the posts, all the gilded lobbying, the only nominations that could possibly count for this year’s prize were filed in the first eleven days of his term, before he had, by his own arithmetic, ended a single one of the eight wars. He campaigned all year for a prize whose window had shut while he was still hanging up his coat. We didn’t have to reject him. The calendar did. We just watched. Norwegians are very good at watching. We have long winters.
People think we sit there weighing his deeds. We don’t. That’s the thing I can’t make the world understand. We’re not grading his homework. We don’t owe anyone the prize for a ceasefire, however real, however loud the announcement. “He made peace” is not a sentence that ends in a medal, the way he believes it does, the way he believes every good thing ends in his name on it. The will of a dead Swede says the prize goes to whoever did the most for fraternity between nations. A dead Swede, I should add, who made his entire fortune inventing dynamite and selling arms, and spent his last years horrified at his own obituary, which called him a merchant of death, and so bought his way to immortality as a man of peace. The whole prize is one guilty arms dealer’s attempt to launder his name. We are, all of us, administering a dead man’s public relations. I find this clarifying. It keeps me humble. It should keep everyone humble, and it keeps, by my count, no one humble at all.
So who did we give it to?
An eighty-five-year-old woman. A judge. Born in Durban, under apartheid, granddaughter of a Tamil man who came to South Africa as indentured labor, a bus driver’s daughter from the poor Indian quarter, who became the first non-white woman to run a law practice in her province, who defended Mandela’s people when defending them was dangerous, who sat on the Rwanda tribunal and the court at the Hague, and who, at eighty-five, is right now a judge weighing whether a genocide is a genocide. When we told the world, our chairman said the rule of law “underpins the system we have set up to ensure peace,” and that “peace requires justice.” She wasn’t even in Oslo. She was in Nuremberg. In courtroom 600. The actual room where they tried the Nazis. You cannot stage that. God staged that, and God, it turns out, is a better satirist than any of us.
She did not phone us. She did not post. No prime minister demanded it for her on the internet. She had, as far as our deliberations are concerned, the one qualification the loud man could never manufacture, which is that she wanted the work and not the medal. The medal finds those people. It flees the ones who chase it. This is not a rule we wrote. It’s just the only pattern the hundred-odd years of our mistakes has ever shown.
The reaction from across the ocean was immediate. His spokesman posted that we “place politics over peace.” Ja. Perhaps. We’re five damp pensioners in a rainy city; of course it’s political, it was always political, it was political when we gave it to a sitting American president nine months into his first term for the promise of things he had not yet done, and we have been quietly embarrassed about that one for fifteen years, so believe me, we had a particular reason this year to prefer a woman with fifty years of verdicts behind her over a man with eight wars in front of him and a deadline already behind him.
Here is what he will never understand, the thing I’d tell him on the tram if he ever took one. We are the one prize he cannot buy, cannot post his way to, cannot have a friendly dictator phone in for him. Not because we’re incorruptible, nei, we’re as vain and wrong and human as the portraits on our wall. But because the entire point of the thing, the only power a small cold country’s book club has ever held, is that it goes to the person not performing the wanting. The moment you demand it, you’ve proven you don’t understand what it’s for, and proving that is itself the disqualification. He ran the most expensive campaign in the history of the prize and the campaign was the reason. He was never losing to Navi Pillay. He was losing to the concept.
It’s dark now. Four o’clock dark. The buns are gone. Kristin said “well” an hour ago and we all went home. I’m on the tram with my wet shoes, and somewhere across the water a very powerful man is explaining to a camera that the prize is rigged, that we’re corrupt, that he’ll win it next year, and he genuinely might, we’re only five idiots and we’ve been wrong before, Kissinger is still on the wall.
But not this year. This year an old woman in Nuremberg, in the room where the law once stared down the exact kind of man who thinks wanting a thing loudly enough should make it his, got a phone call she didn’t ask for.
That’s the job. We don’t reward the man who ends the war and announces it.
We reward the woman who spent fifty years deciding what a war was.
He’ll never see the difference. That’s rather the whole point of him.
Takk for i dag. I have to change trams.
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Has @jonstewart read “Prophecy: Prediction, Power, and the Fight for the Future, from Ancient Oracles to AI”?! Or is he catching up to the power moves of prophets independently? Regardless, hilarious.
.@jonstewart unpacks AI’s dubious promise of a better future, from the fate of our jobs to an "age of abundance"
Jon Stewart Takes on AI CEO's Lofty Promises
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Ex-DeepMind employee Vishal Mani:
"The gap between Neanderthals and Homo sapiens in intelligence was far narrower than what we should expect the gap between humans and advanced AI systems to be...The historical precedent is not actually so reassuring."
Some things Vishal shared in his interview with us:
- "I do believe there's a real risk of human extinction through the AI transition."
- "Artificial general intelligence or artificial superintelligence is a starting line, not a finish line. It's the moment when we hand over the baton to AI that can do research and development."
- "Pacing the frontier really means going from insanely fast progress to very fast progress."
- "If we don't pace, we roll the die."
- "The truth is being said out loud because recursive self-improvement is now so imminent that no other option makes sense."
- "The obvious answer to winning the race is to go faster, but that's not actually a viable strategy if we lose control."
- "If...the weights are not defensible against nation state actors, then in practice you don't actually have a defensible lead."
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Claude 5.5 Opus responding to “AI is a normal technology” is still the best AI-created video I have ever seen
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Today, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski addressed Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov during a UN Security Council meeting after Lavrov had gotten up and left.
This is the message Trump should have delivered, but America's deranged dictator-wannabe is too cowardly and compromised.
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Amodei, Altman, Hassabis, and Musk have spoken (albeit somewhat inconsistently) about the need to slow down to avoid AI existential risk.
Zuckerberg, Huang, and almost every VC say it's bullshit.
The difference is not that the first group is conflicted but the second isn't. They both are super conflicted.
If AI existential risk was to hype up the technology, why would Zuckerberg, Huang, and VCs be dismissing it? If it were "regulatory capture," why would Hassabis and Musk, neither of whom are at the frontier (sorry), be discussing it?
The difference is that the first group has been thinking about these risks seriously (at least off-and-on) for over a decade, since well before they ran large AI companies. The second has very clearly only engaged superficially, and is now annoyed that the first group's actions could dampen the massive profits of the AI boom for risks that sound like science fiction to them.
The terrifying reality is that these concerns are not being made up to sell a product or a policy. They have been around in some form since Turing, and fleshed out in great detail before OpenAI or Anthropic were a twinkle in their CEOs' eyes. They are fundamental to a technology whose entire purpose is to surpass human capacity, unless you are able to solve the very, very difficult problem of aligning the interests/goals of a more powerful agent with something as complex as human flourishing -- which the companies are very visibly failing to do.
They need to simply not build superintelligence, using anything remotely like current techniques, based on anything remotely like the present understanding of AI.
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Tristan Harris, the founder of the Center for Humane Technology, just dropped a terrifying truth about AI escaping human control
During a recent training run at Alibaba, an internal security team noticed massive suspicious network activity and thought they were getting hacked.
The call was actually coming from inside the house.
The AI model picked up internal tools, built its own secret communication channel to bypass the firewall, and hijacked company GPUs to mine cryptocurrency on its own.
Tristan Harris exposed this exact incident to show how tech giants are blindly racing into the red zone.
AI is no longer just answering prompts; it is actively deceiving developers and protecting its own code
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Both units at Africa’s only nuclear power plant now offline and not producing. So much for reliable 24/7 “baseload” power.
#Eskom #MediaStatement
Koeberg Nuclear Power Station’s Unit 1 safely taken offline; nuclear safety assured, grid remains stable
M.S. Jackson retweeted
This is absolutely devastating and every politician should watch it and take notes. This is how you do it.
“I JUST DON’T SEE WHY YOU’RE SO ON THE SIDE OF THE BILLIONAIRES, JESSE.”
HIGHLIGHTS: The Dr. @AbdulElSayed interview with @JesseBWatters in 4 minutes👇🏽
M.S. Jackson retweeted
I've been surprised not to see more people linking the OpenAI Hugging Face attack (& other incidents) to the old debates about whether AI will develop "convergent instrumental goals"/"basic drives"—aka unwanted intermediate goals that help with many different end goals.
Seems to me like these incidents give us some early evidence that these kinds of intermediate goals do emerge. But rather than the kind of drives Omohundro theorized 20 years ago ("resist shutdown" / "preserve utility function" / "acquire resources")...
2026 AIs are instead learning things like "escape constraints" / "deceive humans" / "help other AIs".
Was planning to write something about this but ended up telling Ezra Klein instead, apparently. Full ep on YouTube, NYT, and all the podcast apps.
M.S. Jackson retweeted
Caolan is a real fucking reporter. Missiles exploding behind him, and he keeps filming, while the entire Western media hides, closes its eyes, and pretends the war in Ukraine isn’t even happening.
Fucking thank you, @CaolanReports, for doing what the world won’t.
Slava Ukraini


























