DJmuggs (@TheMuggZone) header
DJmuggs (@TheMuggZone) profile picture

Options Analyst/Trader for @TheOwlsCapital @SkyLitAI Supporter Plan the trade and trade the plan The only thing we have to fear is FOMO itself NFA

NC
Joined May 2026
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I've been analyst & alerter for about 4/5 different discord groups over my trading career, I have found my home @TheOwlsCapital Best move I have made in my trading career was joining Owls. After being apart of this group for a while now I can say it's by far the best online trading community I have been apart of, from the members to the analysts. From multi week/month swings from @kiantrades @TT_stocks_ @ABTradess , overnight swings, to intraday/0dte @Simply0DTE @SkyySPX @itsrishabh & MOC (final 15-5 mins of SPX) alerts to choose from. Don't just take it from me, check out the testimonies whop.com/owls-options-trader… -With alerts on notable order flows at least 40-50 a day you can see where whales are positioning on specific tickers, -The Athena bot channel that will alert when all 3 indexes have confluence on a bearish or bullish sentiment updated every time there is a change intraday, (50+ times a day) so you can catch scalps on ceilings and floors , -Heat map analysis throughout the day on SPX from the heat seeker expert @FlowbyBobby , to actual trade alerts from entry to exit on just about any ticker that you can think of. - Heatseeker maps channels on $SPY $QQQ $SPX $IWM and one for individual tickers. - Heatseeker bot channel - VIX insights channel - Volume Spike channel - Admin analysis channel - Risk Management channel - Trade Ideas channel - Trading Psychology channel - Economic news channel that broadcasts through the whole discord for up to date live announcements about anything related to the markets. - Courses from the basics to risk management to advanced trading techniques. - Common Stock Channel - Daily live stages with screen sharing of up to the minute reads. So whether your a 0 DTE SPX degen/junkie or a laid back swing trader you will find someone that aligns with your trading strategy. Use the notification settings to select which alerters that fits your style of trading options, and get instant alerts on your phone/desktop, to help focus on just the alerts YOU want to see. Trading floor & SPX trading floor channels: Along with alerters comes our member's community that combine their ideas and thesis's of upcoming moves in the market and individual tickers, plus just an overall positive bunch of folks trying to help each other make money in these markets, which alone can be daunting but with the support and help from traders with years and years of experience with the track record to proof it, you will have a greater advantage to succeed. Trust me, with discipline, risk management, and correct sizing that aligns with your balance, you will see an improvement in your overall trading knowledge and account balance, like thousands of members already have. Having an issue, get support almost immediately with the support channel. DISCORD BREAKDOWN: youtube.com/watch?v=dqsF1pqd… $TSLA $MU #Trading #discord #OptionsTrading Use code MUGG for a discount. ****Trading involves risk, if you don't follow a set of disciplined rules then it will not matter what group you follow, this Is not a 100% lock that you will profit. NFA ******
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Since I've been getting a lot of questions about how to size and use risk management to prevent huge red days after having big green days, here is the guidelines for being a strict disciplined trader that can turn your year green. You just need to execute the profitable trades yourself, follow the guide and you won't have a great start of a week/month turn into a massive red week/month. Let go of revenge trading, over trading, FOMO trading.. Discipline. Conviction, daily goals and stop losses, along with emotionless mental trading are keys to successful trading.. Once you've been following the guidelines for a extended period of time, it'll just become 2nd nature to you. Because whats worse, having a +5k day followed by a -8k day, or a +3k day followed by a -$800 day ? It might prevent you from having those huge portfolio changer days(which are rare anyway), but in the long run, ending up being green at the end of each week(no matter the % change) on a consistent basis will only lead your port in one direction...
The Strict Discipline Guidelines to follow for turning 10k into 150k in 1 year. Using sizing, taking profits, stopping losses, and risk management. * Can be used for any starting balance, adjust prices to the %'s accordingly. Starting balance: $10,000 Goal: $150k withdrawn as income in 12 months What it takes: $600 profit every trading day (252 days) = 6% of the account per day, every day. Daily goal is 6%, with a 10% stretch on strong trend days; the daily stop stays at 3%. Goals are percentages of your account, reset on the first trading day of each month using that morning's balance. Never recalculate mid-month to "catch up." How to use the daily goal It is a cap, not a quota. You don't have to hit 6% every day. The monthly goal assumes plenty of small-green and red days. Hit 6% → lock in 3%. Keep trading only on house money, if P&L falls back to +3%, you're done. Log off, continue with your day. Hit 10% → done for the day, no exceptions. Big green days are when overconfidence gives it back. Get there with runners, not size. Per-trade risk stays 1%, so a 5% day means winners worth of 5× your risk: scale out and let the last piece run. A $100 green day is still a good day. A small win you kept beats a big win you gave back. Loss limits: the revenge-trading fix The daily stop is 3% of the account ($300 on day 1), and hitting it ends the day, no exceptions. Your biggest losses come after you're already red, so these rules take the decision away from you in that moment. TRIGGERS & ACTIONS: Trigger: Down 1.5% on the day (half the stop) Action: Half size, A+ setups only, max 1 more trade Trigger: 2 losing trades in a row Action: 30-minute break away from the desk/phone Trigger: 3 losing trades in a day Action: Done for the day, even if the $ stop wasn't hit Trigger: Daily stop hit (3% of balance) Action: Close all positions, close the platform, done Trigger: 3 red days in a row Action: Next day: half size, max 2 trades Trigger: Weekly stop hit (5%) Action: Done for the week; next week starts at half size! Trigger: Down 10% from month start Action: 2 days off, full journal review, then 5 days at half size... DO NOT LOOK BEHIND ONLY FORWARD, NO "COULD'VE SHOULD'VE" THINKING. Hard rules while red: - Never increase size while red. *Size only goes up with house money. - No "make it back" trades. Getting back to green is not a setup. - Every entry has a stop order placed immediately (bracket/OCO). No mental stops. If your broker offers a daily loss limit or account lock, set it at 3.5% so the platform enforces it for you. When the stop hits, run this routine: 1- Close the platform (not minimize: close). 2- Log the day in the journal within 15 minutes: what the trigger was, what you felt. 3- Leave the desk and switch to Bugno or salon work for the rest of the day. 4- Say it out loud: "Tomorrow is a new day with a full stop available." A $200 loss is a normal business expense. A $200 loss followed by revenge trades is how an $800 day happens Position sizing and trade rules: Risk 1% of the account per trade ($100 on Day 1), so two full losers still leave room under the daily stop. Size comes from where your stop is, not from how confident you feel. Example: $10,000 account, buy at $2.00, stop at $1.50 → $50 risk per contract → 2 contracts ($100 risk play). Taking profits (tiered) on individual trades/plays: 1- Sell half at +25–30%, move the stop on the rest to breakeven. 2- Sell another quarter at +50% or the next key level. 3- Trail the last quarter (house money runners) behind VWAP or the 9 EMA on the 5-minute chart. Sell at 100%,150%,200%. This way a trade that reached +20% never turns into a loser while a A+ play has the potential for doubling your initial investment. - Favor premiums of $1.00–$3.00 until the account grows, and treat $5.00+ contracts as A+ setups only. How to mentally approach each session: Think in months, not days. - Judge P&L on the month, judge each day only on discipline. - Losses are the cost of doing business, like labor or materials for a business. Budget them at 2% a day. - *You don't have to trade. No A+ setup by 11:30am can be a successful day at zero. - *Detach from the money. Look at R-multiples (risk units), not dollars, while in a trade. (Personally, hiding account balances without hiding the %'s worked well for me when I first began) - Keep structure: fixed hours, workout or walk before the open, a hard stop time. Without a boss the day expands into overtrading. Overtrading leads to lost profits, or revenge trading. - Pressure is the enemy. "I need $600 today for the bills" is the thought that breaks rules. Keep bills funded outside the trading account Mindset: Salary job vs Day-Trading A salary pays you for showing up; trading pays you for executing a process, and some weeks it pays you negative. Your job is now to follow the rules. The P&L is the lagging result. *NFA* $TSLA $NVDA $AMD $SPY $QQQ $MU $META $INTC $AAPL
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TOP 15 ANTICIPATED EARNINGS IMPLIED MOVE & VRP (variance risk premium) FOR THIS WEEK: No mega caps, but wanted to see how this new watchlist I put together ends up looking come end of week, if outcomes are mostly accurate according to this board then I will continue post the IM&VRP ER list for here on. $NBIS is also a sympathy ticker for $CRWV so expect NBIS to follow CRWV's price reaction to its earnings that release a session before NBIS' ER. $CRWV $HIMS are the top expensive prems $RKLB $RGTI are the cheapest But like I said no big bopper mag 7 names this week.
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$MU Our option-trading ATM lately still printing out money... Today ended up being not too great, but we still got a 200%+ trade this morning.. 😎 only @TheOwlsCapital 's Discord. Code MUGG
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Earnings for 11/9-/11/14: $CEG $TTWO $RKLB $HIMS $OXY $CRWV $NBIS $AMAT $CSCO $RGTI $ZETA $TDG I will post a follow up on Sunday night with more details about these tickers and what to expect + possible sympathy tickers to trade off of ER names, decompression time for me for the next 2 days.
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Well even after today's market wide sell off $APP hung in there, investors did not take profits, after smashing earnings.. so my idea to enter puts off a morning pump today never came to be.. and thank god I didn't take them cause the contract prices are still extremely over priced and puts did not do anything good. Which leads me to tomorrow's 0 DTE contracts, prices of these will decay, and become affordable. But we would still need to see a decent intraday move on APP for either calls or puts to be profitable Todays option flow on APP:.
$APP Hell of a run these past few days. But I’ll be looking at puts tomorrow after contracts cool off, profit taking starts setting in, and sellers start dumping this name. Time entries off ceilings. Exit targets near floors. Lock profits away. Move onto the next play.
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Unreal $APP just doesn't stop... opened at 348 reached almost 400.. talk bout a runaway train....
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How Texas' new democratic Governor affects the growth of AI explained, I hope Texans that are invested in AI/tech that voted for her understand what she's planning on doing. Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa is expected to significantly slow new data-center development in the state through an extended moratorium and tighter rules focused on power costs, water use, and local control.** She takes office on January 19, 2027, and has made restricting data centers a central campaign pledge. Texas is one of the largest and fastest-growing data-center markets in the U.S. (accounting for a substantial share of planned national capacity, often estimated around 25%+ of additions in coming years), so her actions carry outsized weight for the broader AI infrastructure buildout. Key Policy Plans: Hinojosa has repeatedly called for **an immediate formal moratorium** (a ban) on new data-center approvals that lasts until the Texas Legislature passes “real protections.” She has criticized outgoing Governor Greg Abbott’s temporary pauses and audits (on grid connections via ERCOT and environmental permits) as a “scam” that could be lifted after the election. Her outlined “Texans First Data Center Priorities” Include: - Giving communities a meaningful “seat at the table” to decide *if and how* projects proceed. - Banning nondisclosure agreements (NDAs) used by developers to limit public information. - Ending or restricting tax subsidies and incentives for data centers. - Ensuring companies pay their own infrastructure costs rather than shifting them to ratepayers. (even though this already was the plan) She has stated she is not opposed to data centers in principle (“It is not that I hate data centers”) but objects to what she describes as an unregulated “Wild West” approach that burdens rural communities with power and water demands. Expected Practical Effects - **Near-term freeze on new projects**: Approvals are likely to remain paused well into 2027 (analysts suggest into mid-year, around the end of the legislative session). Abbott’s current ERCOT audit is expected to wrap up in December 2026, but Hinojosa has pledged to extend restrictions. Projects already under construction or fully permitted are generally less at risk than new proposals or those still in the interconnection queue. - **Higher costs and stricter conditions** Future projects that do advance will face requirements to self-fund grid upgrades, demonstrate no residential rate impact, limit water use, and navigate more local scrutiny. Tax incentives that helped attract hyperscalers are likely to be curtailed. - **Legislative process** Hinojosa will work with a Democratic-majority Texas House. New laws on ratepayer protection, water, transparency, and local authority are expected to define the 2027 session. The exact duration and strictness of any pause will depend on how quickly (and how stringently) the Legislature acts. - **Industry and market reaction** Developers and investors already anticipate delays, potential project cancellations or relocations, and a shift in calculus for Texas sites. Some analysts have flagged a meaningful portion of previously expected Texas capacity additions as at risk. Existing operating facilities are largely unaffected. In summary, Hinojosa’s governorship is poised to convert Texas from one of the most permissive large markets for data centers into one with meaningful pauses, higher compliance costs, and stronger local/ratepayer protections. This does not eliminate the industry in the state, but it introduces multi-month (and potentially longer) delays for new capacity while rules are rewritten. #Hinojosa #TexasTech -Highly sensitive tickers for databases: $VRT $VST $ANET $COHR $LITE $CRDO $ALAB $NBIS -Equipment & Material: $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $ASML -Names that trade on datacenter news: $CRWV $IREN $APLD and are among the highest-beta data center names.
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What happened the last two days to the stock market?? Here's a good explanation. **The 2026 midterms delivered a clear political shock to the AI/tech complex, primarily by elevating opposition to data-center expansion into a major electoral force.** Democrats took full control of both the House and Senate on November 3, including major upsets in key data-center states such as Texas (new Democratic governor Gina Hinojosa and senator James Talarico) and Ohio. Data centers and AI infrastructure were prominent campaign issues. Exit polls showed a majority of voters viewing AI as likely to do more harm than good, and local ballot measures restricting or banning data centers passed overwhelmingly (roughly 40–44 of 41–45 measures). So, the general public is not for the growth of AI, while investors and companies pump trillions into AI and its related industries, all it takes is a balance of political power to erase most of what, we as investors, thought of AI as a potential mega growth sector for years to come. But at the same time a one day big sell off does not mean AI is dead, it could just be taking a breather, cooling off, coming back down from its insanely over-valued prices. Immediate Market Reaction: - **Wednesday (Nov. 4)** Broad indices rose (Nasdaq +~1.4%, S&P 500 +~1.6%) on reduced political uncertainty and classic post-midterm patterns. Cash-rich hyperscalers (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet) gained, but semiconductor and pure data-center names already softened. - **Thursday (Nov. 5)** Sharp reversal. The Nasdaq Composite fell 5.52% to 24,315 (entering correction territory, >10% below its early-October high), the Nasdaq-100 dropped ~6.4%, and the PHLX Semiconductor Index plunged ~12%. Trillions in market value were erased, with heavy losses concentrated in AI-linked names. Hardest-hit areas included memory/storage ($SNDK ~−22%, $MU and $WDC Digital ~−17%), $AMD (−17%), $NVDA (−9%+, hundreds of billions in market cap), neocloud/data-center operators, and related equipment names.$TSLA and $SPCX also fell sharply. Transmission Channels to Tech 1. **Physical infrastructure constraints**: Texas alone accounts for a large share (~25–30%) of planned U.S. data-center capacity additions. New Democratic governors and local measures raise the odds of moratoriums, tougher permitting, community vetoes, and scrutiny of power/water use. Analysts (including UBS) have estimated that a meaningful portion of expected 2028 capacity additions could face delays. 2. **Regulatory and oversight risk**: A Democratic Congress is more likely to hold hearings, pursue tighter AI guardrails, revisit export controls, or advance proposals for pauses or conditions on buildouts. While sweeping federal legislation faces a likely presidential veto (Trump remains in the White House), state/local actions and oversight can still slow timelines and raise costs. 3. **Sentiment and capex reassessment**: The election amplified existing questions about the pace and returns of the AI infrastructure boom. Investors repriced growth expectations for chipmakers and AI infrastructure plays that depend on rapid data-center expansion. Hyperscalers with strong cash flows fared relatively better initially, but the sell-off broadened. 4. **Political backlash**: Tech billionaires and firms that backed Republicans heavily (including significant spending by Elon Musk) faced a direct electoral rebuke tied to data-center opposition. Longer-Term Implications - **Slower buildout**: Near-term delays in permitting and construction are the most direct risk. This could moderate hyperscaler capital expenditures, which some investors view as a positive discipline check after years of heavy spending, but it threatens demand growth for semiconductors, memory, networking, and power equipment. - **U.S. AI competitiveness**: Prolonged slowdowns could affect the race with China, though existing projects and international expansion offer partial offsets. - **Policy reality**: Divided government limits major new federal incentives or (conversely) outright bans. Enforcement will likely be uneven—stronger at the state and local level in places like Texas, Ohio, and Georgia. Companies are already signaling greater community engagement and efficiency measures. - **Market structure**: The episode reinforces that the AI trade is now highly sensitive to physical and political constraints (power, land, regulation), not just model capabilities or chip supply. Valuation multiples on pure-play AI infrastructure names have room for further adjustment if delays materialize. In short: -The midterms did not kill the AI investment cycle, but they introduced a meaningful new friction on the physical buildout that underpins it. -Thursday’s sell-off reflected markets rapidly pricing in that friction after an initial relief rally. -The durability of the impact will depend on how quickly (or slowly) projects actually advance under the new political landscape. Past week performance by sector charted below. Chart: 10 SPDR sectors, 15-min bars, Oct 29 open through today’s close, regular hours only. The split is stark: #tech −14.1% and Energy −10.8% carried the week’s damage, with Tech’s second leg down coming on today’s gap. Industrials −3.1% rolled over today after holding flat all week. Everything else finished green, led by Staples +3.9% and Comm. Svcs +3.2%, a classic defensive rotation
🤖 Made with AI
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We did see QQQ have a huge downside negative gamma node at 675 build up yesterday, as I replied in the post, I did not think we'd hit that price, let alone 647 day lows.
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$BE a name ive been bullish on, even after todays debacle, if anything today provided long calls a great discount. Currently in 220 11/27 calls, 240 12/4 calls. (both closed green today), I also entered 11/6 calls (small sized lottos) but they were getting theta decayed, turned red as the longer dated calls were going green, so I cut those for about a 20% loss. Net Impact (pictured below) Each ticker's net premium traded today: aggressive calls bought minus puts bought (NCP − NPP). This matches the “Net Premium” figure in that ticker's chart modal. So BE beat $APP $ARM with the highest net impact traded today to the bullish side. I definitely don't hate this, holding longs and all. 😅
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Meant to post this with the colors..
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Smart man... made the move to @TheOwlsCapital $500 to $15k in 1 week!?!? I'd say I'm shocked, but with the week we've had so far, I'm really not. Congrats my man.
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Another day trading @TheOwlsCapital $QQQ puts hit 300-350% $AMD calls hit all 3 TPs after timing entry off am session floor. $MU puts hit all FOUR TPs for 100%+ runners still going Those who have not joined.. Then oh well, those who have .. congrats on making the move to the Owls community. Still 3 hours left for trades today, not too late to come check us out code MUGG for that dissycount
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$APP Hell of a run these past few days. But I’ll be looking at puts tomorrow after contracts cool off, profit taking starts setting in, and sellers start dumping this name. Time entries off ceilings. Exit targets near floors. Lock profits away. Move onto the next play.
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Bullish / bearish market. It doesn’t matter, as an option trader we make profits on volatility not just One Direction. Any news is good news in this current market in my opinion. Another trend day incoming?? 🤷‍♂️
BREAKING: The Trump Administration and the US Military are finishing preparations for a possible resumption of "major" combat operations in Iran, per Axios. Details include: 1. Preparations including sending more assets to the Middle East, US officials say 2. Vice President JD Vance has privately accused Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu of "being wrong on everything" regarding Iran 3. A former Trump Adivsor says, "it's one thing to lose the midterms. But Trump doesn't want to look like a loser twice" Markets now await Trump's next move.
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Not market related but an accomplishment I’ve been working on. Not since I was 18 have I gone this long without a single sip of alcohol. Thats nearly 2 decades and I’ve never felt more physically & mentally clear in my life. The 10k being saved is a nice bonus, cause I do like myself some money. 🤑 PS I do get down with those THC drinks from the grocery store from time to time but those are being pulled from the selves in December.
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People just keep missing out... @TheOwlsCapital YET AGAIN... another great session for the Owl community.. $AAPL CALLS 200%+ FROM ALERTED ENTRY $META CALLS 150%+ FROM ALERTED ENTRY $MU PUTS 600%+ FROM ALERTED ENTRY @Simply0DTE Has taught me well when it comes to utilizing @SkylitAI 's heat map positioning, and its not just paying off for me, but all the members who follow our alerts on discord.. Video below for a fraction of Owl's gains from today alone. Promo code MUGG NFA Lets see what tomorrow has in store for us.. CANT WAIT
You are missing out if you arent following @TheMuggZone TBH, I haven't seen someone this consistent in a while!
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$META puts entered towards 2pm and they just took off... Along with SPX calls.
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