The Lion's Edge Podcast

With another football season approaching, I wanted to reshare this awesome podcast clip I made a couple years ago about how betting markets work. If you are even remotely interested in sports betting, you can learn a lot in these two minutes.

An ACC game in Ireland? Montana State as a double-digit favorite vs. an FBS team? SMU in a must-bet spot... as a 4-TD favorite? Oh yes. Week 0 has arrived. It's small on games, but big on betting angles. #sportsbettingpicks #GamblingX #collegefootball sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/co…

A fun announcement from me! Several months ago, I announced that I had ended @TheLionsEdge. But as many of you probably guessed, I didn't really want to leave the audio space permanently. Today's the day I get to tell you what's next. But before I do, here's a bit of backstory.

Absolutely outstanding weekend of sports betting on tap, with two of my favorite bets of the entire #NFLPlayoffs on Sunday. Let's talk it out... (All odds from @betmgm) -#Chiefs at #Ravens: I really like Baltimore -3.5. KC advanced this far by beating the Bills and Dolphins -- two teams with defenses that have been absolutely ravaged by injuries. That's helped Kansas City's offense, which has had some very public struggles, post results that suggest everything is better. It is not. Joe Thuney has been ruled out, as has Skyy Moore. Both Isiah Pacheco and Kadarius Toney are questionable, though I do expect them to play. More importantly, this Baltimore defense is going to be way, way more intense of a challenge, and I don't think the market is respecting that at this number. Even still, it's telling that the number has spent most of the week at -3.5. If there was consistent and substantive sharp interest in the KC side, that would be painted at -3 in a hurry. Instead, it's moving toward -4 at BetMGM. -#Lions at #49ers: I love Over 51.5 here. It's telling that the AFC game has two NFL MVPs squaring off, yet it's this game that has the total in the 50s. I think that's a huge nod toward the fact that both defenses are going to struggle to stop opposing offenses. This is an unusually square pick for me, but I really do feel it's the right side and my favorite bet of the weekend. I'd also be looking at some alts to pile on top of this, like maybe an Over 57 (+160). YMMV on your risk profile here. -Let's go off the #NFL board here. I quite like the idea of a flyer on Qinwen Zheng in the women's #AustralianOpen final. She's going off at +450 right now, which is a huge number for someone who's playing really, really well. The market is incredibly tilted toward Sabalenka because she's both an established hardcourt player and the defending champ in Melbourne, so of course she's the favorite, but -650 is ridiculous. Women's tennis Grand Slam finals are filled with low q-score teenagers who get hot and win a title... it's basically the opposite of men's tennis in this regard, where very few players have won GS titles in the last 25 years unless their last name is Federer, Nadal, or Djokovic. So I like a little dart throw at +450, but the more conservative move here is probably to take something like Zheng +5.5 (-155) or Zheng +4.5 (+120). -I don't like the men's side value nearly as much as I like the women's side, but I'll share a couple of small notes here. First of all, Medvedev is a previous Slam winner (2021 US Open) and finished as runner-up in Melbourne in both 2021 and 2022. The fact that he is a significant dog to Sinner here is extremely telling about what side you should want. Sinner is *cooking* right now and has been an immense tour player for most of the last year. He absolutely smoked Djokovic in the semifinal, which I'm sure I don't have to tell you doesn't happen very often. I have zero issue laying -275 to get the right player, but if you're a little more choosy with your price tags, take a look at Sinner -1.5 Sets (-145) or even Sinner Straight Sets +165. #AustralianOpen2024 #KCvsBAL #49ersVsLions #AllGrit #DETvsSF #FTTB #ChiefsKingdom #RavensFlock #sportsbets #sportsbettingpicks #sportsbettingX #BettingX #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter

With the close of the college football season, let's make it official: I have decided to end @TheLionsEdge. For six years, I have tried to provide commentary and analysis in a way that is transparent, ethical, educational, and easy to understand. I walk away really proud of the hundreds of episodes my name is on. I will continue to provide great insight on the BetMGM blog, which I hope you read! In the meantime, I am planning my next move. I will have more time to finish my novel, Cave Paintings, and I have some really exciting ideas about where I want to go next in the audio space. You can expect some announcements in that direction later this year. Thanks to everyone who listened.

We're halfway through the #collegefootball season and 10 days away from the first #cfp rankings. It's time to start getting serious about what the playoff field will look like this year. Here's a handy guide on how to think about the main players. sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/co… – at Richmond, VA

Lot of picks in play today beyond what's in the column, including the over in the Vandy/Missouri game & VT moneyline. Now looking at WVU. Line moved toward TCU throughout the week and briefly touched +14 this morning before buyback. If it gets back to +14 again, I'm buying in. – at Richmond, VA

New @TheLionsEdge by @BetMGM! @RyanHorvat of @BetMGMTonight stops by the show to talk Thursday Night Football, the state of the #NFL after Week 2, Notre Dame/Ohio State, Oregon/Colorado, and more. PODCAST: link.chtbl.com/4Iez41ZA #GamblingTwitter #bettingpicks #TNF #CFB – at Richmond, VA

NEW @TheLionsEdge by @BetMGM! The great @philsteele042 returns to the show to talk CFP favorites, Georgia's reign, new-look Big 12, transfer portal, sleeper teams and more. Don't let the season start without listening to this episode. #collegefootball link.chtbl.com/4Iez41ZA – at Richmond, VA